Polydata
Frank-Straw

@Frank-Straw

#2,44131

0xb17edd2dd1a681526b21ea6689170cc4a07222be

263d· 6208 markets · 6002 tradesVol: $10,031,955 @XLive830602026-06-26T07:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.12x0/15
HHI 6110/10
Profit Days 35%1/10

Summary

Frank-Straw is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, holding a global PnL rank of #2441. Over 424 days, they have executed 6,002 trades across 446 markets, generating a net profit of $68,551.22 from a total volume exceeding $10 million. Despite a significant number of trades, Frank-Straw's portfolio value remains relatively low at $94.75, and their overall Smart Score is below average at 31/100.

Frank-Straw demonstrates a preference for a diversified range of markets, as evidenced by trading in over 400 different markets, though none in weather-related markets. Their win rate of 66.5% suggests a consistent ability to select favorable positions, but a low profit factor of 0.12 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.53 indicate a high-risk profile with potentially poor risk-adjusted returns. The trader’s approach combines manual and bot-assisted trading, reflected in a bot score of 50/100, and they practice Dollar Cost Averaging, as suggested by the "DCA Master" badge.

Key strengths for Frank-Straw include a solid win rate and an upward equity trend, hinting at steady growth despite volatility. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio reveal potential concerns about sustainability and risk management. The trader’s sell percentage of 32% may indicate conservative exit strategies, but the combination of high volume and relatively low portfolio value suggests a cautious capital deployment or fragmented positions. Overall, Frank-Straw’s profile shows promise tempered by notable risk factors.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+68,551
DCA Master
avg 9.2 entries/market
Win Streak
187 wins in a row
Whale
$1,497,741
High Roller
$3,532/day

Categories

8
SPORTS#917$65,726Vol: $8,697,297
CRYPTO#1,573,918$-1,661Vol: $1,032,476
🏛️ POLITICS#7,874$3,545Vol: $61,797
🎭 CULTURE#11,163$281Vol: $22,064
💻 TECH#226,108$-36Vol: $13,652
💰 FINANCE#621,531$-214Vol: $6,139
📢 MENTIONS#167,040$-767Vol: $1,879
📈 ECONOMICS#80,746$2Vol: $822

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$68,551
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,031,955
Total Redeem
$638,263
Portfolio
$95
Predictions
6208
total markets
Trades
4084B / 1918S
Daily Volume
$3,532
Account Age
263d
since Oct 6, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-7,040
Vol: $36,076
Week
$2,385
Vol: $522,520
Month
$5,417
Vol: $1,595,895
All Time
$68,551
Vol: $10,031,955

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
240W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$108,490
Win Rate
67%
276W / 139L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$225
Avg Loss
$-3,596

Top Winners

Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?$3,822
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$2,792
Senators vs. Hurricanes$1,958
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?$1,856
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-13?$1,816
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?$1,749
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-14?$1,462
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5$1,434
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$1,418
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals$1,380

Top Losers

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?$-33,247
US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5$-24,802
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?$-18,393
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5$-16,498
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets$-12,169
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?$-11,005
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?$-10,863
Flyers vs. Kings$-10,454
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5$-10,150
Devils vs. Predators$-10,029

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.530
Sortino
-0.496
HHI
61
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.298
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.9m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.99 — diverse, typical for human44% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.35 — human randomness24 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.2
Active DCA
<=1
89 entries
<=2
138 entries
<=5
241 entries
<=10
324 entries
<=20
394 entries
<=50
439 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.6%
High (>55c)77%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.1%

Dallas$1,418
Paris$851
Seattle$-35
Miami$-9,892
Madrid$-15,873
Milan$-59,355
Other$-354,674

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
344

Single bracket

<=1
290 brackets
<=2
320 brackets
<=3
332 brackets
<=4
338 brackets
<=5
340 brackets
<=8
344 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/16/2025, 11:10:33 PM1 trades$280 min
11/2/2025, 3:34:21 PM11 trades$15710 min
11/2/2025, 3:57:41 PM2 trades$2,4270 min
11/3/2025, 12:45:07 AM5 trades$4278 min
11/5/2025, 9:37:49 PM36 trades$5,63519 min
11/6/2025, 5:42:51 AM8 trades$2,5942 min
11/8/2025, 6:14:19 PM1 trades$6930 min
11/8/2025, 6:25:47 PM1 trades$100 min
11/8/2025, 6:40:05 PM1 trades$7810 min
11/8/2025, 6:46:33 PM9 trades$3,2797 min
11/9/2025, 5:31:19 PM1 trades$3330 min
11/9/2025, 5:38:43 PM3 trades$5051 min
11/9/2025, 5:52:15 PM3 trades$2781 min
11/9/2025, 10:00:57 PM5 trades$1,6297 min
11/13/2025, 12:33:40 AM2 trades$1130 min
11/13/2025, 12:55:12 AM1 trades$200 min
11/13/2025, 1:03:56 AM1 trades$60 min
11/13/2025, 1:14:12 AM3 trades$151 min
11/13/2025, 1:22:20 AM6 trades$268 min
11/13/2025, 1:45:32 AM3 trades$181 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
12-13
01-17
02-24
03-31
05-16
06-24
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event