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Full-Machine

@Full-Machine

#1,254,14441

0x147f3fe19e4c003a40703b53823b98f907c95f7b

172d· 233 markets · 459 tradesVol: $11,148 @Somesh_3332026-05-18T08:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 69%19/20
Profit Factor 1.00x2/15
HHI 9210/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 105%0/10

Summary

Full-Machine is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 459 trades across 233 markets over 172 days. Despite a high win rate of 74.2%, their net PnL stands at -$1.62, placing them at rank #1,254,144 on the global leaderboard. Their total traded volume is $11,148, and their average Smart Score is 41/100, indicating an overall average performance.

This trader tends to engage broadly in various markets, avoiding weather markets entirely. Full-Machine shows a preference for consistent, high-frequency trading with a relatively low sell percentage of 26%. Their Profit Factor of 1.18 suggests modest profitability on winning trades, though the negative Sharpe Ratio and downward equity trend indicate challenges in sustaining gains over time. Their quick interface use and low Bot Score imply human-driven decision-making with a sniper-like focus.

Key strengths for Full-Machine include a strong win streak and consistent trading patterns, which contribute to their respectable win rate. However, the overall declining portfolio value and minimal net profit highlight risks related to drawdowns or inefficient position sizing. Continued monitoring of Full-Machine’s strategy on Polymarket is warranted to assess whether their consistency can translate into improved profitability.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 69%
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
Consistent
46/69 days

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#176,243$30Vol: $10,143
₿ CRYPTO#1,149,359$-20Vol: $565
📢 MENTIONS#125,144$-13Vol: $177
🏛️ POLITICS#246,559$2Vol: $145
🎭 CULTURE#202,946$0Vol: $60
💰 FINANCE#141,022$1Vol: $40
📈 ECONOMICS#483,351$-2Vol: $19

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,148
Total Redeem
$3,160
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
233
total markets
Trades
340B / 119S
Daily Volume
$34
Account Age
172d
since Nov 29, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $112
Week
$-5
Vol: $734
Month
$41
Vol: $6,126
All Time
$-2
Vol: $11,148

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
73%
151W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$92
Win Rate
74%
164W / 56L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $85 (92.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giant$41
Knicks vs. 76ers$24
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA$21
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$20
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$17
Golden Knights vs. Ducks$15
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$14
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook $12
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game Final)$11
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Pla$11

Top Losers

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winner$-85
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickof$-59
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$-43
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalur$-33
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$-30
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-27
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoff$-25
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand$-20
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings$-17
Will Pakistan win?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.001
Sortino
-0.001
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
42.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2569s — typical for humanSize CV 1.11 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.49 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
169 entries
<=2
209 entries
<=5
231 entries
<=10
233 entries
<=20
233 entries
<=50
233 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)29.4%
High (>55c)65%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 73.5%

Other$48
Lucknow$41
Hong Kong$12
Chicago$-8

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
210

Single bracket

<=1
189 brackets
<=2
208 brackets
<=3
210 brackets
<=4
210 brackets
<=5
210 brackets
<=8
210 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/10/2025, 2:00:42 PM3 trades$45 min
12/10/2025, 2:10:38 PM1 trades$00 min
12/10/2025, 7:30:02 PM2 trades$01 min
12/10/2025, 7:44:30 PM1 trades$220 min
12/10/2025, 8:01:22 PM1 trades$120 min
12/18/2025, 1:35:10 PM1 trades$10 min
12/22/2025, 8:28:07 PM1 trades$10 min
12/25/2025, 3:47:31 PM1 trades$10 min
12/25/2025, 4:01:49 PM1 trades$40 min
12/25/2025, 4:15:13 PM1 trades$40 min
1/9/2026, 1:38:14 PM1 trades$00 min
1/16/2026, 7:44:06 PM1 trades$210 min
1/16/2026, 7:58:54 PM1 trades$210 min
1/16/2026, 8:58:46 PM1 trades$210 min
1/16/2026, 9:44:30 PM1 trades$240 min
1/17/2026, 5:23:42 PM7 trades$836 min
1/17/2026, 5:59:00 PM1 trades$320 min
1/17/2026, 6:14:08 PM1 trades$240 min
1/17/2026, 6:29:48 PM1 trades$330 min
1/17/2026, 8:44:22 PM1 trades$350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
01-30
04-09
04-20
05-01
05-12
05-21
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event