Polydata
Flaky-Wreck

@Flaky-Wreck

#3,85295

0x0484e64092ba4108c2786b61e6fc052d3bf41b1a

42d· 8520 markets · 9977 tradesVol: $3,320,0772026-06-02T03:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 79.29x15/15
Sharpe 0.56811/15
Sortino 16.10310/10
EV $+52.60910/10
HHI 4610/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Flaky-Wreck is an active Polymarket trader with a notable presence, ranked #3852 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 40 days, Flaky-Wreck has executed 9,977 trades across 309 markets, generating a net PnL of $37,979.72 on a total volume exceeding $3.3 million. Their portfolio value stands at $1,108.35, supported by a high Smart Score of 95/100, indicating elite performance within the platform. The trader’s Sharpe Ratio of 0.57 and zero-day max drawdown duration suggest moderate risk-adjusted returns with minimal prolonged losses.

Flaky-Wreck’s strategy reflects a high-frequency, automated trading style, as evidenced by an 80/100 Bot Score and a complete absence of sell orders, implying a strong hold or contrarian approach. The trader favors diverse markets but appears to avoid weather-related categories entirely. With a win rate of 27.3% and a profit factor of 0.04, Flaky-Wreck likely relies on selective, high-conviction trades rather than frequent small wins. The upward equity trend and badges such as Sniper and Diamond Hands further highlight disciplined timing and a preference for long-term value holding.

The key strength of Flaky-Wreck lies in their elite automation and disciplined contrarian style, enabling consistent growth without significant drawdown periods. However, the low profit factor and win rate suggest a risky approach that depends on occasional large wins rather than steady profits. Traders observing Flaky-Wreck on Polymarket should consider the potential volatility inherent in their strategy despite strong overall performance metrics.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+37,980
Contrarian
52% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
36 wins in a row
Whale
$200,696
Consistent
14/21 days
High Roller
$5,017/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#962$37,980Vol: $3,320,077

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$37,980
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,320,077
Total Redeem
$34,490
Portfolio
$1,108
Predictions
8520
total markets
Trades
9977B / 0S
Daily Volume
$5,017
Account Age
42d
since Apr 22, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$492
Vol: $47,495
Week
$5,813
Vol: $746,094
Month
$5,813
Vol: $482,774
All Time
$37,980
Vol: $3,320,077

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
275W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$141,900
Win Rate
27%
65W / 173L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$94
Avg Loss
$-920

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$325
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$297
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$290
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$243
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$239
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$224
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$223
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$210
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$194
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$184

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$-1,600
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-1,551
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-1,524
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$-1,523
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$-1,460
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$-1,416
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$-1,406
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$-1,400
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-1,391
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-1,383

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.568
Sortino
16.103
HHI
46
Diversified
EV per $1
$52.609
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
250.5
Very active
Markets / Day
7.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.6

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 0.68 — diverse, typical for human35% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness251 trades/day — automation322 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
19 entries
<=2
22 entries
<=5
27 entries
<=10
37 entries
<=20
75 entries
<=50
264 entries
>50
45 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)50.4%
High (>55c)37.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.4%

Other$-153,114

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
309

Single bracket

<=1
309 brackets
<=2
309 brackets
<=3
309 brackets
<=4
309 brackets
<=5
309 brackets
<=8
309 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 7:30:10 AM76 trades$7755 min
4/23/2026, 7:45:10 AM64 trades$7315 min
4/23/2026, 9:50:06 AM80 trades$8035 min
4/23/2026, 11:10:14 AM23 trades$1804 min
4/23/2026, 12:35:10 PM99 trades$9694 min
4/23/2026, 1:20:14 PM58 trades$5884 min
4/23/2026, 1:30:10 PM47 trades$6962 min
4/25/2026, 10:00:08 AM28 trades$1904 min
4/25/2026, 10:10:42 AM20 trades$1814 min
4/25/2026, 10:25:08 AM36 trades$3894 min
4/25/2026, 10:35:08 AM48 trades$3998 min
4/25/2026, 10:50:10 AM23 trades$2234 min
4/25/2026, 11:00:24 AM27 trades$2104 min
4/25/2026, 11:20:38 AM80 trades$80914 min
4/25/2026, 11:55:20 AM23 trades$2284 min
4/25/2026, 12:05:18 PM47 trades$46110 min
4/25/2026, 12:50:24 PM12 trades$744 min
4/25/2026, 1:05:40 PM21 trades$1854 min
4/25/2026, 1:15:22 PM12 trades$733 min
4/25/2026, 1:45:14 PM51 trades$4889 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
04-27
05-11
05-20
05-25
05-28
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event