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@GCottrell93

#3721

0x94a428cfa4f84b264e01f70d93d02bc96cb36356

615d· 43 markets · 3469 tradesVol: $18,121,5802026-06-28T16:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 56%13/20
Profit Factor 0.17x0/15
HHI 10147/10
Profit Days 33%1/10

Summary

GCottrell93 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked 37th on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $3.4 million. Over 906 days, they executed 3,469 trades across 43 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $18 million. Despite the impressive net PnL, their overall performance metrics indicate below-average efficiency, with a smart score of 21/100 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.46, suggesting volatility and risk in their returns.

The trading style of GCottrell93 appears to favor high-volume, high-frequency activity with a low sell percentage of 5%, indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than trade out quickly. Their win rate is 41.2%, and the profit factor of 0.17 points to losses outweighing gains on average per trade. The trader does not engage in weather markets and seems to focus on non-weather-related events. The equity trend shows a decline, which signals recent performance deterioration despite a history of significant profits.

GCottrell93’s strengths include a large trading scale and the ability to maintain a profitable overall PnL, reflected by badges like Whale and Diamond Hands. However, the low smart score, negative Sharpe ratio, and downward equity trend highlight considerable risks, including poor risk-adjusted returns and potential vulnerability to market swings. Their low sell percentage could also expose them to holding losing positions longer than optimal.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+3,444,250
Diamond Hands
5% sell
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$2,886,797
High Roller
$3,186/day

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#12$3,760,442Vol: $16,924,639
💰 FINANCE#640,283$-206,386Vol: $960,221
📢 MENTIONS#169,888$-64,432Vol: $104,402
CRYPTO#1,613,260$-47,135Vol: $90,643
📈 ECONOMICS#1,852$1,852Vol: $40,477

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,444,250
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,121,580
Total Redeem
$621,843
Portfolio
$177,061
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
3294B / 175S
Daily Volume
$3,186
Account Age
615d
since Oct 24, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-218
Vol: $0
Week
$3,459
Vol: $0
Month
$28,414
Vol: $118,083
All Time
$3,444,250
Vol: $18,121,580

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
11W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$4,572,295
Win Rate
41%
14W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$23,543
Avg Loss
$-95,314

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$157,961
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$89,650
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$24,677
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$18,037
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$13,390
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on $8,250
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats$7,648
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$5,550
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$2,964
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1,069

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-562,480
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-550,996
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-149,568
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$-117,566
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-110,000
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral elec$-107,500
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$-100,000
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$-48,479
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-41,998
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-38,855

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.461
Sortino
-0.445
HHI
1014
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.596
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.5%
Top-5 markets
60.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.9m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
50% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 10.42 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.15 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
76.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
6 entries
<=2
9 entries
<=5
15 entries
<=10
19 entries
<=20
23 entries
<=50
30 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.8%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)51.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58.3%

Other$-1,576,676

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
26

Single bracket

<=1
18 brackets
<=2
23 brackets
<=3
25 brackets
<=4
25 brackets
<=5
25 brackets
<=8
25 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/30/2024, 7:39:24 AM994 trades$562,48016 min
10/28/2025, 8:04:51 PM6 trades$1621 min
10/28/2025, 8:19:23 PM2 trades$110,0001 min
10/29/2025, 11:10:01 AM41 trades$38,57723 min
10/29/2025, 11:39:01 AM2 trades$433 min
10/29/2025, 11:55:05 AM1 trades$300 min
10/29/2025, 12:31:37 PM7 trades$1110 min
10/29/2025, 12:38:29 PM8 trades$707 min
10/29/2025, 1:03:33 PM1 trades$1,1170 min
10/29/2025, 2:26:03 PM2 trades$5421 min
10/29/2025, 2:56:21 PM7 trades$77410 min
10/29/2025, 3:14:03 PM4 trades$2869 min
10/29/2025, 3:32:43 PM1 trades$1750 min
10/29/2025, 4:28:55 PM2 trades$1110 min
10/29/2025, 4:40:09 PM2 trades$2872 min
10/29/2025, 4:57:15 PM3 trades$455 min
10/29/2025, 5:15:07 PM1 trades$330 min
10/29/2025, 5:46:35 PM3 trades$1,0809 min
10/29/2025, 6:16:55 PM3 trades$1,0431 min
10/29/2025, 6:42:13 PM3 trades$83 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-30
11-04
02-28
04-15
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 76.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event