Polydata
Every-Reform

@Every-Reform

#3,913100

0x8eab0c46127830072631db88e9dbaeb0b953a56d

392d· 1870 markets · 10641 tradesVol: $19,092,601 @LinaBellOnPoly2026-06-29T22:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 157.32x15/15
Sharpe 1.24515/15
Sortino 848.06310/10
EV $+101.11410/10
HHI 9810/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Every-Reform is an experienced and active trader on Polymarket with nearly a year of consistent activity, reflected in 10,641 trades across 260 markets. Despite ranking #3913 globally on the PnL leaderboard, they have achieved a notable net profit of $40,587.89 and maintain a portfolio value just over $10,000. Their elite smart score of 100/100 indicates strong analytical skills, while a total trading volume exceeding $19 million highlights significant market engagement.

The trader’s strategy appears diversified across many markets, with a relatively low win rate of 14.4% but a high Sharpe ratio of 1.24, suggesting they take calculated risks that balance reward and volatility. Every-Reform’s sell percentage of 26% and zero-day max drawdown duration indicate disciplined risk management and timely exits. Their profile as a contrarian and sniper hints at opportunistic, high-conviction bets rather than following consensus, supported by a low profit factor of 0.01 which may reflect a focus on selective high-impact trades rather than consistent small gains.

Every-Reform’s strengths lie in their elite analytical capacity and stable equity trend, which point to a disciplined and informed trading approach on Polymarket. However, the low win rate and profit factor suggest potential vulnerability to periods of underperformance or reliance on a few significant wins. The relatively low bot score indicates human intuition likely guides their decisions, which can be advantageous for adaptability but may introduce emotional bias risks.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+40,588
Lottery Player
46% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Whale
$1,644,531
Consistent
128/130 days
High Roller
$4,739/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#182$40,540Vol: $19,054,511
🏛️ POLITICS#188,491$7Vol: $25,034
CRYPTO#119,813$54Vol: $7,559
📈 ECONOMICS#638,062$-66Vol: $3,338
💻 TECH#12,811$19Vol: $825
💰 FINANCE#91,524$3Vol: $696

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$40,588
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,092,601
Total Redeem
$123,101
Portfolio
$10,175
Predictions
1870
total markets
Trades
7885B / 2756S
Daily Volume
$4,739
Account Age
392d
since Jun 4, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-394
Vol: $32,635
Week
$-394
Vol: $42,526
Month
$-280
Vol: $1,483,398
All Time
$40,588
Vol: $19,092,601

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
133W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$731,829
Win Rate
14%
29W / 172L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$654
Avg Loss
$-7,718

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5,030
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$4,987
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$4,665
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19,$1,146
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2,$454
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2$354
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14$338
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7,$277
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 2$265
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$252

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$-28,973
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$-26,964
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$-26,370
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 2$-25,677
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11$-25,110
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 202$-24,632
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11$-24,567
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 202$-24,217
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23,$-24,167
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$-23,111

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.245
Sortino
848.063
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$101.114
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
8.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.1m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — typical for humanSize CV 5.74 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness41 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
30.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
12 entries
<=2
21 entries
<=5
39 entries
<=10
78 entries
<=20
126 entries
<=50
205 entries
>50
52 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.6%
Mid (20-55c)9.8%
High (>55c)44.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 68.1%

Other$-1,308,521

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
115

Moderate coverage

<=1
48 brackets
<=2
88 brackets
<=3
104 brackets
<=4
107 brackets
<=5
109 brackets
<=8
111 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/11/2025, 10:54:44 AM1 trades$4380 min
10/11/2025, 2:35:38 PM1 trades$850 min
10/14/2025, 2:55:29 AM1 trades$2760 min
10/14/2025, 4:49:59 AM2 trades$1820 min
10/14/2025, 8:20:37 AM1 trades$1910 min
10/14/2025, 11:43:01 AM4 trades$1953 min
10/14/2025, 11:53:35 AM1 trades$970 min
10/14/2025, 1:04:55 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/21/2025, 4:51:31 PM1 trades$1590 min
10/21/2025, 5:16:53 PM1 trades$1700 min
10/22/2025, 10:56:22 AM1 trades$650 min
10/22/2025, 1:07:28 PM1 trades$1530 min
10/22/2025, 3:14:52 PM1 trades$2200 min
10/22/2025, 5:31:32 PM1 trades$9810 min
10/22/2025, 11:37:17 PM1 trades$8780 min
10/23/2025, 1:58:35 AM1 trades$180 min
10/23/2025, 4:27:21 AM1 trades$20 min
10/23/2025, 5:57:59 AM1 trades$150 min
10/23/2025, 6:42:21 AM1 trades$770 min
10/23/2025, 8:11:17 AM1 trades$1980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-24
12-30
02-06
03-20
05-08
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event