Polydata

@Firsthand-Hummus

#2,95356

0x68ed841b8cba575217e0c1cde1eb989ecb6c2e6b

713d· 1 markets · 270 tradesVol: $8,068,4812026-07-24T17:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
EV $+0.0291/10
HHI 100000/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Firsthand-Hummus is a moderately active Polymarket trader ranked #2953 globally by net profit. Over 77 days, they executed 270 trades with a total volume exceeding $8 million, achieving a net PnL of $60,798.02. Despite a solid profit and a good Smart Score of 56/100, their portfolio currently holds no open positions. The trader’s perfect 100% win rate stands out, although the Profit Factor and Sharpe Ratio are reported as zero, indicating limited data or unusual calculation results.

The trader has focused exclusively on a single market, indicating a highly specialized strategy. Their trading style appears to be manual, as reflected by the low Bot Score of 15/100, and they maintain a relatively low sell percentage of 28%. Badges such as Sniper and DCA Master suggest precision entries and disciplined dollar-cost averaging techniques. Firsthand-Hummus seems to adopt a low-risk, steady approach, consistently locking in profits without significant drawdowns.

Firsthand-Hummus’s key strengths include a flawless win rate and consistent profitability on Polymarket, which highlights skillful market timing and risk management. However, concentrating all trades in one market may expose them to sector-specific risks, reducing diversification benefits. Additionally, the absence of open positions and the zero Sharpe Ratio could signal limited exposure or data anomalies, which might affect the long-term reliability of their strategy.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+60,798
DCA Master
avg 195.0 entries/market
Whale
$2,492,691
Consistent
1/1 days
High Roller
$32,320/day

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#834$60,798Vol: $8,068,481

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$60,798
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,068,481
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1
total markets
Trades
195B / 75S
Daily Volume
$32,320
Account Age
713d
since Aug 10, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
1W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$60,798
Win Rate
100%
1W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$72,479
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $72,479 (100% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$72,479

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
10000
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
100%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
5
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
54.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
46% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 3.27 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern6/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 2.43 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
195
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
0 entries
<=50
0 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)97.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$72,479

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1

Single bracket

<=1
1 brackets
<=2
1 brackets
<=3
1 brackets
<=4
1 brackets
<=5
1 brackets
<=8
1 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/10/2024, 8:04:41 PM2 trades$6,0430 min
10/8/2024, 9:15:26 AM2 trades$499,0000 min
10/24/2024, 10:49:25 AM51 trades$585,9365 min
10/26/2024, 6:07:33 PM191 trades$1,987,64810 min
10/26/2024, 10:44:09 PM24 trades$1,979,23422 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 195/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event