@ForesightOracle
#3,065,960610x7072dd52161bae614bec6905846a53c9a3a53413
~111d· 64 markets · 11215 tradesVol: $83,953,6882026-07-31 13:21:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
86% (55/64)20/20
1.20x (win $361,398 / loss $300,468)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.54210.2/15
Sortino 0.5845.8/10
$+0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 602 (64 markets)9.5/10
33/37 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 99% of peak ($279,264 / $282,295)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 86%
DCA Master
Avg 175.2 entries/market
Whale
$69,051,625 invested
Consistent
33/37 profitable days
High Roller
$121,999/day
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#417$122,416Vol: $53,929,256
⚽ SPORTS#1,881,457$-388,102Vol: $13,733,130
📈 ECONOMICS#29$175,756Vol: $8,304,075
₿ CRYPTO#2,159$20,389Vol: $4,278,433
💻 TECH#174$10,970Vol: $2,358,348
🎭 CULTURE#3,462$1,716Vol: $1,204,990
💰 FINANCE#2,239$2,109Vol: $145,455
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-54,747
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$83,953,688
Total Redeem
$10,404,186
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
9729B / 1486S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~111d
Periods
#2Week
$-1,753
Vol: $7,456
Month
$-395,695
Vol: $8,719,195
All Time
$-54,747
Vol: $83,953,688
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
86%
55W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-52,994
Win Rate
86%
55W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$6,571
Avg Loss
$-33,385
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $164,324 (3.100802581727207% of PnL)
Top Winners
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$82,814
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$48,899
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$32,611
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$23,169
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$14,487
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14,056
Will Biden finish his term?$13,149
US government shutdown Saturday?$11,869
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$11,620
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$9,943
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-116,780
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-103,142
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-45,069
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14,186
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-9,800
Election certified on January 6?$-5,702
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-4,804
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.028
Sortino
0.010
HHI
637
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
47.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.3m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
34 min
Avg Trades / Session
54.4
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 8.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active0.1 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
175.23
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)75.7%
Sessions
#124/24/2026, 9:31:34 PM36 trades$4,233,5260 min
4/8/2026, 9:09:29 PM198 trades$3,739,80974 min
4/8/2026, 11:29:39 PM115 trades$2,656,05844 min
12/22/2025, 6:24:51 PM237 trades$2,208,453170 min
12/25/2025, 8:25:09 PM150 trades$2,135,842103 min
4/9/2026, 8:32:41 PM2 trades$1,998,0000 min
7/8/2026, 4:36:41 PM2 trades$1,998,0000 min
2/2/2026, 2:53:58 AM65 trades$1,995,00045 min
4/30/2026, 7:52:36 PM4 trades$1,994,0000 min
6/3/2026, 9:26:00 PM3 trades$1,506,9440 min
4/9/2026, 5:53:29 AM81 trades$1,303,38857 min
2/1/2026, 10:44:14 PM84 trades$1,232,39336 min
1/3/2026, 2:40:45 PM52 trades$1,208,70331 min
12/22/2025, 11:08:37 AM178 trades$1,064,19097 min
6/17/2026, 4:06:41 PM2 trades$1,000,0000 min
7/8/2026, 11:22:28 PM1 trades$999,0000 min
3/2/2026, 9:39:19 PM87 trades$998,00048 min
3/2/2026, 10:57:41 PM56 trades$998,00026 min
12/23/2024, 7:24:18 PM1 trades$989,0100 min
6/3/2026, 3:57:04 PM97 trades$904,16823 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2024-12-30 12:00:00
2025-04-28 12:00:00
2025-07-30 12:00:00
2025-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
2026-04-30 00:00:00
2026-12-31 00:00:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 175.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M2.2 / H75.7