Polydata

@Funny-Caramel

#17,60460

0x19279204e51b5fb6349403dedda398930918d227

11d· 71 markets · 111 tradesVol: $127,8972026-07-15T13:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 45%8/20
Profit Factor 1.61x10/15
Sharpe 0.3807/15
Sortino 0.2933/10
EV $+0.57810/10
HHI 56610/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 55%3/10

Summary

Funny-Caramel is a relatively new but highly active trader on Polymarket, having completed 111 trades across 71 markets within just 12 days. With a net profit of $7,729.20, they rank #17604 on the global PnL leaderboard and maintain a portfolio value of approximately $1,216.65. Their trading volume totals nearly $128,000, indicating an engaged and sizable presence, while their Smart Score of 60/100 reflects a good overall trading performance.

The trader exhibits a strong preference for a high win rate strategy, winning 96.9% of their trades with a remarkable profit factor of 695.81, suggesting highly profitable outcomes relative to losses. Funny-Caramel tends to hold a low-risk profile, as evidenced by a max drawdown duration of zero days and a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.38. They appear to focus on consistent, short-term trades rather than prolonged market exposure, with a relatively low sell percentage of 19% and no engagement in weather markets.

Funny-Caramel’s key strengths lie in their consistency and ability to maintain a winning streak, as highlighted by badges like “Consistent” and “Win Streak.” However, the downward equity trend and relatively low Sharpe ratio indicate potential vulnerability to market volatility or diminishing returns over time. The bot score of 25/100 suggests manual, fast-paced trading, which may limit scalability or expose the trader to human error. Overall, Funny-Caramel’s performance on Polymarket demonstrates disciplined, short-term gains with some risks tied to sustainability.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+7,729
Lottery Player
31% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
74% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Consistent
7/9 days
High Roller
$3,734/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#15,440$2,843Vol: $70,050
SPORTS#9,104$4,886Vol: $60,853

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,729
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$127,897
Total Redeem
$21,288
Portfolio
$1,217
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
90B / 21S
Daily Volume
$3,734
Account Age
11d
since Jul 4, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$2,843
Vol: $87,221
Month
$7,729
Vol: $130,903
All Time
$7,729
Vol: $127,897

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
32W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$26,361
Win Rate
97%
31W / 1L
Profit Factor
695.81x
Avg Win
$852
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,422 (39.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$4,741
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2,865
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2,816
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?$2,467
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?$2,413
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1,596
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1,238
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1,111
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1,043
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1,022

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.380
Sortino
0.293
HHI
566
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.578
Kelly %
96.8%
Half-Kelly
48.4%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
41.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
6.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 285s — typical for humanSize CV 1.63 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.56 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
54 entries
<=2
69 entries
<=5
71 entries
<=10
71 entries
<=20
71 entries
<=50
71 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.1%
Mid (20-55c)53.3%
High (>55c)15.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 74.7%

Other$26,361

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
59

Single bracket

<=1
51 brackets
<=2
56 brackets
<=3
58 brackets
<=4
59 brackets
<=5
59 brackets
<=8
59 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 1:27:56 AM3 trades$3025 min
7/4/2026, 1:56:43 AM1 trades$500 min
7/4/2026, 4:25:52 AM2 trades$3720 min
7/4/2026, 10:30:46 PM1 trades$3820 min
7/5/2026, 12:41:10 AM3 trades$1505 min
7/5/2026, 9:00:17 PM1 trades$500 min
7/5/2026, 9:12:41 PM1 trades$50 min
7/5/2026, 10:18:17 PM3 trades$9201 min
7/5/2026, 10:49:44 PM1 trades$500 min
7/6/2026, 1:25:20 AM3 trades$803 min
7/6/2026, 2:38:47 AM1 trades$3120 min
7/7/2026, 11:39:10 AM3 trades$3,5805 min
7/7/2026, 8:04:04 PM3 trades$1501 min
7/7/2026, 9:57:26 PM1 trades$4430 min
7/10/2026, 7:50:01 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/10/2026, 8:36:26 PM1 trades$4,0000 min
7/10/2026, 9:26:05 PM1 trades$8,7410 min
7/11/2026, 9:52:28 PM1 trades$500 min
7/11/2026, 9:58:13 PM1 trades$500 min
7/11/2026, 10:09:17 PM2 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-04
07-05
07-06
07-07
07-10
07-11
07-12
07-14
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event