Polydata

@Euphoric-Spray

#2,694,06895

0xc1a030baa198011b7a6e6dfb0f9649c933c84a06

163d· 1366 markets · 1001 tradesVol: $27,1762026-07-18T01:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 407.07x15/15
Sharpe 0.52210/15
Sortino 8930.66710/10
EV $+0.39610/10
HHI 3210/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Euphoric-Spray is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 1,001 trades across 800 markets over the past 364 days. Despite a negative net PnL of $-220.30, they maintain an elite Smart Score of 95/100, reflecting strong trading skill and consistency. Their global rank of #2,694,068 places them well into the long tail of traders, but their total volume of $27,176 and near-perfect win rate of 99.6% demonstrate significant market engagement.

The trader’s strategy heavily focuses on weather markets, constituting 95% of their trades, and exhibits a low sell percentage of 10%, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent profit-taking. Euphoric-Spray appears to utilize a sniper-style approach, supported by badges like 🎯 Sniper and 🌡️ Weather Pro, suggesting precision and domain specialization. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.52 and stable equity trend imply moderate risk-taking with steady performance, while the short max drawdown duration points to effective risk management and timing.

Euphoric-Spray’s strengths include remarkable consistency, an extremely high profit factor of 407.07, and a near-flawless win rate, which are notable in Polymarket’s competitive environment. However, their small portfolio value of $5.66 and negative overall PnL raise concerns about capital allocation and long-term profitability. Additionally, the low Bot Score suggests human-driven trading, which may limit scalability compared to automated strategies.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Weather Pro
95% weather
Win Streak
525 wins in a row
Consistent
110/110 days

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#285,453$-180Vol: $21,431
🏛️ POLITICS#1,403,724$-29Vol: $3,288
💰 FINANCE#543,773$-6Vol: $571
CRYPTO#386,393$1Vol: $522
📈 ECONOMICS#96,484$1Vol: $507
🎭 CULTURE#612,106$-3Vol: $487
📢 MENTIONS#119,059$-8Vol: $163
SPORTS#1,155,846$-4Vol: $105
💻 TECH#27,875$3Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-220
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,176
Total Redeem
$2,443
Portfolio
$6
Predictions
1366
total markets
Trades
896B / 105S
Daily Volume
$8
Account Age
163d
since Feb 4, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $26
Month
$7
Vol: $182
All Time
$-220
Vol: $27,176

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
236W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$748
Win Rate
100%
694W / 3L
Profit Factor
407.07x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $208 (21.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?$169
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?$27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 28?$12
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F $10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?$10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March$9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 28?$8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 4?$8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 3?$8

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 15?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 10?$-1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F $-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.522
Sortino
inf
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.396
Kelly %
99.4%
Half-Kelly
49.7%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1793s — typical for humanSize CV 0.69 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
767 entries
<=2
786 entries
<=5
797 entries
<=10
799 entries
<=20
799 entries
<=50
800 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.8%
High (>55c)87.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 6.3%

Shanghai$250
Other$89
Miami$61
Singapore$50
New York City$44
Taipei$33
Hong Kong$33
Paris$30
Moscow$22
Atlanta$22
Los Angeles$21
Ankara$20
London$19
Cape Town$18
Chicago$17
Munich$16
Istanbul$16
Chengdu$15

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
592

Single bracket

<=1
419 brackets
<=2
563 brackets
<=3
592 brackets
<=4
592 brackets
<=5
592 brackets
<=8
592 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/19/2026, 11:12:04 PM2 trades$134 min
2/19/2026, 11:25:48 PM3 trades$146 min
2/20/2026, 12:09:10 AM1 trades$40 min
2/20/2026, 2:10:10 AM1 trades$60 min
2/20/2026, 2:20:28 AM1 trades$20 min
2/20/2026, 5:09:00 AM1 trades$70 min
2/20/2026, 3:17:38 PM1 trades$60 min
2/21/2026, 8:25:16 PM1 trades$90 min
2/22/2026, 10:09:08 AM1 trades$40 min
2/22/2026, 10:30:30 PM3 trades$491 min
2/23/2026, 9:16:04 PM2 trades$91 min
2/23/2026, 11:24:08 PM1 trades$50 min
2/24/2026, 5:03:36 AM1 trades$30 min
2/24/2026, 5:22:34 AM3 trades$32 min
2/24/2026, 7:39:00 AM1 trades$70 min
2/24/2026, 11:32:38 AM1 trades$30 min
2/24/2026, 3:13:14 PM2 trades$80 min
2/24/2026, 11:14:32 PM1 trades$60 min
2/25/2026, 3:32:20 PM2 trades$480 min
2/25/2026, 10:13:46 PM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
04-05
05-05
05-23
06-10
06-29
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
95.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event