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@Flickering-Waveform-Divan

#82,65391

0x22517b9402db98d7b2d0fd09bbe961929476bf89

49d· 23 markets · 42 tradesVol: $4,1142026-05-14T14:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 91%20/20
Profit Factor 23.21x15/15
Sharpe 0.4148/15
Sortino 68491.39410/10
EV $+0.67610/10
HHI 7839/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 4%10/10

Summary

Flickering-Waveform-Divan is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 42 trades spread across 23 markets over 274 days. Their total trading volume is $4,114, resulting in a net profit and loss (PnL) of $764.70 and a portfolio value of $1,733.38. Ranked #82,653 on the global PnL leaderboard, this trader holds an elite Smart Score of 91/100, indicating strong overall performance despite a relatively modest scale of activity.

The trading strategy of Flickering-Waveform-Divan appears conservative and selective, focusing on high-confidence opportunities. With a win rate of 92.3% and a profit factor of 6.06, the trader demonstrates precision and effective risk management. They rarely sell, as indicated by a 5% sell rate, and show a preference for holding winning positions, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and Win Streak. The Sharpe ratio of 0.41 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the absence of drawdown duration points to careful timing and disciplined exit strategies.

Flickering-Waveform-Divan’s strengths lie in their consistency, precision, and ability to maintain upward equity trends with minimal drawdown, making them a reliable participant on Polymarket. However, the relatively low trading volume and limited market diversification may constrain growth potential. Additionally, the low bot score confirms manual trading, which can be both an advantage for intuition-driven decisions and a risk if market conditions change rapidly.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+765
Diamond Hands
5% sell
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Consistent
10/11 days
Cool Head
DD 4%

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#11,438$184Vol: $1,635
CRYPTO#198,424$12Vol: $410
📈 ECONOMICS#54,389$5Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$765
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,114
Total Redeem
$1,187
Portfolio
$1,733
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
40B / 2S
Daily Volume
$8
Account Age
49d
since Apr 1, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$33
Vol: $300
Month
$357
Vol: $615
All Time
$765
Vol: $4,114

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
91%
20W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$135
Win Rate
92%
12W / 1L
Profit Factor
6.06x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $165 (104.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$91
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on April 6?$48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of March 30 2026?$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?$8
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?$4
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of March 30 2026?$3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $165?$3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on April 6?$2
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?$2
Will Chainlink reach $16 in April?$1

Top Losers

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 2?$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.414
Sortino
inf
HHI
783
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.676
Kelly %
49.5%
Half-Kelly
24.8%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
49.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 254s — typical for humanSize CV 1.31 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern9/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.94 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
13 entries
<=2
18 entries
<=5
23 entries
<=10
23 entries
<=20
23 entries
<=50
23 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)27.5%
High (>55c)72.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 10.9%

Other$158

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
22

Single bracket

<=1
21 brackets
<=2
22 brackets
<=3
22 brackets
<=4
22 brackets
<=5
22 brackets
<=8
22 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 8:02:51 PM2 trades$690 min
4/1/2026, 8:08:35 PM3 trades$786 min
4/1/2026, 8:50:01 PM1 trades$450 min
4/2/2026, 9:03:15 AM1 trades$100 min
4/2/2026, 9:18:25 AM1 trades$120 min
4/2/2026, 9:43:15 AM1 trades$120 min
4/2/2026, 12:36:19 PM1 trades$950 min
4/2/2026, 12:44:13 PM2 trades$1970 min
4/2/2026, 1:19:11 PM5 trades$1338 min
4/3/2026, 7:58:13 AM3 trades$610 min
4/3/2026, 8:45:47 AM2 trades$1420 min
4/4/2026, 6:01:19 AM3 trades$855 min
4/4/2026, 6:11:33 AM5 trades$33710 min
4/7/2026, 5:16:45 PM4 trades$242 min
4/7/2026, 7:46:59 PM2 trades$4102 min
4/8/2026, 8:47:11 PM1 trades$460 min
4/9/2026, 5:36:31 PM2 trades$701 min
5/7/2026, 7:14:40 AM1 trades$1430 min
5/7/2026, 7:24:11 AM1 trades$1550 min
5/13/2026, 6:29:05 AM1 trades$1350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-03
04-06
04-30
05-01
05-08
06-01
06-17
06-30
12-31
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event