Polydata
Data is 11 days old — refreshing in background...

@Frightened-Rehospitalization

#2,885,95991

0x8159112b10e9007af99633eaa92c54b376df2e87

154d· 666 markets · 1301 tradesVol: $847,8792026-06-22T15:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 994.89x15/15
Sharpe 0.5059/15
Sortino 1047464.18010/10
EV $+0.1317/10
HHI 6910/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Frightened-Rehospitalization is a highly active Polymarket trader with 1,301 trades across 611 markets over 335 days. Despite a high Smart Score of 91/100, placing them in the elite category, their net PnL stands at -$8,368.44, ranking them #2,885,959 globally. They have traded nearly $848,000 in volume but currently hold no portfolio value, reflecting recent losses.

This trader favors a high-frequency, low-risk approach, as indicated by a 99.3% win rate and an exceptionally high profit factor of 994.89. Frightened-Rehospitalization rarely sells positions, with only 12% sell percentage, and does not trade weather markets. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.51 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the zero max drawdown duration implies minimal sustained losses. The trader’s badges—Sniper, Win Streak, Whale, Consistent, High Roller—highlight precision and steady activity, likely relying on quick, small gains.

Frightened-Rehospitalization’s strengths include consistency, volume, and a strong track record of winning trades on Polymarket. However, the negative overall PnL and flat equity trend raise concerns about long-term profitability. The low bot score suggests human trading, which may limit scalability. Their strategy appears to prioritize frequent, low-risk bets, but sustaining profits over time remains uncertain given current results.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
209 wins in a row
Whale
$636,332
Consistent
78/79 days
High Roller
$1,899/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,595,996$-8,419Vol: $791,658
SPORTS#193,384$26Vol: $39,853
🏛️ POLITICS#121,732$24Vol: $8,123
💰 FINANCE#63,356$7Vol: $6,721
🎭 CULTURE#582,454$-2Vol: $1,417
📈 ECONOMICS#542,210$-4Vol: $107

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,368
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$847,879
Total Redeem
$679,707
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
666
total markets
Trades
1140B / 161S
Daily Volume
$1,900
Account Age
154d
since Jan 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8,368
Vol: $847,879

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
198W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$792
Win Rate
99%
601W / 4L
Profit Factor
994.89x
Avg Win
$138
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,337 (27% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 10?$8,889
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on April 9?$6,779
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?$6,669
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 11?$6,668
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 3?$6,667
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 4?$5,503
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 7?$4,447
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 18?$4,000
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 25?$3,834
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.80 on April 12?$3,669

Top Losers

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?$-71
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 17?$-8
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders$-4
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.505
Sortino
inf
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.131
Kelly %
99.3%
Half-Kelly
49.6%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
6.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 378s — typical for humanSize CV 2.12 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.82 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
376 entries
<=2
499 entries
<=5
584 entries
<=10
607 entries
<=20
610 entries
<=50
611 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)99%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.5%

Other$82,750

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
367

Single bracket

<=1
216 brackets
<=2
307 brackets
<=3
348 brackets
<=4
359 brackets
<=5
364 brackets
<=8
367 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/29/2026, 5:01:38 AM3 trades$1,8423 min
1/29/2026, 12:03:52 PM1 trades$1,7900 min
1/29/2026, 12:22:10 PM1 trades$1,0170 min
1/29/2026, 12:48:02 PM1 trades$9900 min
1/29/2026, 1:29:02 PM3 trades$2925 min
1/29/2026, 2:40:20 PM1 trades$1,6120 min
1/29/2026, 4:18:00 PM1 trades$1,6120 min
1/30/2026, 7:09:56 AM8 trades$2,5167 min
1/30/2026, 9:48:46 AM4 trades$1,3992 min
1/30/2026, 6:24:34 PM1 trades$100 min
1/30/2026, 7:00:40 PM1 trades$100 min
1/31/2026, 2:55:28 AM1 trades$5000 min
1/31/2026, 3:12:18 AM1 trades$1,9570 min
1/31/2026, 3:20:54 AM1 trades$1040 min
1/31/2026, 4:38:30 AM2 trades$5991 min
1/31/2026, 7:28:56 AM2 trades$2,0635 min
1/31/2026, 8:37:38 PM2 trades$6520 min
1/31/2026, 8:51:00 PM1 trades$2730 min
1/31/2026, 8:56:30 PM1 trades$120 min
2/1/2026, 7:48:16 AM8 trades$7,97215 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-11
03-19
04-01
04-15
04-28
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event