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Far-Spit

@Far-Spit

#13,14590

0x66d609dbda9df641eff684190a01182f6de450c7

667d· 271 markets · 5374 tradesVol: $933,5712026-05-16T03:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 3.40x15/15
Sharpe 0.2475/15
Sortino 2408.77710/10
EV $+1.09510/10
HHI 40910/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Far-Spit is an experienced and moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #13145 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 877 days, they have executed 5,374 trades across 230 markets, accumulating a net profit of $9,427.31 on a total volume of $933,571. Their portfolio value currently stands at $11,928, reflecting steady growth and an upward equity trend. With a Smart Score of 90/100, Far-Spit is considered an elite trader despite a relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.25.

Far-Spit’s trading style shows a preference for diverse markets, avoiding weather-related ones entirely. Their win rate of 61.4% and profit factor of 0.62 suggest a moderate risk profile with an emphasis on consistent, incremental gains rather than large payouts. The nearly even sell percentage (45%) and badges like DCA Master and Contrarian imply a strategy involving dollar-cost averaging and contrarian positioning. Far-Spit appears to capitalize on timely entries and exits, supported by a max drawdown duration of zero days, indicating effective risk management and quick recovery from losses.

The key strengths of Far-Spit include disciplined trade execution, portfolio diversification, and a solid win rate that contributes to steady profitability. However, the relatively low profit factor and Sharpe ratio signal potential for improved risk-adjusted returns. Additionally, the Bot Score of 20/100 suggests mostly human-driven trading, which could mean slower reaction times compared to algorithmic traders. Overall, Far-Spit demonstrates a balanced approach that leverages experience but may benefit from optimizing risk-reward metrics on Polymarket.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+9,427
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 13.0 entries/market
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Whale
$180,809
Consistent
48/50 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#4,977$6,337Vol: $594,509
🌤️ WEATHER#445$3,170Vol: $270,758
🎭 CULTURE#709,770$-34Vol: $29,967
SPORTS#1,463,887$-85Vol: $14,134
📈 ECONOMICS#25,765$20Vol: $6,968
💰 FINANCE#46,541$11Vol: $5,435
CRYPTO#214,046$10Vol: $5,091
💻 TECH#205,332$-11Vol: $1,820

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,427
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$933,571
Total Redeem
$1,744
Portfolio
$11,928
Predictions
271
total markets
Trades
2966B / 2408S
Daily Volume
$206
Account Age
667d
since Jul 22, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$152
Vol: $814
Month
$-20
Vol: $2,022
All Time
$9,427
Vol: $933,571

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
125W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$12,514
Win Rate
61%
140W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$98
Avg Loss
$-298

Top Winners

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination$4,002
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$1,818
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic erupti$1,702
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,226
Netanyahu out before April?$972
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$644
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominatio$426
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$395
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?$381
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?$251

Top Losers

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$-2,098
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?$-1,784
Will @letmeinthetournamentplease win the Genesis Cup?$-1,531
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-1,448
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$-1,447
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?$-1,391
Will Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?$-1,385
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic erupti$-937
Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?$-776
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic erupti$-667

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.247
Sortino
inf
HHI
409
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.095
Kelly %
3.2%
Half-Kelly
1.6%
Top-1 market
12.3%
Top-5 markets
38.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 434s — typical for humanSize CV 2.55 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.99 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13
Heavy DCA
<=1
56 entries
<=2
91 entries
<=5
143 entries
<=10
176 entries
<=20
199 entries
<=50
218 entries
>50
11 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.7%
Mid (20-55c)32.5%
High (>55c)41.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.8%

Netanyahu$-3
New York City$-51
Other$-8,292

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
137

Single bracket

<=1
99 brackets
<=2
113 brackets
<=3
126 brackets
<=4
129 brackets
<=5
133 brackets
<=8
136 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/2/2024, 9:22:56 PM1 trades$990 min
11/3/2024, 12:50:45 PM1 trades$1080 min
11/3/2024, 1:20:45 PM1 trades$1080 min
11/3/2024, 10:30:45 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/3/2024, 11:08:23 PM1 trades$50 min
11/4/2024, 12:14:39 AM1 trades$40 min
1/14/2025, 1:19:19 PM1 trades$250 min
1/14/2025, 1:31:53 PM2 trades$412 min
1/14/2025, 2:13:13 PM1 trades$180 min
1/14/2025, 2:56:26 PM1 trades$90 min
1/14/2025, 3:40:34 PM2 trades$121 min
1/14/2025, 4:54:41 PM1 trades$50 min
1/15/2025, 2:10:49 PM3 trades$1305 min
1/15/2025, 2:31:51 PM2 trades$741 min
1/15/2025, 5:07:34 PM2 trades$924 min
1/16/2025, 9:35:28 PM1 trades$880 min
1/17/2025, 12:13:42 PM1 trades$360 min
1/17/2025, 12:43:23 PM1 trades$180 min
1/18/2025, 7:25:02 PM1 trades$1060 min
1/18/2025, 7:46:22 PM1 trades$260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-15
11-20
01-18
03-10
06-30
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event