Polydata

@Fine-Antecedent

#20,17290

0x23d18416645924e097c453e8ceadd4bfeb6a353f

45d· 22460 markets · 18507 tradesVol: $1,369,9552026-05-20T17:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 1.80615/15
Sortino 1036419.61610/10
EV $+4352962.38810/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Fine-Antecedent is a highly active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #20172 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 42 days, they have executed 18,507 trades across 598 markets, generating a net profit of $5,526.13 from nearly $1.37 million in volume. Their smart score of 90/100 places them in the elite category, demonstrating consistent success and strong trading skills.

This trader specializes exclusively in weather markets, with a focus on short-term sell positions as indicated by their 100% sell rate. Fine-Antecedent appears to employ an automated trading strategy, supported by a bot score of 70/100, suggesting algorithmic execution. Their approach is low risk, reflected in a Sharpe ratio of 1.81 and zero max drawdown duration, showing disciplined risk management and steady timing.

Fine-Antecedent’s key strengths include a flawless win rate of 100%, an upward equity trend, and a solid profit factor. However, the profit factor of 0.00 is unusual and might indicate data inconsistencies or specific payout structures within weather markets. The exclusive focus on weather markets and reliance on automation could present risks if market conditions shift unexpectedly or if bot parameters require adjustment. Overall, Fine-Antecedent demonstrates elite, consistent performance on Polymarket with a specialized, algorithm-driven style.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+5,526
Weather Pro
100% weather
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
271 wins in a row
Consistent
42/42 days

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#260$5,526Vol: $1,369,955

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,526
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,369,955
Total Redeem
$727
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22460
total markets
Trades
0B / 18507S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
45d
since Apr 6, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-623
Vol: $0
Week
$391
Vol: $23,193
Month
$3,034
Vol: $515,059
All Time
$5,526
Vol: $1,369,955

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
232W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$38,781
Win Rate
100%
271W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$161
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,741 (4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?$692
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on$545
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?$504
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on Ma$502
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?$478
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?$416
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$385
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F $377
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?$348
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$338

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.806
Sortino
inf
HHI
0
Diversified
EV per $1
$4352962.388
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0%
Top-5 markets
0%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
443.0
Very active
Markets / Day
14.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.00
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.5

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 70s — typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness443 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
0
Single entry
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
0 entries
<=50
0 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Hong Kong$7,174
Seoul$6,003
London$5,195
New York City$4,022
Paris$3,395
Shanghai$3,260
Tokyo$1,758
Miami$1,152
Wellington$1,009
Moscow$965
Munich$811
Atlanta$748
Los Angeles$647
Singapore$637
Ankara$517
Madrid$501
Shenzhen$439
Chengdu$399

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
281

Moderate coverage

<=1
220 brackets
<=2
234 brackets
<=3
236 brackets
<=4
243 brackets
<=5
249 brackets
<=8
262 brackets
>8
19 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 7:12:27 AM4 trades$52 min
4/6/2026, 7:21:17 AM12 trades$137 min
4/6/2026, 7:36:01 AM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 7:41:11 AM5 trades$55 min
4/6/2026, 7:52:59 AM2 trades$21 min
4/6/2026, 8:04:47 AM12 trades$167 min
4/6/2026, 8:32:39 AM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 8:38:27 AM13 trades$1616 min
4/6/2026, 9:01:47 AM2 trades$31 min
4/6/2026, 9:14:55 AM23 trades$3627 min
4/6/2026, 9:48:49 AM24 trades$3630 min
4/6/2026, 10:25:33 AM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 10:32:33 AM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 10:50:11 AM6 trades$66 min
4/6/2026, 11:03:13 AM16 trades$3018 min
4/6/2026, 11:32:23 AM2 trades$32 min
4/6/2026, 11:39:57 AM12 trades$3010 min
4/6/2026, 11:55:43 AM3 trades$51 min
4/6/2026, 12:05:05 PM8 trades$1212 min
4/6/2026, 12:24:47 PM4 trades$43 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
04-13
04-20
04-27
05-05
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
100% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 0/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event