Polydata

@Esteemed-Scrip

#1,42992

0x82cf2b31d18fca19830e216b98cffa5dbc6c0998

702d· 364 markets · 2643 tradesVol: $2,520,3682026-06-19T04:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 92%20/20
Profit Factor 30.20x15/15
Sharpe 0.3817/15
Sortino 3.92910/10
EV $+15.02210/10
HHI 22910/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Esteemed-Scrip is a highly skilled and moderately active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #1429 globally by net PnL. With a net profit of $118,256.29 from over 2,600 trades and a total volume exceeding $2.5 million, Esteemed-Scrip demonstrates significant market engagement over 895 days of activity. Their Smart Score of 92/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance and advanced trading acumen.

Esteemed-Scrip favors a diversified approach, having traded across 260 different markets, with a preference for stability and calculated risk-taking. Their high win rate of 84% and a profit factor of 2.98 indicate a strong ability to capitalize on favorable outcomes while managing losses effectively. The trader exhibits a moderate risk profile with a relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.38, suggesting cautious exposure to volatility. Timing-wise, Esteemed-Scrip maintains a steady trading rhythm without prolonged drawdown periods, and their 32% sell rate suggests a balance between holding positions and taking profits.

The key strengths of Esteemed-Scrip include their elite Smart Score and high profitability, supported by a consistent equity trend and minimal drawdown duration. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio signals potential vulnerability during high volatility, and the low Bot Score suggests human-driven decisions that may occasionally be slower than algorithmic strategies. Overall, Esteemed-Scrip’s disciplined approach and diversified market activity position them as a reliable trader on Polymarket, with manageable but present risks.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+118,256
Lottery Player
41% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
65% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 6.9 entries/market
Win Streak
45 wins in a row
Whale
$215,111
Consistent
122/131 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
CRYPTO#4,996$9,588Vol: $717,595
SPORTS#1,427$35,729Vol: $394,124
🏛️ POLITICS#13,876$1,475Vol: $335,132
🎭 CULTURE#449$16,874Vol: $299,657
💰 FINANCE#868$5,767Vol: $184,555
🌤️ WEATHER#4,909$164Vol: $112,224
📈 ECONOMICS#1,723$2,013Vol: $92,489
📢 MENTIONS#527$3,071Vol: $63,119
💻 TECH#3,023$281Vol: $3,926

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$118,256
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,520,368
Total Redeem
$67,144
Portfolio
$6,254
Predictions
364
total markets
Trades
1806B / 837S
Daily Volume
$240
Account Age
702d
since Jul 18, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $1,804
Week
$3,632
Vol: $37,404
Month
$12,050
Vol: $197,562
All Time
$118,256
Vol: $2,520,368

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
204W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$141,544
Win Rate
84%
184W / 35L
Profit Factor
2.98x
Avg Win
$626
Avg Loss
$-1,104

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,401 (46.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner$18,893
World Championships: Switzerland/Norway vs. Canada/Finland$8,559
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner$7,950
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 $7,872
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$3,999
Set 1 Winner: Silva vs Silva$3,648
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$3,205
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-03-13?$3,143
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?$3,129
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of $3,129

Top Losers

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Public (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episo$-5,401
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-4,845
Will Red Star FC win on 2025-12-05?$-3,370
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$-3,329
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?$-2,796
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Green$-2,381
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs NSN (BO3) - ESL Challenger L$-2,167
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?$-1,866
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?$-1,770
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9,$-1,665

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.381
Sortino
3.929
HHI
229
Diversified
EV per $1
$15.022
Kelly %
69.2%
Half-Kelly
34.6%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
23.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — typical for humanSize CV 4.70 — diverse, typical for human8% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness10 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.9
Active DCA
<=1
94 entries
<=2
139 entries
<=5
196 entries
<=10
227 entries
<=20
247 entries
<=50
254 entries
>50
6 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.3%
Mid (20-55c)30.3%
High (>55c)28.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 31.6%

Other$76,573
New York City$44
Durant$0
Paris$0
Miami$0
Tel Aviv$-4
Austin$-45

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
213

Single bracket

<=1
179 brackets
<=2
204 brackets
<=3
211 brackets
<=4
211 brackets
<=5
213 brackets
<=8
213 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/10/2025, 1:27:23 AM3 trades$6092 min
10/20/2025, 12:48:35 PM6 trades$4791 min
10/20/2025, 1:10:55 PM1 trades$8100 min
10/29/2025, 9:02:19 PM14 trades$1,34412 min
10/29/2025, 9:25:11 PM1 trades$1,8580 min
10/30/2025, 12:48:07 PM3 trades$2,1250 min
10/30/2025, 1:09:49 PM4 trades$2,4920 min
11/1/2025, 2:03:23 PM1 trades$110 min
11/1/2025, 3:40:11 PM1 trades$250 min
11/1/2025, 5:02:59 PM1 trades$240 min
11/1/2025, 5:13:15 PM1 trades$10 min
11/1/2025, 6:43:04 PM1 trades$130 min
11/1/2025, 6:51:40 PM1 trades$130 min
11/1/2025, 7:15:06 PM1 trades$10 min
11/1/2025, 7:33:38 PM1 trades$40 min
11/2/2025, 1:06:56 AM1 trades$4610 min
11/2/2025, 1:51:04 AM1 trades$330 min
11/2/2025, 12:24:25 PM6 trades$145 min
11/2/2025, 10:43:27 PM1 trades$3500 min
11/2/2025, 11:53:05 PM1 trades$960 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-18
01-01
02-01
03-16
04-27
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event