Polydata

@Full-Oncology

#2,962,31815

0xac3930cfcdc3e6c707bd58bba124397f619f95c7

113d· 203 markets · 1039 tradesVol: $2,191,297 @marcelohkf2026-07-04T15:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 35%3/20
Profit Factor 0.93x2/15
HHI 32810/10
Profit Days 35%1/10
DD/Peak 129%0/10

Summary

Full-Oncology is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 1,039 trades across 203 markets over 115 days. Despite a high total trading volume of over $2.19 million, their net profit and loss stands at a significant loss of $15,429.65, placing them at rank #2,962,318 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their performance metrics, including a low Smart Score of 15/100 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.03, indicate early-stage experience and challenges in achieving consistent profitability.

The trader’s strategy appears to involve high-volume, manual trading with a contrarian and high-risk style, as suggested by their badges: Contrarian, Whale, and High Roller. Full-Oncology maintains a low win rate of 35% and a profit factor near 1, implying close to break-even outcomes but with frequent losses. Their trading behavior involves limited selling (11%) and no exposure to weather markets. The equity trend is downward, and their portfolio value has declined to zero, pointing to difficulties in timing and risk management.

Strengths of Full-Oncology include high engagement and volume, which could provide valuable learning opportunities and market insights over time. However, the significant net losses, poor risk-adjusted returns, and low win rate highlight potential concerns around strategy effectiveness and capital preservation. For Polymarket traders observing Full-Oncology, the data suggests caution and a need for refining approach before expecting sustainable gains.

Badges

3
Contrarian
75% entries <$0.50
Whale
$548,309
High Roller
$4,768/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#24,070$1,719Vol: $1,953,181
CRYPTO#1,607,611$-2,911Vol: $14,588

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15,430
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,191,297
Total Redeem
$2,603
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
203
total markets
Trades
925B / 114S
Daily Volume
$4,768
Account Age
113d
since Mar 13, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-1,701
Vol: $34,134
Month
$64
Vol: $249
All Time
$-15,430
Vol: $2,191,297

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
35%
71W / 130L events
Realized PnL
$-16,628
Win Rate
35%
71W / 132L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$3,263
Avg Loss
$-1,765

Top Winners

Senators vs. Hurricanes$29,477
Shymkent: Ivan Gakhov vs Jelle Sels$27,684
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils$20,386
Will Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?$15,167
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova$13,696
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina$12,949
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St$11,593
Rockets vs. Lakers$10,613
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qua$8,855
76ers vs. Celtics$6,980

Top Losers

LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America $-32,941
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettini$-26,493
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels$-17,853
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros$-14,180
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkina$-12,455
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli$-11,490
Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimova$-9,793
Wild vs. Stars$-8,195
Madrid Open, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Sinja Kraus$-8,172
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connell$-7,580

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
328
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
39.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 37s — typical for humanSize CV 4.47 — diverse, typical for human8% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.36 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.6
Moderate DCA
<=1
140 entries
<=2
169 entries
<=5
184 entries
<=10
189 entries
<=20
193 entries
<=50
198 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)77%
High (>55c)16.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 89.5%

Other$86,834
Toronto$4,440
Miami$3,899
Seattle$575
Dallas$-95
Austin$-575
San Francisco$-584
Atlanta$-3,590
Los Angeles$-15,145
Houston$-17,637
Madrid$-59,431

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
201

Single bracket

<=1
199 brackets
<=2
201 brackets
<=3
201 brackets
<=4
201 brackets
<=5
201 brackets
<=8
201 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/13/2026, 11:12:07 PM1 trades$5750 min
3/14/2026, 12:40:33 AM1 trades$1010 min
3/14/2026, 1:12:39 AM2 trades$3991 min
3/31/2026, 4:53:43 PM5 trades$1,0439 min
4/17/2026, 6:49:54 PM30 trades$3,79611 min
4/17/2026, 7:52:16 PM1 trades$1,0720 min
4/17/2026, 9:18:20 PM1 trades$3,5670 min
4/17/2026, 9:36:24 PM1 trades$2,2310 min
4/17/2026, 11:02:42 PM1 trades$4,5270 min
4/17/2026, 11:28:34 PM2 trades$4,3463 min
4/18/2026, 12:56:28 AM2 trades$15,9391 min
4/18/2026, 1:59:32 AM2 trades$19,9042 min
4/18/2026, 2:46:42 AM2 trades$13,3481 min
4/18/2026, 4:08:12 AM1 trades$15,1650 min
4/18/2026, 7:16:14 AM3 trades$6134 min
4/18/2026, 7:29:14 AM59 trades$8,2760 min
4/18/2026, 10:33:22 AM1 trades$19,8690 min
4/18/2026, 10:38:42 AM2 trades$8320 min
4/18/2026, 10:55:56 AM1 trades$8320 min
4/18/2026, 11:02:12 AM1 trades$20,0380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
04-22
04-30
05-09
05-24
06-05
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event