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Excited-Reboot

@Excited-Reboot

#21091

0x161eb16874e34f545991e774b4e1ac5b65f86ef0

269d· 1543 markets · 27977 tradesVol: $93,401,5352026-07-01T18:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 41.09x15/15
Sharpe 0.2976/15
Sortino 1.39310/10
EV $+39.59210/10
HHI 8810/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Excited-Reboot is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked 210th on the global PnL leaderboard with an elite Smart Score of 91 out of 100. Over 263 days, they have executed nearly 28,000 trades across 263 markets, generating a net profit of $822,721 on a total volume exceeding $93 million. Despite a substantial trading volume and impressive net PnL, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, with a relatively modest Sharpe ratio of 0.30 indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

Excited-Reboot’s trading style appears to blend automated and manual strategies, as reflected by their semi-bot score of 60 out of 100. They maintain a low win rate of 21.1% but engage in high-frequency trading with a sell percentage of 32%, suggesting an aggressive approach that favors frequent position adjustments over long holding periods. Their focus is not concentrated on any specific market type, with zero exposure to weather markets, indicating a preference for more liquid or predictable markets on Polymarket.

Key strengths for Excited-Reboot include their ability to generate consistent profits at scale, validated by badges such as Profitable, Sniper, and Consistent. However, the low profit factor of 0.07 and flat equity trend suggest that despite large gross profits, their risk management could be improved to reduce volatility. Additionally, the absence of drawdown duration indicates quick recovery from losses, but the overall risk profile remains moderate given the low Sharpe ratio and win rate.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+822,721
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$22,948,435
Consistent
143/147 days
High Roller
$87,137/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
SPORTS#257$372,832Vol: $62,324,755

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$822,721
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,401,535
Total Redeem
$1,409,549
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1543
total markets
Trades
19096B / 8881S
Daily Volume
$87,137
Account Age
269d
since Oct 9, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$4,107
Vol: $456,887
Week
$-17,038
Vol: $954,614
Month
$4,107
Vol: $456,887
All Time
$822,721
Vol: $93,401,535

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
225W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$1,766,417
Win Rate
21%
53W / 198L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$20,247
Avg Loss
$-75,692

Top Winners

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$300,070
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner$230,247
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$205,604
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$160,115
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner$20,065
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$19,146
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner$14,766
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$11,910
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner$11,594
Spurs vs. Knicks$9,417

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Thunder$-535,009
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-479,266
Spurs vs. Thunder$-392,033
Knicks vs. 76ers$-370,708
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-365,043
Lakers vs. Rockets$-350,608
Rockets vs. Thunder$-307,862
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$-304,482
Warriors vs. Suns$-302,961
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$-281,770

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.297
Sortino
1.393
HHI
88
Diversified
EV per $1
$39.592
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
106.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2m
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 5.22 — diverse, typical for human52% at night — bot never sleeps21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.58 — human randomness106 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
72.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
6 entries
<=2
9 entries
<=5
18 entries
<=10
38 entries
<=20
63 entries
<=50
137 entries
>50
126 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)5.1%
High (>55c)91%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 98.4%

Other$-13,913,992

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
225

Single bracket

<=1
198 brackets
<=2
216 brackets
<=3
223 brackets
<=4
225 brackets
<=5
225 brackets
<=8
225 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/11/2025, 1:41:00 AM1 trades$1,1670 min
10/11/2025, 1:49:34 AM9 trades$4,51414 min
10/11/2025, 2:15:08 AM1 trades$740 min
10/17/2025, 10:16:06 AM18 trades$7,4047 min
10/17/2025, 11:05:20 AM10 trades$3,4792 min
10/17/2025, 12:04:24 PM18 trades$10,0358 min
10/17/2025, 12:20:10 PM70 trades$29,1049 min
10/19/2025, 8:19:01 AM9 trades$8,0921 min
10/19/2025, 8:29:21 AM35 trades$60,0629 min
10/19/2025, 8:56:47 AM16 trades$2,6144 min
10/19/2025, 9:12:39 AM2 trades$1392 min
10/19/2025, 9:51:11 AM37 trades$42,50618 min
10/22/2025, 12:41:35 AM13 trades$6,43314 min
10/22/2025, 1:07:25 AM17 trades$4,9619 min
10/22/2025, 1:32:41 AM2 trades$1802 min
10/22/2025, 1:47:38 AM46 trades$8,18213 min
10/22/2025, 2:28:02 AM2 trades$2632 min
10/22/2025, 3:49:26 AM101 trades$30,62051 min
10/24/2025, 3:51:47 AM43 trades$49,89921 min
10/24/2025, 4:20:05 AM12 trades$1,4615 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-11
11-11
12-27
02-07
04-05
05-06
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 72.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event