Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...

@Fickle-Riverbed

#1,78795

0xf3a710078c35b891cc0ce98c1badaa023a4f2fd8

109d· 14217 markets · 89486 tradesVol: $20,297,4172026-06-27T04:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 61%15/20
Profit Factor 6.40x15/15
Sharpe 1.18815/15
Sortino 19.96410/10
EV $+5.10310/10
HHI 1610/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Fickle-Riverbed is an elite-ranked trader on Polymarket, holding the #1787 position globally with a net profit of $96,723.35. Over 87 days, they executed 89,486 trades across 1,100 markets, accumulating a total volume of over $20 million. Their smart score of 95/100 reflects consistent performance, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 1.19 indicating solid risk-adjusted returns. Despite high activity, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting full position liquidation or payout.

The trader’s style is characterized by high-frequency, automated trading, as indicated by a bot score of 80/100. Fickle-Riverbed avoids weather markets and does not engage in selling positions, implying a buy-and-hold or averaging down approach, supported by badges like DCA Master and Diamond Hands. Their win rate of 85.7% suggests a conservative strategy with frequent small wins, although a profit factor of 0.51 points to modest gains relative to losses, reflecting potentially tight margins and disciplined risk management.

Fickle-Riverbed’s strengths lie in their elite status, high trade volume, and stable equity trend with zero drawdown duration, showing resilience and precision. However, the low profit factor and flat portfolio value highlight potential challenges in scaling profitability. Their contrarian and sniper badges suggest opportunistic entries, but reliance on automated strategies may expose them to sudden market shifts. Overall, Fickle-Riverbed exemplifies a steady, volume-driven approach with a cautious risk profile on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

11
Sniper
Win Rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+96,723
Contrarian
59% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 81.4 entries/market
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
Whale
$793,465
Consistent
56/59 days
High Roller
$9,166/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#329$96,723Vol: $20,297,417

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$96,723
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,297,417
Total Redeem
$7,124
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14217
total markets
Trades
89486B / 0S
Daily Volume
$9,166
Account Age
109d
since Mar 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$1,211
Vol: $1,538,033
Month
$11,832
Vol: $5,097,494
All Time
$96,723
Vol: $20,297,417

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
794W / 515L events
Realized PnL
$223,881
Win Rate
86%
42W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$133
Avg Loss
$-1,554

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$424
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$300
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$294
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$254
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$249
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$249
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$243
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$234
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$229
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$225

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-3,081
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$-2,931
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$-2,799
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$-1,947
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$-61
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$-52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.188
Sortino
19.964
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$5.103
Kelly %
33.4%
Half-Kelly
16.7%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1033.7
Very active
Markets / Day
12.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
163.9

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
56% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 1.29 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.34 — human randomness1034 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage1322 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
81.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
38 entries
<=2
104 entries
<=5
240 entries
<=10
244 entries
<=20
254 entries
<=50
340 entries
>50
760 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)53.9%
High (>55c)32.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.9%

Other$-5,275

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1100

Single bracket

<=1
1100 brackets
<=2
1100 brackets
<=3
1100 brackets
<=4
1100 brackets
<=5
1100 brackets
<=8
1100 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 10:00:11 AM631 trades$5,37930 min
4/1/2026, 4:45:11 PM86 trades$97113 min
4/1/2026, 7:45:13 PM184 trades$1,95414 min
4/1/2026, 8:15:11 PM259 trades$2,38627 min
4/2/2026, 3:30:09 AM95 trades$47111 min
4/2/2026, 8:30:27 AM65 trades$44613 min
4/2/2026, 10:45:15 AM177 trades$2,09814 min
4/2/2026, 4:15:11 PM234 trades$1,99815 min
4/2/2026, 6:00:13 PM362 trades$3,36029 min
4/2/2026, 8:15:15 PM113 trades$94013 min
4/3/2026, 3:30:13 AM164 trades$99215 min
4/3/2026, 7:00:09 AM157 trades$83715 min
4/3/2026, 8:30:09 AM236 trades$2,16511 min
4/3/2026, 10:30:09 AM98 trades$40715 min
4/3/2026, 1:00:21 PM86 trades$31313 min
4/3/2026, 1:45:17 PM1 trades$00 min
4/3/2026, 2:00:19 PM152 trades$1,45213 min
4/3/2026, 3:30:39 PM170 trades$1,59312 min
4/3/2026, 6:00:11 PM164 trades$1,78715 min
4/3/2026, 7:15:09 PM163 trades$1,71314 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-10
04-19
04-29
05-24
06-13
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 81.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event