Polydata

@Failing-Glimpse

#9,13640

0x1280e5490b62d9939ae70e57a1777a33a66d6b24

237d· 2526 markets · 3758 tradesVol: $1,018,203 @ScorpXxxxx2026-07-01T10:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 83%20/20
Profit Factor 0.15x0/15
HHI 9510/10
Profit Days 68%10/10

Summary

Failing-Glimpse is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 3,758 trades across 1,259 markets over 245 days. Despite a substantial total volume of over $1 million, their net profit and loss stands at $15,716, placing them at rank #9136 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is relatively low at $288.64, indicating a small current equity relative to historical trading volume. The trader’s Smart Score is below average at 40/100, and their Sharpe Ratio is negative, suggesting suboptimal risk-adjusted returns.

Failing-Glimpse tends to favor a high-frequency trading style with a strong win rate of 83.6%, but a low profit factor of 0.15 implies small average gains relative to losses. The trader appears to have a very low sell percentage of 1%, indicating a buy-and-hold approach or minimal exit activity. There is no exposure to weather markets, and the Bot Score of 60 suggests some level of automation combined with manual inputs. The equity trend is upward, implying gradual growth over time despite volatility.

The key strength of Failing-Glimpse lies in their consistent win rate and steady upward equity trend, which signals disciplined trade entry and timing. However, the low profit factor, negative Sharpe ratio, and below-average Smart Score raise concerns about profitability and risk management efficiency. Their current portfolio size and rank reflect limited capital deployment despite high trading volume, which could restrict future gains or risk absorption. Overall, Failing-Glimpse’s performance on Polymarket shows promise but also points to areas for improvement in trade sizing and exit strategy.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+15,716
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
1003 wins in a row
Whale
$532,650
Consistent
15/22 days
High Roller
$2,174/day

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,566,212$-1,114Vol: $821,825
SPORTS#2,941$16,835Vol: $195,335
🏛️ POLITICS#1,405,815$-35Vol: $714
🌤️ WEATHER#12,564$30Vol: $330

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,716
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,018,203
Total Redeem
$205,364
Portfolio
$289
Predictions
2526
total markets
Trades
3734B / 24S
Daily Volume
$2,174
Account Age
237d
since Nov 6, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1,033
Vol: $32,732
Week
$24,118
Vol: $141,581
Month
$1,033
Vol: $32,732
All Time
$15,716
Vol: $1,018,203

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
83%
250W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$12,148
Win Rate
84%
1003W / 197L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-1,785

Top Winners

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$14,817
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$7,672
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5$5,198
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5$4,273
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$2,472
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$1,927
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1,640
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5$1,494
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1,146
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1,067

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$-4,070
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$-4,004
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-3,960
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$-3,960
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$-3,895
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-3,674
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$-3,530
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$-2,999
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-2,463
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$-2,390

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.241
Sortino
-0.145
HHI
95
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.594
Kelly %
35.1%
Half-Kelly
17.6%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
17.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.9
Active
Markets / Day
11.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.1m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 5.30 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.41 — human randomness33 trades/day — suspiciously high11 markets/day — mass coverage301 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA
<=1
896 entries
<=2
996 entries
<=5
1132 entries
<=10
1195 entries
<=20
1221 entries
<=50
1256 entries
>50
3 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)8.8%
High (>55c)91.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.6%

Lucknow$-200
Other$-299,755

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1259

Single bracket

<=1
1259 brackets
<=2
1259 brackets
<=3
1259 brackets
<=4
1259 brackets
<=5
1259 brackets
<=8
1259 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/9/2026, 2:14:09 AM2 trades$7990 min
3/9/2026, 2:23:21 AM8 trades$2,5927 min
3/9/2026, 2:49:15 AM13 trades$5,25411 min
3/9/2026, 3:08:31 AM3 trades$1,1990 min
3/9/2026, 3:29:19 AM5 trades$1,9984 min
3/9/2026, 3:38:51 AM18 trades$7,28016 min
3/9/2026, 4:04:43 AM12 trades$7,30710 min
3/9/2026, 4:34:39 AM3 trades$4,0040 min
3/9/2026, 5:14:39 AM2 trades$2,5635 min
3/9/2026, 5:58:49 AM1 trades$1,4110 min
3/10/2026, 5:47:47 AM1 trades$2000 min
3/11/2026, 10:10:03 AM1 trades$1,6150 min
3/13/2026, 8:04:23 AM1 trades$9900 min
3/13/2026, 8:49:23 AM6 trades$9900 min
3/13/2026, 9:09:43 AM9 trades$1,9800 min
3/13/2026, 9:19:37 AM4 trades$9900 min
3/13/2026, 9:34:29 AM1 trades$9900 min
3/13/2026, 1:40:05 PM4 trades$9900 min
3/13/2026, 3:05:01 PM1 trades$9880 min
3/13/2026, 3:19:57 PM1 trades$9890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-09
03-13
03-17
03-20
06-11
06-25
06-28
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event