Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...

@Flickering-Salary

#2,724,97974

0xc58df0b98437f613e20916c242403e0a6c009373

687d· 1313 markets · 7777 tradesVol: $36,827,7302026-05-16T09:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 42%6/20
Profit Factor 2.85x15/15
Sharpe 0.4018/15
Sortino 0.8358/10
EV $+1.83910/10
HHI 6810/10
Profit Days 57%7/10
DD/Peak 14%10/10

Summary

Flickering-Salary is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 7,777 trades executed over 676 days. Despite a high total trading volume of nearly $37 million, their net PnL stands at a significant loss of approximately $485,000, placing them at rank #2,724,979 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is relatively low at $4,457.65, suggesting recent capital constraints or drawdowns. The trader maintains a strong Smart Score of 74/100, indicating solid decision-making quality.

Flickering-Salary demonstrates a preference for a high-frequency trading style with a strong contrarian approach, as reflected by their badges like 📉 Contrarian and 🔄 DCA Master. Their win rate is an impressive 87.1%, paired with a very high profit factor of 13.38, showing efficiency in profitable trades. The low sell percentage (4%) and a Sharpe ratio of 0.40 imply a cautious risk profile with a focus on holding positions rather than frequent exits. The semi-bot score (55/100) suggests a mix of automated and manual trading tactics.

The key strength of Flickering-Salary lies in their consistent win rate and disciplined dollar-cost averaging strategy, which helps maintain equity stability despite the large net loss. However, the substantial negative PnL and low portfolio value highlight risks in capital management or exposure sizing. Their contrarian style could lead to prolonged drawdowns if market trends strongly oppose their positions. Overall, Flickering-Salary’s Polymarket activity reflects strategic resilience but also significant financial challenges.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Contrarian
69% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
4% sell
DCA Master
avg 18.8 entries/market
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Whale
$2,120,990
High Roller
$3,138/day
Cool Head
DD 14%

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,647,710$-467,634Vol: $33,922,646
🏛️ POLITICS#1,542,815$-35,721Vol: $678,191

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-485,283
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,827,730
Total Redeem
$785,985
Portfolio
$4,458
Predictions
1313
total markets
Trades
7502B / 275S
Daily Volume
$3,138
Account Age
687d
since Jul 3, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-63
Vol: $3
Week
$54,508
Vol: $167,960
Month
$52,596
Vol: $382,515
All Time
$-485,283
Vol: $36,827,730

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
46%
240W / 283L events
Realized PnL
$4,341,011
Win Rate
87%
54W / 8L
Profit Factor
13.38x
Avg Win
$7,723
Avg Loss
$-3,896

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $91,241 (23.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kings vs. Raptors$36,288
Heat vs. Pacers$30,182
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies$24,771
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawa$23,719
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?$22,839
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar$20,326
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi$19,426
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$18,633
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-05-02?$17,526
Celtics vs. Hawks$14,665

Top Losers

Trail Blazers vs. Clippers$-13,357
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac$-6,307
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina$-5,605
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek$-3,766
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$-749
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev$-716
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann$-439
Bruins vs. Lightning$-231

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.401
Sortino
0.835
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.839
Kelly %
83.5%
Half-Kelly
41.8%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
8.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — typical for humanSize CV 4.42 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high591 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
72 entries
<=2
105 entries
<=5
166 entries
<=10
232 entries
<=20
290 entries
<=50
367 entries
>50
31 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.8%
Mid (20-55c)63.5%
High (>55c)18.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.2%

Other$338,912
Madrid$39,684
Miami$5,864
Houston$1,421
Toronto$0
Paris$0
Milan$0
Hong Kong$0
Seattle$0
Dallas$0
Chicago$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
347

Single bracket

<=1
304 brackets
<=2
341 brackets
<=3
345 brackets
<=4
347 brackets
<=5
347 brackets
<=8
347 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/15/2025, 2:56:58 PM7 trades$5711 min
8/15/2025, 3:14:00 PM4 trades$162 min
8/15/2025, 3:21:26 PM1 trades$10 min
8/15/2025, 3:26:50 PM8 trades$10,5925 min
8/16/2025, 12:02:54 AM4 trades$12,4787 min
8/16/2025, 4:31:22 PM6 trades$7,3351 min
8/16/2025, 4:38:06 PM1 trades$1080 min
8/16/2025, 4:45:22 PM4 trades$5386 min
8/16/2025, 5:50:52 PM2 trades$27,2001 min
8/16/2025, 6:18:08 PM7 trades$5,32312 min
8/16/2025, 6:35:24 PM6 trades$1,05412 min
8/16/2025, 6:58:02 PM1 trades$5770 min
8/16/2025, 7:06:48 PM1 trades$870 min
8/16/2025, 7:28:00 PM2 trades$125 min
8/16/2025, 7:39:46 PM1 trades$2350 min
8/16/2025, 7:47:06 PM1 trades$9180 min
8/16/2025, 7:53:48 PM13 trades$2,20615 min
8/16/2025, 10:30:08 PM13 trades$18,00819 min
8/21/2025, 5:13:19 PM1 trades$1940 min
8/21/2025, 5:23:45 PM1 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-19
08-15
11-20
01-13
03-18
05-20
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event