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Euan

@Euan

#43357

0xdd225a03cd7ed89e3931906c67c75ab31cf89ef1

607d· 2001 markets · 17771 tradesVol: $45,917,105 @Euanker2026-07-03T05:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 6.40x15/15
EV $+3.41510/10
HHI 20610/10
Profit Days 39%2/10

Summary

Euan is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking #433 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $429,626.07. Over 770 days, Euan has executed 17,771 trades across 273 markets, generating a total volume of nearly $46 million. Despite the large volume and number of trades, Euan’s portfolio value currently stands at $162,684.22, and the equity trend has been declining, reflecting recent performance challenges.

Euan’s trading style appears aggressive and high-frequency, demonstrated by a substantial number of trades and a relatively low win rate of 41.6%. The trader does not engage in weather markets but maintains a sell percentage of 42%, suggesting a balanced approach between opening and closing positions. The profit factor of 0.12 and a negative Sharpe ratio indicate a higher risk profile with underwhelming risk-adjusted returns. Euan’s timing seems consistent, but the downward equity trend points to challenges in capturing sustained profits.

Key strengths for Euan include extensive market experience and significant trading volume, supported by badges like Sniper and High Roller, which imply skill and confidence in execution. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and declining portfolio value raise concerns about risk management and strategy sustainability. Traders watching Euan should consider the potential for volatility and drawdowns despite the large net PnL accrued over time.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+429,626
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$9,548,337
High Roller
$12,400/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#517$98,963Vol: $14,338,635
SPORTS#1,125$55,429Vol: $13,468,667
CRYPTO#505$70,352Vol: $5,870,691
🎭 CULTURE#78$78,988Vol: $4,807,352
💻 TECH#9$64,241Vol: $2,771,450
📈 ECONOMICS#616$9,043Vol: $1,695,107
💰 FINANCE#93$38,406Vol: $1,541,393
📢 MENTIONS#91$22,688Vol: $857,992
🌤️ WEATHER#287,752$-4,705Vol: $121,134

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$429,626
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,917,105
Total Redeem
$1,206,494
Portfolio
$162,684
Predictions
2001
total markets
Trades
10260B / 7511S
Daily Volume
$12,400
Account Age
607d
since Nov 6, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$728
Vol: $1,384,508
Month
$90
Vol: $196,846
All Time
$429,626
Vol: $45,917,105

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
195W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$1,238,866
Win Rate
42%
99W / 139L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$4,037
Avg Loss
$-23,485

Top Winners

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$190,190
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$48,296
Up Only podcast released by November 30?$11,161
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$9,166
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$7,848
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$5,964
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$5,705
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December$5,129
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $4,872
OpenAI browser by October 31?$4,818

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-288,840
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-288,550
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-226,864
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-220,914
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-190,786
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-177,003
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)$-138,307
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)$-132,256
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$-99,161
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-89,766

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.338
Sortino
-0.289
HHI
206
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.415
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
21.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — typical for humanSize CV 6.16 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.06 — human randomness30 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
26 entries
<=2
38 entries
<=5
78 entries
<=10
114 entries
<=20
161 entries
<=50
217 entries
>50
54 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)53.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 53.7%

Dallas$0
Madrid$0
Milan$0
London$-14,381
New York City$-120,119
Other$-2,730,190

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
224

Single bracket

<=1
192 brackets
<=2
216 brackets
<=3
219 brackets
<=4
222 brackets
<=5
223 brackets
<=8
224 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/21/2024, 9:07:02 PM1 trades$1930 min
11/21/2024, 9:40:22 PM3 trades$3371 min
11/21/2024, 10:27:38 PM4 trades$443 min
11/21/2024, 11:36:44 PM2 trades$4484 min
11/21/2024, 11:57:00 PM1 trades$1610 min
11/22/2024, 12:11:26 AM1 trades$460 min
11/22/2024, 12:17:42 AM2 trades$7304 min
11/22/2024, 12:55:16 AM3 trades$2338 min
11/22/2024, 1:20:45 AM3 trades$3052 min
11/22/2024, 1:33:32 AM1 trades$170 min
11/22/2024, 2:38:34 AM2 trades$1231 min
11/22/2024, 2:46:28 AM1 trades$1200 min
11/22/2024, 2:53:08 AM1 trades$2770 min
11/22/2024, 3:09:25 AM1 trades$540 min
11/22/2024, 3:15:47 AM7 trades$67018 min
11/22/2024, 3:39:15 AM1 trades$70 min
11/22/2024, 6:16:04 AM1 trades$1,4320 min
11/22/2024, 6:34:22 AM2 trades$74 min
11/22/2024, 6:49:01 AM2 trades$2923 min
11/22/2024, 6:59:11 AM2 trades$3111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-18
06-13
11-13
01-15
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event