Polydata

@Finished-Download-Sword

#2,569,47196

0x5357547c0d7b53b38e432c41de80b5f7d063505f

99d· 602 markets · 1094 tradesVol: $12,119 @edebali022026-07-02T15:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 15.01x15/15
Sharpe 0.57711/15
Sortino 15.86110/10
EV $+0.75310/10
HHI 3910/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Finished-Download-Sword is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,094 trades executed over 279 days. Despite a high win rate of 83.8% and a strong profit factor of 15.01, their net PnL currently stands at -$155.98, placing them at rank #2,569,471 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value remains very low at $0.42, indicating limited capital growth. The trader has maintained a stable equity trend with a Sharpe ratio of 0.58, suggesting moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader favors a broad range of markets, having participated in 572 different ones, without any exposure to weather markets. Their trading style appears to be conservative and consistent, as reflected by their low sell percentage of 27% and zero days of max drawdown duration. Finished-Download-Sword’s high Smart Score of 96/100 and badges such as Sniper and Consistent imply a disciplined manual trading approach focused on precision and steady performance rather than high-risk bets.

The key strengths of Finished-Download-Sword lie in their consistency, high win rate, and disciplined risk management, as evidenced by a flat equity trend and minimal drawdowns. However, the negative net PnL despite these metrics suggests possible inefficiencies in capital allocation or market selection. The low portfolio value and rank indicate that while the trader performs well on individual trades, scaling or profitability over time remains a challenge on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Lottery Player
30% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
81% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
Consistent
48/52 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,463,827$-149Vol: $9,917
💰 FINANCE#447,707$-1Vol: $1,018
⚽ SPORTS#1,037,737$-2Vol: $1,002
🎭 CULTURE#520,064$-1Vol: $125
🌤️ WEATHER#201,157$-2Vol: $53
🏛️ POLITICS#795,413$-1Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-156
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,119
Total Redeem
$71
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
602
total markets
Trades
797B / 297S
Daily Volume
$4
Account Age
99d
since Mar 27, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $7
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-156
Vol: $12,119

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
239W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$502
Win Rate
84%
217W / 42L
Profit Factor
15.01x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $65 (15% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$8

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.577
Sortino
15.861
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.753
Kelly %
79.0%
Half-Kelly
39.5%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.5
Active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.6m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — typical for humanSize CV 1.14 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.72 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
382 entries
<=2
538 entries
<=5
572 entries
<=10
572 entries
<=20
572 entries
<=50
572 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.1%
Mid (20-55c)57.3%
High (>55c)12.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.9%

Other$435
Madrid$0
Ankara$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
558

Single bracket

<=1
557 brackets
<=2
558 brackets
<=3
558 brackets
<=4
558 brackets
<=5
558 brackets
<=8
558 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 2:46:23 PM1 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 2:51:39 PM1 trades$30 min
3/27/2026, 2:59:39 PM1 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 3:11:23 PM1 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 3:22:51 PM2 trades$122 min
3/27/2026, 3:42:13 PM1 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 3:47:35 PM3 trades$31 min
3/27/2026, 6:25:37 PM6 trades$710 min
3/27/2026, 6:40:27 PM1 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 7:12:03 PM2 trades$31 min
3/27/2026, 7:19:13 PM5 trades$66 min
3/27/2026, 7:31:49 PM11 trades$1516 min
3/27/2026, 9:21:49 PM15 trades$1827 min
3/27/2026, 9:55:27 PM4 trades$75 min
3/28/2026, 7:34:33 AM13 trades$1621 min
3/28/2026, 8:28:23 AM2 trades$31 min
3/28/2026, 8:35:55 AM2 trades$22 min
3/28/2026, 2:45:43 PM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 8:00:26 PM9 trades$1012 min
3/28/2026, 8:25:34 PM5 trades$615 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-04
04-17
05-02
05-13
05-23
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event