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@Exalted-Stepaunt

#166,12719

0x6aacfab853781b936aa5aaf91560e5ab56c0ecd6

153d· 169 markets · 645 tradesVol: $161,252 @JoshxKang2026-06-24T19:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%4/20
Profit Factor 1.01x3/15
Sharpe 0.0040/15
Sortino 0.0040/10
EV $+0.0141/10
HHI 15510/10
Profit Days 37%2/10
DD/Peak 118%0/10

Summary

Exalted-Stepaunt is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 645 trades across 169 markets over 113 days. They hold a net profit of $197.45, placing them at rank #166127 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a beginner-level Smart Score of 19/100, their total trading volume is substantial at $161,252, indicating significant market engagement.

This trader prefers a contrarian style, as suggested by their badge, and maintains a high win rate of 73.8% with a strong profit factor of 4.66. They tend to avoid weather markets entirely and sell only 23% of their positions, implying a mostly buy-and-hold or long bias. Exalted-Stepaunt’s activity pattern shows consistent upward equity growth without significant drawdowns, indicating a conservative risk approach and effective timing in market entries.

Exalted-Stepaunt’s strengths lie in their ability to generate steady profits with a solid win streak and an upward equity trend on Polymarket. However, their low Smart Score and Sharpe Ratio of zero suggest limited sophistication and potential vulnerability to market volatility. The absence of portfolio value might indicate closed positions or withdrawal, which could impact future trading momentum.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+197
Contrarian
77% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#80,786$197Vol: $161,252

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$197
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$161,252
Total Redeem
$7,231
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
498B / 147S
Daily Volume
$321
Account Age
153d
since Feb 12, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
38%
62W / 101L events
Realized PnL
$12,750
Win Rate
74%
62W / 22L
Profit Factor
4.66x
Avg Win
$254
Avg Loss
$-153

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,271 (34.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bucks vs. Thunder$2,073
Clippers vs. Spurs$1,292
Bulls vs. Suns$906
Heat vs. Hornets$736
Clippers vs. Warriors$724
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs$710
76ers vs. Celtics$606
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$584
76ers vs. Celtics$556
Pistons vs. Raptors$508

Top Losers

Pistons vs. Heat$-668
Knicks vs. Nuggets$-604
Magic vs. Pistons$-401
Pelicans vs. Suns$-382
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-331
Wizards vs. Pelicans$-245
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)$-226
Mavericks vs. Hornets$-139
Nets vs. Pistons$-88
Magic vs. Celtics$-84

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.004
Sortino
0.004
HHI
155
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
58.4%
Half-Kelly
29.2%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
68%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 448s — typical for humanSize CV 1.30 — diverse, typical for human68% at night — bot never sleeps18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.80 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
61 entries
<=2
90 entries
<=5
150 entries
<=10
166 entries
<=20
169 entries
<=50
169 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.5%
Mid (20-55c)57.4%
High (>55c)16.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$12,348

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
163

Single bracket

<=1
158 brackets
<=2
162 brackets
<=3
163 brackets
<=4
163 brackets
<=5
163 brackets
<=8
163 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/4/2026, 11:19:21 PM1 trades$1170 min
2/9/2026, 9:26:57 PM1 trades$2500 min
2/10/2026, 1:35:23 AM1 trades$610 min
2/10/2026, 2:07:41 AM2 trades$1480 min
2/10/2026, 2:27:45 AM1 trades$110 min
2/10/2026, 11:55:45 PM2 trades$1330 min
2/11/2026, 12:48:29 AM2 trades$2050 min
2/11/2026, 1:26:23 AM2 trades$720 min
2/11/2026, 3:34:25 AM2 trades$7610 min
2/11/2026, 4:04:49 AM2 trades$780 min
2/11/2026, 5:41:31 AM3 trades$2832 min
2/11/2026, 6:52:31 AM1 trades$4000 min
2/11/2026, 7:19:33 AM1 trades$500 min
2/11/2026, 7:47:45 AM1 trades$500 min
2/11/2026, 9:48:53 PM11 trades$1,27019 min
2/11/2026, 10:18:41 PM2 trades$1500 min
2/11/2026, 10:27:45 PM2 trades$1870 min
2/11/2026, 10:40:51 PM4 trades$3832 min
2/12/2026, 12:31:59 AM2 trades$1452 min
2/12/2026, 12:40:51 AM2 trades$3502 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
03-05
03-29
04-14
04-25
05-07
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event