Polydata

@Exalted-Stepaunt

#158,06319

0x6aacfab853781b936aa5aaf91560e5ab56c0ecd6

107d· 169 markets · 645 tradesVol: $161,252 @JoshxKang2026-05-30T07:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%4/20
Profit Factor 1.01x3/15
Sharpe 0.0040/15
Sortino 0.0040/10
EV $+0.0141/10
HHI 15510/10
Profit Days 37%2/10
DD/Peak 118%0/10

Summary

Exalted-Stepaunt is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 645 trades across 169 markets over 113 days. With a net PnL of $197.45, they currently rank #158,063 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a relatively low Smart Score of 19/100 indicating beginner status, Exalted-Stepaunt maintains a positive and upward growing equity trend, demonstrating consistent engagement and profitability.

The trader shows a preference for a diverse range of markets, avoiding weather-related ones entirely. Their win rate is strong at 73.8%, supported by a profit factor of 4.66, suggesting effective risk management and disciplined trade selection. Exalted-Stepaunt executes trades with a contrarian style, holding a sell percentage of 23%, and appears to favor timing patterns that capitalize on short-term opportunities, as indicated by a max drawdown duration of zero days. The low Bot Score implies a human-driven approach, possibly leveraging fast interface interactions.

Exalted-Stepaunt’s key strengths lie in their high win rate, consistent profitability, and upward equity trend, which highlight solid trading skills for a beginner. However, the low Sharpe Ratio and the lack of portfolio value raise questions about long-term scalability. Additionally, their beginner status and relatively low Smart Score suggest room for improvement in strategy refinement and risk-adjusted returns.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+197
Contrarian
77% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#79,166$197Vol: $161,252

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$197
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$161,252
Total Redeem
$7,231
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
498B / 147S
Daily Volume
$321
Account Age
107d
since Feb 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$3
Vol: $1,398
Month
$633
Vol: $29,953
All Time
$197
Vol: $161,252

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
38%
62W / 101L events
Realized PnL
$12,750
Win Rate
74%
62W / 22L
Profit Factor
4.66x
Avg Win
$254
Avg Loss
$-153

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,271 (34.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bucks vs. Thunder$2,073
Clippers vs. Spurs$1,292
Bulls vs. Suns$906
Heat vs. Hornets$736
Clippers vs. Warriors$724
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs$710
76ers vs. Celtics$606
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$584
76ers vs. Celtics$556
Pistons vs. Raptors$508

Top Losers

Pistons vs. Heat$-668
Knicks vs. Nuggets$-604
Magic vs. Pistons$-401
Pelicans vs. Suns$-382
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-331
Wizards vs. Pelicans$-245
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)$-226
Mavericks vs. Hornets$-139
Nets vs. Pistons$-88
Magic vs. Celtics$-84

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.004
Sortino
0.004
HHI
155
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
58.4%
Half-Kelly
29.2%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
68%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 448s — typical for humanSize CV 1.30 — diverse, typical for human68% at night — bot never sleeps18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.80 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
61 entries
<=2
90 entries
<=5
150 entries
<=10
166 entries
<=20
169 entries
<=50
169 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.5%
Mid (20-55c)57.4%
High (>55c)16.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$12,348

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
163

Single bracket

<=1
158 brackets
<=2
162 brackets
<=3
163 brackets
<=4
163 brackets
<=5
163 brackets
<=8
163 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/4/2026, 11:19:21 PM1 trades$1170 min
2/9/2026, 9:26:57 PM1 trades$2500 min
2/10/2026, 1:35:23 AM1 trades$610 min
2/10/2026, 2:07:41 AM2 trades$1480 min
2/10/2026, 2:27:45 AM1 trades$110 min
2/10/2026, 11:55:45 PM2 trades$1330 min
2/11/2026, 12:48:29 AM2 trades$2050 min
2/11/2026, 1:26:23 AM2 trades$720 min
2/11/2026, 3:34:25 AM2 trades$7610 min
2/11/2026, 4:04:49 AM2 trades$780 min
2/11/2026, 5:41:31 AM3 trades$2832 min
2/11/2026, 6:52:31 AM1 trades$4000 min
2/11/2026, 7:19:33 AM1 trades$500 min
2/11/2026, 7:47:45 AM1 trades$500 min
2/11/2026, 9:48:53 PM11 trades$1,27019 min
2/11/2026, 10:18:41 PM2 trades$1500 min
2/11/2026, 10:27:45 PM2 trades$1870 min
2/11/2026, 10:40:51 PM4 trades$3832 min
2/12/2026, 12:31:59 AM2 trades$1452 min
2/12/2026, 12:40:51 AM2 trades$3502 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
03-05
03-29
04-14
04-25
05-07
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event