Polydata

@Fernandoinfante

#89037

0xd7375270e4769d3cc31885773070a5f12d5bbe95

137d· 55 markets · 286 tradesVol: $5,921,1332026-07-03T19:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 27%0/20
Profit Factor 1.80x13/15
Sharpe 0.0952/15
Sortino 0.2633/10
EV $+0.41710/10
HHI 16204/10
Profit Days 38%2/10
DD/Peak 53%3/10

Summary

Fernandoinfante is an active Polymarket trader ranked #890 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 334 days, he has completed 286 trades across 55 markets, generating a net PnL of $216,982.53 from a total volume exceeding $5.9 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 37 and a modest Sharpe Ratio of 0.10, Fernandoinfante has maintained a stable equity trend with no significant drawdown durations.

Fernandoinfante tends to adopt a contrarian and high-risk style, as reflected by his badges and a relatively low win rate of 25.4% paired with a profit factor of 1.80. His trading behavior shows a preference for high-volatility markets rather than weather-related ones, with a sell percentage of 28%, indicating some degree of position management. The trader’s activity suggests timing that is opportunistic rather than systematic, with fast execution but low bot score, implying manual decision-making.

The key strength of Fernandoinfante lies in his ability to generate profits despite a low win rate, showing resilience and effective risk-reward management. However, his below-average Smart Score and low Sharpe Ratio highlight potential concerns about consistency and risk-adjusted returns. Additionally, the absence of portfolio holdings and a flat equity trend may indicate cautious capital deployment or recent withdrawals, factors Polymarket traders should consider when analyzing his performance.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+216,983
Lottery Player
55% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
93% entries <$0.50
Whale
$523,898
High Roller
$1,569/day

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#153$331,006Vol: $4,188,691
📈 ECONOMICS#668,524$-115,423Vol: $1,002,146
SPORTS#1,785,160$-5,637Vol: $382,064
💰 FINANCE#399$12,553Vol: $251,870
🎭 CULTURE#803,573$-5,344Vol: $93,222
CRYPTO#1,474,764$-172Vol: $3,140

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$216,983
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,921,133
Total Redeem
$947
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
207B / 79S
Daily Volume
$1,569
Account Age
137d
since Feb 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$216,983
Vol: $5,921,133

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
35%
14W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$216,741
Win Rate
25%
14W / 41L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$35,082
Avg Loss
$-6,650

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $486,381 (222.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$462,431
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$13,496
Warriors vs. Kings$10,454
76ers vs. Celtics$1,520
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$897
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$837
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$733
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$470
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$273
Trump out as President before 2027?$20

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-115,426
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$-89,952
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-20,110
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Mai$-5,820
GTA VI released before June 2026?$-5,339
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$-5,163
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-5,092
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$-3,544
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$-3,276
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$-3,248

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.263
HHI
1620
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.417
Kelly %
12.0%
Half-Kelly
6.0%
Top-1 market
25.7%
Top-5 markets
78.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — typical for humanSize CV 1.81 — diverse, typical for human38% at night — bot never sleeps21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.75 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
27 entries
<=2
35 entries
<=5
48 entries
<=10
51 entries
<=20
53 entries
<=50
55 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.6%
Mid (20-55c)40.6%
High (>55c)4.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.3%

Other$225,022
Madrid$-6,512

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
40

Single bracket

<=1
32 brackets
<=2
37 brackets
<=3
39 brackets
<=4
39 brackets
<=5
39 brackets
<=8
40 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/18/2026, 8:40:28 PM2 trades$3503 min
2/18/2026, 9:03:32 PM2 trades$1301 min
2/20/2026, 6:38:24 PM1 trades$2500 min
2/21/2026, 9:12:12 PM2 trades$1850 min
2/21/2026, 9:37:00 PM3 trades$3955 min
2/21/2026, 10:02:24 PM1 trades$3000 min
2/22/2026, 12:00:30 AM2 trades$2650 min
2/25/2026, 12:46:26 AM2 trades$1090 min
2/25/2026, 12:51:58 AM3 trades$422 min
2/28/2026, 5:45:23 PM1 trades$9870 min
2/28/2026, 9:41:25 PM6 trades$1,6066 min
3/1/2026, 7:25:17 AM4 trades$3102 min
3/1/2026, 5:07:11 PM3 trades$5582 min
3/3/2026, 3:19:03 PM4 trades$1,3602 min
3/6/2026, 5:11:33 PM3 trades$1,4202 min
3/9/2026, 4:39:01 AM6 trades$1,5745 min
3/9/2026, 8:07:37 PM6 trades$3,0352 min
3/9/2026, 8:27:59 PM1 trades$1,2720 min
3/9/2026, 8:58:41 PM5 trades$2,9981 min
3/10/2026, 4:04:09 PM2 trades$1982 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-28
03-31
04-11
04-21
04-30
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event