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@Emotional-Yolk

#2,920,54223

0xb148e374cf3b227625c154f958f9ec57c5079355

245d· 180 markets · 309 tradesVol: $1,084,2382026-06-27T05:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 0.78x0/15
HHI 7810/10
Profit Days 37%2/10
DD/Peak 437%0/10

Summary

Emotional-Yolk is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 309 trades across 180 markets over 238 days. Despite a high volume of $1,084,238 traded, the trader currently ranks low at #2,920,542 on the global PnL leaderboard, showing a net loss of $28,040.40. The portfolio value stands at zero, and the equity trend is declining, indicating consistent losses despite frequent activity.

The trader’s style appears to be high-risk and high-volume, focusing on a broad range of markets but with an extremely low sell percentage of 1%, suggesting a strong hold strategy. Emotional-Yolk has a remarkable win rate of 99.0% and an unusually high profit factor of 160.77, which may indicate that winning trades are heavily outweighed by occasional large losses. The negative Sharpe ratio of -0.24 and below-average Smart Score of 23/100 reflect inefficient risk-adjusted returns and suboptimal timing.

Emotional-Yolk’s main strength lies in persistence and volume, as highlighted by badges like Diamond Hands and High Roller. However, the large net losses, zero portfolio value, and declining equity trend highlight significant risks. The low bot score confirms manual trading, which might contribute to inconsistent performance. Overall, Emotional-Yolk’s approach on Polymarket shows potential for high payoff but carries substantial downside exposure.

Badges

4
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
94 wins in a row
Whale
$556,328
High Roller
$2,338/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,609,777$-11,829Vol: $765,061
SPORTS#1,757,319$-19,110Vol: $296,571

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-28,040
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,084,238
Total Redeem
$511,357
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
180
total markets
Trades
305B / 4S
Daily Volume
$2,338
Account Age
245d
since Nov 3, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-3,348
Vol: $23,634
Month
$-9,295
Vol: $196,839
All Time
$-28,040
Vol: $1,084,238

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
87W / 81L events
Realized PnL
$195,400
Win Rate
99%
99W / 1L
Profit Factor
160.77x
Avg Win
$2,255
Avg Loss
$-1,389

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,355 (9.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Jets vs. Blackhawks$9,423
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$5,910
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5,023
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$4,996
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$4,897
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$4,802
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$4,741
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$4,644
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$4,587
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4,513

Top Losers

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-1,389

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.244
Sortino
-0.374
HHI
78
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.217
Kelly %
98.7%
Half-Kelly
49.3%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
8.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1160s — typical for humanSize CV 0.86 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.24 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
110 entries
<=2
148 entries
<=5
178 entries
<=10
180 entries
<=20
180 entries
<=50
180 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)44.9%
High (>55c)55.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 53.1%

Other$221,870
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
180

Single bracket

<=1
180 brackets
<=2
180 brackets
<=3
180 brackets
<=4
180 brackets
<=5
180 brackets
<=8
180 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/3/2025, 1:51:49 PM1 trades$1,8420 min
11/3/2025, 8:17:39 PM1 trades$1,2090 min
11/4/2025, 1:27:05 PM1 trades$1,9140 min
11/4/2025, 10:55:35 PM1 trades$2,4660 min
11/5/2025, 9:32:21 AM1 trades$1,2600 min
11/5/2025, 4:44:05 PM1 trades$1,9050 min
11/5/2025, 6:06:07 PM1 trades$3,0450 min
11/6/2025, 1:33:03 AM1 trades$6,6160 min
11/9/2025, 8:03:17 AM1 trades$2,5100 min
3/16/2026, 11:08:05 AM1 trades$4920 min
3/17/2026, 1:01:51 PM1 trades$4930 min
3/18/2026, 12:56:01 PM1 trades$4920 min
3/18/2026, 1:18:45 PM1 trades$1980 min
3/18/2026, 2:39:15 PM1 trades$9840 min
3/18/2026, 8:16:05 PM1 trades$1,4570 min
3/19/2026, 9:01:33 PM1 trades$1,9670 min
3/20/2026, 9:27:51 PM1 trades$1,2800 min
3/20/2026, 9:50:39 PM1 trades$1,9030 min
3/20/2026, 10:21:03 PM1 trades$1,1840 min
3/20/2026, 10:44:33 PM1 trades$1,1820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
11-11
03-18
03-22
04-02
06-15
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event