Polydata

@FTWUTB

#2,964,80486

0xdb2223cc5202a4718c3069f577ec971f71c96478

136d· 499 markets · 44951 tradesVol: $28,366,2362026-07-03T11:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 63%17/20
Profit Factor 2.01x15/15
Sharpe 0.3977/15
Sortino 0.7507/10
EV $+1.00910/10
HHI 10210/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 23%9/10

Summary

FTWUTB is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with nearly 45,000 trades executed across 250 markets over 99 days. Despite the large volume of $28.3 million traded, FTWUTB currently holds a net loss of $225,014, placing them at rank #2,964,804 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value stands at zero, though their smart score of 86/100 signals elite analytical capability. The trader’s equity trend is upward, suggesting improvement over time.

FTWUTB’s trading style appears high-frequency and contrarian, indicated by a low win rate of 5% but badges like Contrarian and Sniper. They avoid weather markets and have a sell percentage of zero, implying a hold-till-resolution approach, consistent with the Diamond Hands badge. The trader’s profit factor of 0.18 and Sharpe ratio of 0.40 suggest a high-risk profile with significant volatility. The Bot Score of 60/100 indicates a semi-automated strategy blending manual and algorithmic inputs.

Key strengths for FTWUTB include strong analytical skills and persistence, as evidenced by their elite smart score and growing equity trend despite losses. However, the low win rate and negative PnL highlight potential concerns regarding risk management and strategy execution. The lack of realized gains and zero portfolio value increase the risk of continued drawdowns if adjustments are not made.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 63%
Contrarian
63% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$6,195,034
Consistent
50/70 days
High Roller
$62,576/day
Cool Head
DD 23%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,792,235$-225,014Vol: $28,366,236

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-225,014
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,366,236
Total Redeem
$904,343
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
499
total markets
Trades
44951B / 0S
Daily Volume
$62,576
Account Age
136d
since Feb 18, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
68%
190W / 91L events
Realized PnL
$6,531,070
Win Rate
5%
6W / 114L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$79,851
Avg Loss
$-22,736

Top Winners

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?$214,523
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5$124,319
CD Limache vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5$55,087
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5$50,114
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)$20,555
CD Limache vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 3.5$14,505

Top Losers

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?$-140,105
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?$-135,359
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-22?$-133,831
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?$-125,635
Botafogo FR vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5$-92,974
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-26?$-89,163
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02?$-88,385
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)$-78,729
Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)$-68,402
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)$-67,426

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.397
Sortino
0.750
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
979.8
Very active
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
54% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 7.37 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?17/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.74 — human randomness980 trades/day — automation380 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
179.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
7 entries
<=2
12 entries
<=5
16 entries
<=10
36 entries
<=20
49 entries
<=50
79 entries
>50
171 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)72.3%
High (>55c)23.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 71.9%

New York City$0
Houston$-75
Dallas$-3,164
São Paulo$-13,207
Chicago$-22,619
Seattle$-26,507
Austin$-41,401
Los Angeles$-46,089
Toronto$-53,141
Miami$-56,890
Other$-1,849,686

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
178

Single bracket

<=1
119 brackets
<=2
170 brackets
<=3
173 brackets
<=4
178 brackets
<=5
178 brackets
<=8
178 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 9:15:04 PM4 trades$7854 min
4/15/2026, 9:26:44 PM243 trades$124,85037 min
4/15/2026, 11:34:14 PM303 trades$7,24442 min
4/16/2026, 12:24:16 AM5 trades$2165 min
4/16/2026, 1:33:30 AM46 trades$15,7439 min
4/16/2026, 2:56:40 AM184 trades$7,15833 min
4/16/2026, 12:55:24 PM3 trades$3710 min
4/16/2026, 1:03:18 PM7 trades$917 min
4/16/2026, 1:26:46 PM140 trades$11,81135 min
4/16/2026, 2:27:46 PM7 trades$101 min
4/16/2026, 2:42:18 PM73 trades$1,45419 min
4/16/2026, 3:09:26 PM4 trades$4523 min
4/16/2026, 3:24:02 PM9 trades$4,1870 min
4/16/2026, 3:33:18 PM1 trades$10 min
4/16/2026, 3:42:24 PM4 trades$714 min
4/16/2026, 6:20:00 PM5 trades$1351 min
4/16/2026, 6:25:30 PM1 trades$90 min
4/16/2026, 6:39:16 PM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2026, 6:48:56 PM3 trades$6065 min
4/16/2026, 7:18:24 PM5 trades$294 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-06
03-23
04-15
04-29
05-11
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 179.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event