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@Frank-Recognition

#2,797,19010

0x0ca30d2667cd2b955344233248180b13a1608109

89d· 1551 markets · 5753 tradesVol: $256,7892026-06-12T11:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 9%0/20
Profit Factor 0.83x0/15
HHI 4010/10
Profit Days 23%0/10
DD/Peak 122%0/10

Summary

Frank-Recognition is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 5,753 trades across 1,526 markets over 66 days. Despite significant trading volume of $256,789, Frank-Recognition’s net PnL is negative at -$3,238.21, placing them at rank #2,797,190 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value has declined to $206.32, and the overall performance metrics, including a Sharpe ratio of -0.05, indicate poor risk-adjusted returns.

The trader focuses exclusively on weather markets, suggesting a specialized but narrow approach. Their trading style is automated, as reflected by a high bot score of 75/100, yet they exhibit a very low win rate of 7.0%. Frank-Recognition shows a strong contrarian and diamond hands attitude, holding positions without selling, which aligns with a risk profile that tolerates drawdowns but has resulted in a downward equity trend. The absence of sell trades implies long-term holds or a potential lack of active risk management.

Frank-Recognition’s key strength lies in automation and specialization in weather markets, allowing for high trade frequency. However, the significant negative PnL, low win rate, and declining equity trend raise concerns about the effectiveness of their strategy. The lack of portfolio diversification and risk controls could expose them to prolonged losses, limiting their ability to capitalize on Polymarket opportunities.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Weather Pro
100% weather
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#278,215$-3,089Vol: $228,775
🏛️ POLITICS#1,462,617$-80Vol: $26,561
SPORTS#1,477,203$-70Vol: $1,454

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,238
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$256,789
Total Redeem
$337
Portfolio
$206
Predictions
1551
total markets
Trades
5749B / 4S
Daily Volume
$61
Account Age
89d
since Apr 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-113
Vol: $3,465
Week
$-1,178
Vol: $44,907
Month
$-1,711
Vol: $77,118
All Time
$-3,238
Vol: $256,789

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
11%
33W / 271L events
Realized PnL
$916
Win Rate
7%
17W / 225L
Profit Factor
11.98x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $174 (45% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 5?$67
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 20?$57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?$50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 9?$43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 5?$43
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5?$37
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?$28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June $26
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June$13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?$13

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 30?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 30?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on May 20?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 23?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 25?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 26?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 8?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May $-0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on May $-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.144
Kelly %
0.3%
Half-Kelly
0.1%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
8.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
86.5
Very active
Markets / Day
22.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
17s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 17s — typical for humanSize CV 2.35 — diverse, typical for human39% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness87 trades/day — mass trading23 markets/day — mass coverage446 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
689 entries
<=2
970 entries
<=5
1254 entries
<=10
1428 entries
<=20
1492 entries
<=50
1521 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.8%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Taipei$78
Hong Kong$66
Jeddah$52
Wuhan$43
Helsinki$42
Mexico City$37
Munich$26
Denver$13
Shenzhen$12
Istanbul$9
Seoul$8
Tel Aviv$8
Qingdao$4
Chongqing$4
Austin$4
Amsterdam$3
Other$0
Sao Paulo$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
729

Moderate coverage

<=1
280 brackets
<=2
494 brackets
<=3
647 brackets
<=4
707 brackets
<=5
722 brackets
<=8
729 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 11:30:13 PM1 trades$690 min
4/6/2026, 11:49:47 PM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 2:30:55 AM1 trades$790 min
4/7/2026, 1:26:29 PM1 trades$10 min
5/3/2026, 5:44:10 PM5 trades$150 min
5/3/2026, 5:49:24 PM1 trades$100 min
5/3/2026, 5:54:30 PM10 trades$2716 min
5/3/2026, 6:27:44 PM1 trades$100 min
5/3/2026, 6:45:28 PM4 trades$20 min
5/3/2026, 6:50:38 PM1 trades$90 min
5/3/2026, 6:55:42 PM4 trades$165 min
5/3/2026, 7:06:50 PM1 trades$10 min
5/3/2026, 8:00:50 PM1 trades$10 min
5/3/2026, 8:07:04 PM1 trades$10 min
5/3/2026, 8:20:30 PM2 trades$10 min
5/4/2026, 12:46:00 AM8 trades$120 min
5/4/2026, 12:51:10 AM5 trades$60 min
5/4/2026, 12:58:04 AM2 trades$00 min
5/6/2026, 12:02:18 AM6 trades$94 min
5/6/2026, 12:13:50 AM2 trades$11 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-14
05-21
05-27
06-05
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
99.9% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event