Polydata

@Frightened-Rehospitalization

#2,946,88480

0x8159112b10e9007af99633eaa92c54b376df2e87

156d· 666 markets · 1397 tradesVol: $847,8792026-07-03T10:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 6.98x15/15
Sharpe 0.3747/15
Sortino 0.2673/10
EV $+0.1085/10
HHI 6710/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 16%10/10

Summary

Frightened-Rehospitalization is a highly active Polymarket trader with nearly a year of activity, executing 1,397 trades across 645 markets and generating a total volume of $847,879. Despite a strong win rate of 98.2% and a profit factor close to 7, their net PnL stands at a negative $8,368.44, placing them at rank #2,946,884 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently zero, and their Sharpe ratio is 0.37, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader exhibits a conservative, consistent style focused on frequent, small-margin wins rather than large, volatile bets. Their sell percentage is low at 15%, suggesting a tendency to hold positions rather than quickly flipping them. They avoid weather markets entirely and show no significant drawdown periods, implying disciplined risk management. The "Sniper" and "Win Streak" badges highlight a precision approach, while the "Whale" and "High Roller" tags suggest occasional large stakes, though overall their strategy leans toward stable, incremental gains.

Frightened-Rehospitalization’s key strength lies in their consistency and high success rate, supported by a very good Smart Score of 80/100. However, the negative net PnL despite these metrics points to potential issues such as high transaction costs or misaligned market selections. Their low Bot Score indicates manual trading, which can be both an advantage in flexibility and a risk in terms of speed and emotional decision-making. Monitoring their evolution could reveal adjustments that improve profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
157 wins in a row
Whale
$652,513
Consistent
76/79 days
High Roller
$1,948/day
Cool Head
DD 16%

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,618,055$-8,419Vol: $791,658
SPORTS#203,959$26Vol: $39,853
🏛️ POLITICS#121,941$24Vol: $8,123
💰 FINANCE#64,142$7Vol: $6,721
🎭 CULTURE#585,211$-2Vol: $1,417
📈 ECONOMICS#545,281$-4Vol: $107

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,368
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$847,879
Total Redeem
$679,707
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
666
total markets
Trades
1189B / 208S
Daily Volume
$1,948
Account Age
156d
since Jan 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8,368
Vol: $847,879

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
198W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$792
Win Rate
98%
588W / 11L
Profit Factor
6.98x
Avg Win
$136
Avg Loss
$-1,040

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,337 (32.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 10?$8,889
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on April 9?$6,779
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?$6,669
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 11?$6,668
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 3?$6,667
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 4?$5,503
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 7?$4,447
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 18?$4,000
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 25?$3,834
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.80 on April 12?$3,669

Top Losers

Will Solana reach $85 on April 28?$-2,556
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 28?$-2,163
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on April 28?$-2,048
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 28?$-1,998
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 28?$-1,300
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on April 28?$-798
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on April 28?$-500
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?$-71
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 17?$-8
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.374
Sortino
0.267
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.108
Kelly %
91.0%
Half-Kelly
45.5%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.5
Active
Markets / Day
6.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 330s — typical for humanSize CV 2.15 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.82 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
396 entries
<=2
522 entries
<=5
613 entries
<=10
636 entries
<=20
639 entries
<=50
640 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)99.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38%

Other$68,479

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
378

Single bracket

<=1
214 brackets
<=2
312 brackets
<=3
355 brackets
<=4
370 brackets
<=5
375 brackets
<=8
378 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/29/2026, 5:01:38 AM3 trades$1,8423 min
1/29/2026, 12:03:52 PM1 trades$1,7900 min
1/29/2026, 12:22:10 PM1 trades$1,0170 min
1/29/2026, 12:48:02 PM1 trades$9900 min
1/29/2026, 1:29:02 PM3 trades$2925 min
1/29/2026, 2:40:20 PM1 trades$1,6120 min
1/29/2026, 4:18:00 PM1 trades$1,6120 min
1/30/2026, 7:09:56 AM8 trades$2,5167 min
1/30/2026, 9:48:46 AM4 trades$1,3992 min
1/30/2026, 6:24:34 PM1 trades$100 min
1/30/2026, 7:00:40 PM1 trades$100 min
1/31/2026, 2:55:28 AM1 trades$5000 min
1/31/2026, 3:12:18 AM1 trades$1,9570 min
1/31/2026, 3:20:54 AM1 trades$1040 min
1/31/2026, 4:38:30 AM2 trades$5991 min
1/31/2026, 7:28:56 AM2 trades$2,0635 min
1/31/2026, 8:37:38 PM2 trades$6520 min
1/31/2026, 8:51:00 PM1 trades$2730 min
1/31/2026, 8:56:30 PM1 trades$120 min
2/1/2026, 7:48:16 AM8 trades$7,97215 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-11
03-19
04-01
04-15
04-28
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event