Polydata

@FeatherLeather

#4786

0xd25c72ac0928385610611c8148803dc717334d20

126d· 9 markets · 644 tradesVol: $5,237,1512026-05-20T22:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 78%20/20
Profit Factor 7.49x15/15
Sharpe 0.58211/15
Sortino 299640068.05110/10
EV $+6.48510/10
HHI 24590/10
Profit Days 86%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

FeatherLeather is a highly active Polymarket trader, ranked 47th on the global PnL leaderboard with an elite Smart Score of 86 out of 100. Over 24 days, they have executed 644 trades across 9 markets, generating a net PnL of approximately $2.1 million on a total volume exceeding $5.2 million. Despite the substantial activity, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating positions may be fully closed or balanced. The trader maintains a perfect win rate of 100%, reflecting consistent profitable outcomes.

FeatherLeather’s strategy appears focused and disciplined, favoring a selective number of markets with a contrarian approach as suggested by their badges. Their risk profile seems moderate, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 0.58 and no recorded drawdown duration, implying effective risk management and timing. The trader avoids selling and weather-related markets, and their zero profit factor may hint at an unconventional calculation or strategy structure. Their style incorporates dollar-cost averaging and a strong commitment to holding positions, aligned with the "Diamond Hands" badge.

The key strengths of FeatherLeather include exceptional consistency, a high win rate, and an upward equity trend, positioning them as a reliable figure on Polymarket. However, the absence of a current portfolio value and a moderate Sharpe ratio suggest potential liquidity or exposure constraints. Additionally, the semi-bot score indicates some degree of automation, which may introduce systematic risks if market conditions shift. Overall, FeatherLeather’s profile reflects a robust yet cautious trading approach with impressive results.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+2,097,480
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 71.6 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$2,452,277
Consistent
6/7 days
High Roller
$102,178/day
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

1
SPORTS#28$2,097,480Vol: $5,237,151

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,097,480
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,237,151
Total Redeem
$4,565,585
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
644B / 0S
Daily Volume
$102,178
Account Age
126d
since Jan 14, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
7W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$2,420,902
Win Rate
100%
7W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$348,106
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,189,175 (89.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?$1,415,649
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?$420,370
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?$353,157
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?$247,327
Rockets vs. Thunder$129
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$65
Seahawks vs. Patriots$48

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.582
Sortino
inf
HHI
2459
Moderate
EV per $1
$6.485
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.2%
Top-5 markets
97.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
73.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
58.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
44% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 4.49 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern6/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.68 — human randomness73 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
71.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
3 entries
<=2
3 entries
<=5
3 entries
<=10
3 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
4 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)83.1%
High (>55c)16.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 86.8%

Milan$1,415,649
Other$600,726
Paris$420,370

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
9

Single bracket

<=1
9 brackets
<=2
9 brackets
<=3
9 brackets
<=4
9 brackets
<=5
9 brackets
<=8
9 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/29/2026, 7:28:28 PM179 trades$291,37832 min
1/31/2026, 5:44:24 PM83 trades$256,19616 min
1/31/2026, 7:21:48 PM8 trades$110,5626 min
1/31/2026, 7:40:36 PM57 trades$174,0264 min
2/1/2026, 7:33:06 PM19 trades$218,7031 min
2/1/2026, 7:42:26 PM38 trades$420,8362 min
2/3/2026, 7:23:56 PM208 trades$913,02821 min
2/7/2026, 1:47:13 PM3 trades$3095 min
2/7/2026, 1:58:57 PM33 trades$25,6215 min
2/7/2026, 2:10:39 PM8 trades$37,9158 min
2/7/2026, 2:28:53 PM8 trades$3,7051 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
01-31
02-01
02-03
02-07
02-08
02-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 71.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event