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@FeatherLeather

#5186

0xd25c72ac0928385610611c8148803dc717334d20

154d· 9 markets · 644 tradesVol: $5,237,1512026-06-09T13:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 78%20/20
Profit Factor 7.49x15/15
Sharpe 0.58211/15
Sortino 299640068.05110/10
EV $+6.48510/10
HHI 24590/10
Profit Days 86%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

FeatherLeather is a highly active and successful trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #51 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 24 days, they have executed 644 trades across 9 markets, achieving a net profit of over $2 million on a total volume exceeding $5.2 million. Their elite Smart Score of 86/100 reflects consistent, high-quality trading performance with an impressive 100% win rate.

The trader’s strategy appears focused on a select group of markets, avoiding weather-related events and favoring a contrarian, sniper-style approach. FeatherLeather employs a disciplined risk profile, reflected in zero recorded drawdown days and a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.58. Their trading pattern emphasizes timing precision and steady accumulation, supported by badges indicating mastery in dollar-cost averaging and holding positions firmly (“Diamond Hands”). The semi-bot score suggests a mix of automated and manual decision-making.

FeatherLeather’s key strengths include exceptional trade accuracy, strong capital growth, and a robust, upward equity trend. However, the absence of sell transactions and a zero profit factor raise questions about the sustainability of their current approach. Additionally, reliance on semi-automated trading could introduce risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, FeatherLeather demonstrates elite performance but should monitor risk management as volume and market complexity increase.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+2,097,480
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 71.6 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$2,452,277
Consistent
6/7 days
High Roller
$102,178/day
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

1
SPORTS#33$2,097,480Vol: $5,237,151

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,097,480
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,237,151
Total Redeem
$4,565,585
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
644B / 0S
Daily Volume
$102,178
Account Age
154d
since Jan 14, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
7W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$2,420,902
Win Rate
100%
7W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$348,106
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,189,175 (89.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?$1,415,649
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?$420,370
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?$353,157
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?$247,327
Rockets vs. Thunder$129
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$65
Seahawks vs. Patriots$48

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.582
Sortino
inf
HHI
2459
Moderate
EV per $1
$6.485
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.2%
Top-5 markets
97.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
73.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
58.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
44% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 4.49 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern6/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.68 — human randomness73 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
71.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
3 entries
<=2
3 entries
<=5
3 entries
<=10
3 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
4 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)83.1%
High (>55c)16.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 86.8%

Milan$1,415,649
Other$600,726
Paris$420,370

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
9

Single bracket

<=1
9 brackets
<=2
9 brackets
<=3
9 brackets
<=4
9 brackets
<=5
9 brackets
<=8
9 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/29/2026, 7:28:28 PM179 trades$291,37832 min
1/31/2026, 5:44:24 PM83 trades$256,19616 min
1/31/2026, 7:21:48 PM8 trades$110,5626 min
1/31/2026, 7:40:36 PM57 trades$174,0264 min
2/1/2026, 7:33:06 PM19 trades$218,7031 min
2/1/2026, 7:42:26 PM38 trades$420,8362 min
2/3/2026, 7:23:56 PM208 trades$913,02821 min
2/7/2026, 1:47:13 PM3 trades$3095 min
2/7/2026, 1:58:57 PM33 trades$25,6215 min
2/7/2026, 2:10:39 PM8 trades$37,9158 min
2/7/2026, 2:28:53 PM8 trades$3,7051 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
01-31
02-01
02-03
02-07
02-08
02-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 71.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event