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Far-Spit

@Far-Spit

#12,17989

0x66d609dbda9df641eff684190a01182f6de450c7

725d· 324 markets · 6300 tradesVol: $1,065,2672026-06-27T08:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 10.54x15/15
Sharpe 0.2354/15
Sortino 13.86010/10
EV $+1.60810/10
HHI 35610/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Far-Spit is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 6,300 trades across 252 markets over 877 days. Ranked #12,179 globally by net PnL, Far-Spit has accumulated $11,310.13 in profits on a total volume exceeding $1 million. Their portfolio value stands at $12,586.69, supported by a strong Smart Score of 89/100, indicating elite trading skill. Despite a profit factor below 1 (0.53), Far-Spit maintains a consistent upward equity trend with no recorded max drawdown duration.

Far-Spit’s trading style reflects a balanced approach, favoring a high win rate of 65.7% with a moderate sell percentage of 45%. Their strategy appears contrarian and disciplined, as suggested by badges like Contrarian and DCA Master, pointing to dollar-cost averaging and selective timing. The absence of weather market trades and a Bot Score of 25/100 suggests human-driven decisions, likely involving fast interface actions. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.24 shows moderate risk-adjusted returns, indicating a somewhat cautious but steady risk profile.

The main strength of Far-Spit lies in their consistent profitability and disciplined execution, supported by an elite Smart Score and positive equity growth. However, the low profit factor and Sharpe Ratio suggest that gains may come with considerable variance and less efficient risk management. Far-Spit’s human-driven, contrarian style can be advantageous in volatile Polymarket environments, but traders should be mindful of potential drawdowns despite the current zero max drawdown duration.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+11,310
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 13.8 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$209,726
Consistent
56/59 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#5,135$6,604Vol: $682,631
🌤️ WEATHER#341$5,066Vol: $304,610
🎭 CULTURE#726,537$-28Vol: $31,984
SPORTS#1,667,443$-351Vol: $17,134
💰 FINANCE#578,699$-20Vol: $9,075
📈 ECONOMICS#25,102$23Vol: $7,168
CRYPTO#181,823$18Vol: $5,956
💻 TECH#214,624$-11Vol: $1,820

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,310
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,065,267
Total Redeem
$2,176
Portfolio
$12,587
Predictions
324
total markets
Trades
3464B / 2836S
Daily Volume
$239
Account Age
725d
since Jul 22, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $46
Week
$66
Vol: $41,753
Month
$283
Vol: $97,422
All Time
$11,310
Vol: $1,065,267

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
139W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$15,994
Win Rate
66%
157W / 82L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$83
Avg Loss
$-297

Top Winners

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination$4,002
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$1,818
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,226
Netanyahu out before April?$972
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$644
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$471
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominatio$426
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$395
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?$381
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$353

Top Losers

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$-2,098
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic erupti$-1,996
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?$-1,784
Will @letmeinthetournamentplease win the Genesis Cup?$-1,531
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-1,448
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$-1,447
Will Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?$-1,385
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic erupti$-980
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic erupti$-798
Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?$-776

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.235
Sortino
13.860
HHI
356
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.608
Kelly %
18.9%
Half-Kelly
9.4%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
35.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.4m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 446s — typical for humanSize CV 2.67 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness10 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
54 entries
<=2
88 entries
<=5
148 entries
<=10
186 entries
<=20
216 entries
<=50
238 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.5%
Mid (20-55c)32.6%
High (>55c)41.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48.9%

Netanyahu$471
New York City$-51
Up or Down$-93
Other$-11,688

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
143

Single bracket

<=1
101 brackets
<=2
115 brackets
<=3
124 brackets
<=4
134 brackets
<=5
139 brackets
<=8
142 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/2/2024, 9:22:56 PM1 trades$990 min
11/3/2024, 12:50:45 PM1 trades$1080 min
11/3/2024, 1:20:45 PM1 trades$1080 min
11/3/2024, 10:30:45 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/3/2024, 11:08:23 PM1 trades$50 min
11/4/2024, 12:14:39 AM1 trades$40 min
1/14/2025, 1:19:19 PM1 trades$250 min
1/14/2025, 1:31:53 PM2 trades$412 min
1/14/2025, 2:13:13 PM1 trades$180 min
1/14/2025, 2:56:26 PM1 trades$90 min
1/14/2025, 3:40:34 PM2 trades$121 min
1/14/2025, 4:54:41 PM1 trades$50 min
1/15/2025, 2:10:49 PM3 trades$1305 min
1/15/2025, 2:31:51 PM2 trades$741 min
1/15/2025, 5:07:34 PM2 trades$924 min
1/16/2025, 9:35:28 PM1 trades$880 min
1/17/2025, 12:13:42 PM1 trades$360 min
1/17/2025, 12:43:23 PM1 trades$180 min
1/18/2025, 7:25:02 PM1 trades$1060 min
1/18/2025, 7:46:22 PM1 trades$260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-31
12-19
01-31
04-30
06-22
01-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event