Polydata

@Frosty-Brass-Catacomb

#137,61444

0xd48c8af747be3476181da67d0929788efdd747f9

1d· 127 markets · 343 tradesVol: $40,1122026-06-06T06:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 1.03x3/15
EV $+0.0281/10
HHI 8310/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Frosty-Brass-Catacomb is a relatively new and moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 343 trades across 130 markets in just one day. Despite the short trading history, this trader has achieved a net profit of $279.75 and currently holds a portfolio valued at $996. Their global PnL rank stands at #137,614, reflecting a modest position among the wider Polymarket community. The Smart Score of 44/100 indicates average overall trading performance.

This trader demonstrates a high-frequency approach, engaging in a wide variety of markets without a specific preference for weather-related events. Frosty-Brass-Catacomb exhibits an extremely conservative sell strategy, with only 3% of positions sold, suggesting a strong holding bias. The 100% win rate indicates a cautious or selective entry strategy, though the zero profit factor and Sharpe ratio imply limited risk-adjusted returns or insufficient data to assess performance stability. Their semi-bot trading style blends automated and manual decisions, possibly enabling rapid execution with some human oversight.

Frosty-Brass-Catacomb’s key strength lies in their consistent winning streak and disciplined position management, earning badges like Diamond Hands and Consistent. However, the limited trading timeframe and lack of significant drawdowns or volatility data present risks in fully evaluating their long-term strategy effectiveness. Continued observation is necessary to determine if this promising start on Polymarket translates into sustained profitability.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+280
Diamond Hands
3% sell
Win Streak
64 wins in a row
Consistent
2/2 days
High Roller
$20,789/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#51,956$280Vol: $40,112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$280
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,112
Total Redeem
$20,494
Portfolio
$996
Predictions
127
total markets
Trades
333B / 10S
Daily Volume
$20,790
Account Age
1d
since Jun 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-193
Vol: $2,251
Week
$280
Vol: $40,112
Month
$280
Vol: $40,112
All Time
$280
Vol: $40,112

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
65W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$10,383
Win Rate
100%
64W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$162
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $825 (7.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$304
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$276
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$245
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$231
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$208
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$204
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$203
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$202
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$201
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$201

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
83
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
331.1
Very active
Markets / Day
125.5
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.0m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 26s — typical for humanSize CV 1.07 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.06 — human randomness331 trades/day — automation125 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.6
Moderate DCA
<=1
95 entries
<=2
103 entries
<=5
117 entries
<=10
122 entries
<=20
129 entries
<=50
130 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)88%
High (>55c)11.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 83.6%

Other$10,389

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
130

Single bracket

<=1
130 brackets
<=2
130 brackets
<=3
130 brackets
<=4
130 brackets
<=5
130 brackets
<=8
130 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 6:01:25 AM19 trades$7774 min
6/5/2026, 6:18:30 AM24 trades$3634 min
6/5/2026, 6:31:51 AM4 trades$2401 min
6/5/2026, 7:05:57 AM3 trades$4591 min
6/5/2026, 7:20:49 AM1 trades$560 min
6/5/2026, 7:29:24 AM13 trades$1620 min
6/5/2026, 7:36:16 AM1 trades$650 min
6/5/2026, 9:39:37 AM8 trades$1942 min
6/5/2026, 10:08:45 AM5 trades$6765 min
6/5/2026, 10:31:46 AM6 trades$1953 min
6/5/2026, 12:10:18 PM2 trades$1974 min
6/5/2026, 1:02:15 PM15 trades$1,0934 min
6/5/2026, 1:25:00 PM2 trades$3064 min
6/5/2026, 1:37:01 PM2 trades$3065 min
6/5/2026, 1:52:04 PM8 trades$1,0398 min
6/5/2026, 2:14:40 PM2 trades$2901 min
6/5/2026, 2:39:31 PM3 trades$4590 min
6/5/2026, 3:05:22 PM6 trades$8954 min
6/5/2026, 3:25:13 PM3 trades$4593 min
6/5/2026, 3:35:52 PM21 trades$3686 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event