Polydata

@Flimsy-Coil

#2,386,25035

0x02c9e54b2588a12289d992d2695366a9678b5b57

7d· 823 markets · 2505 tradesVol: $23,1592026-06-19T16:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 3%0/20
Profit Factor 4.46x15/15
EV $+0.27910/10
HHI 2410/10
Profit Days 0%0/10

Summary

Flimsy-Coil is an active trader on Polymarket with 2,505 trades across 658 markets over just 4 days. Despite high activity, their overall net PnL stands at -$95.23, placing them at rank #2,386,250 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Their Smart Score is below average at 35/100, though their automated bot score is relatively strong at 80/100. The portfolio value is currently zero, and the equity trend is downward.

Flimsy-Coil’s trading style appears to be highly automated, as indicated by the bot score and zero sell percentage, suggesting a buy-and-hold or long position approach without taking profits frequently. They maintain a high win rate of 84.1% and a profit factor of 4.46, which implies that winning trades are generally more profitable than losses. However, their Sharpe ratio is negative (-1.16), signaling poor risk-adjusted returns. The absence of weather market trades highlights a preference for other categories.

The key strength of Flimsy-Coil lies in high trade volume and consistent winning percentages, supported by automated execution. However, the negative net PnL, declining equity trend, and low overall rank raise concerns about sustainability and risk management. The short active period and zero portfolio value also suggest this may be an inexperienced or experimental trading phase on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
77 wins in a row
High Roller
$1,715/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,389,564$-95Vol: $23,159

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-95
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,159
Total Redeem
$7,761
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
823
total markets
Trades
2504B / 1S
Daily Volume
$1,715
Account Age
7d
since Jun 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-159
Vol: $22,483
Month
$-95
Vol: $23,159
All Time
$-95
Vol: $23,159

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
2%
4W / 193L events
Realized PnL
$4
Win Rate
84%
392W / 74L
Profit Factor
4.46x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $154 (9.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$71
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$30
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$25
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$23

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.159
Sortino
-1.159
HHI
24
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.279
Kelly %
71.3%
Half-Kelly
35.6%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
580.1
Very active
Markets / Day
152.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 0.53 — diverse, typical for human36% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness580 trades/day — automation152 markets/day — mass coverage443 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
169 entries
<=2
287 entries
<=5
508 entries
<=10
635 entries
<=20
656 entries
<=50
658 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13%
Mid (20-55c)38.3%
High (>55c)48.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.7%

Other$1,691

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
658

Single bracket

<=1
658 brackets
<=2
658 brackets
<=3
658 brackets
<=4
658 brackets
<=5
658 brackets
<=8
658 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 2:04:37 PM1 trades$00 min
6/13/2026, 7:35:22 PM1 trades$00 min
6/13/2026, 9:09:58 PM4 trades$170 min
6/13/2026, 10:14:45 PM1 trades$30 min
6/14/2026, 12:30:19 AM1 trades$00 min
6/14/2026, 2:00:18 AM1 trades$10 min
6/14/2026, 4:00:25 AM1 trades$10 min
6/14/2026, 5:00:07 AM1 trades$00 min
6/14/2026, 5:15:31 AM1 trades$00 min
6/14/2026, 8:14:03 AM3 trades$20 min
6/14/2026, 8:39:15 AM3 trades$130 min
6/14/2026, 9:01:34 AM10 trades$413 min
6/14/2026, 12:22:52 PM1 trades$40 min
6/14/2026, 12:29:24 PM7 trades$337 min
6/14/2026, 12:41:30 PM29 trades$7622 min
6/14/2026, 1:11:49 PM143 trades$45549 min
6/14/2026, 2:07:42 PM15 trades$506 min
6/14/2026, 2:38:52 PM7 trades$342 min
6/14/2026, 2:54:12 PM1 trades$50 min
6/14/2026, 3:01:42 PM15 trades$6612 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-16
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event