Polydata

@GCottrell93

#2920

0x94a428cfa4f84b264e01f70d93d02bc96cb36356

573d· 42 markets · 3466 tradesVol: $18,003,4972026-05-19T14:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 55%12/20
Profit Factor 0.17x0/15
HHI 10757/10
Profit Days 29%0/10

Summary

GCottrell93 is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked 29th globally by net profit. Over 906 days, they completed 3,466 trades across 42 markets, generating a net PnL of approximately $3.42 million on $18 million in volume. Despite this high profit, their smart score of 20/100 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.48 suggest beginner-level risk management, and their portfolio value currently stands at about $94,000.

The trader’s style appears aggressive, with a low win rate of 39.4% and a profit factor of 0.17, indicating that losses significantly outweigh gains on average. GCottrell93 tends to hold positions rather than frequently selling, as evidenced by only 5% sell percentage and badges like “Diamond Hands” and “Whale.” Their trading spans a variety of markets but excludes weather-related ones, and the bot score suggests human-driven, fast-paced decision-making rather than automated trading.

Key strengths for GCottrell93 include their ability to generate substantial absolute profits and maintain a high volume of trades, which is notable for a beginner-ranked trader. However, the downward equity trend and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight vulnerability to large drawdowns or volatility. Their low profit factor and win rate imply that continued success may depend on improving risk controls to sustain profitability on Polymarket.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+3,422,827
Diamond Hands
5% sell
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$2,786,797
High Roller
$3,076/day

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#12$3,741,105Vol: $16,806,557
💰 FINANCE#606,761$-206,364Vol: $960,221
📢 MENTIONS#165,297$-64,432Vol: $104,402
CRYPTO#1,519,835$-47,135Vol: $90,643
📈 ECONOMICS#630,595$-256Vol: $40,477

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,422,827
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,003,497
Total Redeem
$583,491
Portfolio
$94,072
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
3291B / 175S
Daily Volume
$3,076
Account Age
573d
since Oct 24, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1,125
Vol: $0
Week
$330
Vol: $0
Month
$-61,308
Vol: $149,821
All Time
$3,422,827
Vol: $18,003,497

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
9W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$4,564,045
Win Rate
39%
13W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$24,719
Avg Loss
$-95,314

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$157,961
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$89,650
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$24,677
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$18,037
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$13,390
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats$7,648
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$5,550
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$2,964
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1,069
Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1$256

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-562,480
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-550,996
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-149,568
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$-117,566
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-110,000
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral elec$-107,500
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$-100,000
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$-48,479
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-41,998
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-38,855

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.480
Sortino
-0.474
HHI
1075
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.606
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.2%
Top-5 markets
62.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.9m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
50% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 10.73 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.15 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
78.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
6 entries
<=2
9 entries
<=5
14 entries
<=10
18 entries
<=20
22 entries
<=50
29 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.8%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)51.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.4%

Other$-1,584,926

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
25

Single bracket

<=1
17 brackets
<=2
22 brackets
<=3
24 brackets
<=4
24 brackets
<=5
24 brackets
<=8
24 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/30/2024, 7:39:24 AM994 trades$562,48016 min
10/28/2025, 8:04:51 PM6 trades$1621 min
10/28/2025, 8:19:23 PM2 trades$110,0001 min
10/29/2025, 11:10:01 AM41 trades$38,57723 min
10/29/2025, 11:39:01 AM2 trades$433 min
10/29/2025, 11:55:05 AM1 trades$300 min
10/29/2025, 12:31:37 PM7 trades$1110 min
10/29/2025, 12:38:29 PM8 trades$707 min
10/29/2025, 1:03:33 PM1 trades$1,1170 min
10/29/2025, 2:26:03 PM2 trades$5421 min
10/29/2025, 2:56:21 PM7 trades$77410 min
10/29/2025, 3:14:03 PM4 trades$2869 min
10/29/2025, 3:32:43 PM1 trades$1750 min
10/29/2025, 4:28:55 PM2 trades$1110 min
10/29/2025, 4:40:09 PM2 trades$2872 min
10/29/2025, 4:57:15 PM3 trades$455 min
10/29/2025, 5:15:07 PM1 trades$330 min
10/29/2025, 5:46:35 PM3 trades$1,0809 min
10/29/2025, 6:16:55 PM3 trades$1,0431 min
10/29/2025, 6:42:13 PM3 trades$83 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-26
10-31
11-04
02-19
03-08
04-15
05-01
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 78.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event