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@Emotional-Yolk

#2,711,84329

0xb148e374cf3b227625c154f958f9ec57c5079355

198d· 158 markets · 283 tradesVol: $887,3992026-05-14T14:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 0.93x2/15
HHI 9110/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 187%0/10

Summary

Emotional-Yolk is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 283 trades across 156 markets over 159 days. Despite significant activity with a total volume of $887,399, this trader ranks low globally at #2,711,843 and shows a net loss of $18,745.80. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and key performance metrics like the Sharpe ratio (-0.08) and profit factor (0.00) indicate poor risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Emotional-Yolk appears to be high-volume and manual, with a low sell percentage of 1%, suggesting a strong holding bias reflected by badges like Diamond Hands and Whale. The trader engages in diverse markets but shows no activity in weather-related markets. A 100% win rate noted in the data is likely misleading given the negative PnL and profit factor, implying either reporting inconsistencies or that winning trades are small compared to losing ones. The downward equity trend indicates that Emotional-Yolk’s timing and risk management have not been effective.

Emotional-Yolk’s key strength is their high engagement and willingness to take large positions, which could be advantageous if strategies improve. However, the consistent losses, low Smart Score (29/100), and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight significant risks. Their current approach on Polymarket may benefit from reassessment to avoid further drawdowns and improve long-term profitability.

Badges

4
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
86 wins in a row
Whale
$460,778
High Roller
$2,894/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,504,450$-11,829Vol: $765,061
SPORTS#1,636,659$-6,917Vol: $122,338

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18,746
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$887,399
Total Redeem
$434,970
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
281B / 2S
Daily Volume
$2,894
Account Age
198d
since Nov 3, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
86W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$196,251
Win Rate
100%
86W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$2,230
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,355 (10.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Jets vs. Blackhawks$9,423
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$5,910
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5,023
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$4,996
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$4,897
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$4,802
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$4,741
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$4,644
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$4,587
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4,513

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
9.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1034s — typical for humanSize CV 0.84 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.24 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
86 entries
<=2
124 entries
<=5
154 entries
<=10
156 entries
<=20
156 entries
<=50
156 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)45.9%
High (>55c)54.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.1%

Other$191,812
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
156

Single bracket

<=1
156 brackets
<=2
156 brackets
<=3
156 brackets
<=4
156 brackets
<=5
156 brackets
<=8
156 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/3/2025, 1:51:49 PM1 trades$1,8420 min
11/3/2025, 8:17:39 PM1 trades$1,2090 min
11/4/2025, 1:27:05 PM1 trades$1,9140 min
11/4/2025, 10:55:35 PM1 trades$2,4660 min
11/5/2025, 9:32:21 AM1 trades$1,2600 min
11/5/2025, 4:44:05 PM1 trades$1,9050 min
11/5/2025, 6:06:07 PM1 trades$3,0450 min
11/6/2025, 1:33:03 AM1 trades$6,6160 min
11/9/2025, 8:03:17 AM1 trades$2,5100 min
3/16/2026, 11:08:05 AM1 trades$4920 min
3/17/2026, 1:01:51 PM1 trades$4930 min
3/18/2026, 12:56:01 PM1 trades$4920 min
3/18/2026, 1:18:45 PM1 trades$1980 min
3/18/2026, 2:39:15 PM1 trades$9840 min
3/18/2026, 8:16:05 PM1 trades$1,4570 min
3/19/2026, 9:01:33 PM1 trades$1,9670 min
3/20/2026, 9:27:51 PM1 trades$1,2800 min
3/20/2026, 9:50:39 PM1 trades$1,9030 min
3/20/2026, 10:21:03 PM1 trades$1,1840 min
3/20/2026, 10:44:33 PM1 trades$1,1820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
11-09
03-16
03-19
03-22
04-01
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event