Polydata
GamblingIsAllYouNeed

@GamblingIsAllYouNeed

#2530

0x507e52ef684ca2dd91f90a9d26d149dd3288beae

235d· 64108 markets · 39694 tradesVol: $440,870,4672026-07-03T17:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 0.05x0/15
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 14%0/10
DD/Peak 21692%0/10

Summary

GamblingIsAllYouNeed is an active trader on Polymarket, holding the #25 spot on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of approximately $4.47 million. Over 235 days, they executed nearly 40,000 trades across 339 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $440 million. Despite this high activity, their Smart Score is below average at 30/100, and their Sharpe Ratio is negative, indicating volatility and risk in their returns.

This trader appears to favor a high-volume, high-risk strategy with a low win rate of 19.9% but a large overall profit, suggesting they capitalize on a few big wins. Their profit factor of 0.05 and a sell percentage of 18% imply a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently locking in profits. GamblingIsAllYouNeed’s trading style combines semi-automated bot use with manual intervention, emphasizing timing and selective market entries rather than broad diversification.

Key strengths include a sustained upward equity trend and a strong ranking with considerable portfolio value, demonstrating effective capital growth despite the high-risk approach. However, the negative Sharpe Ratio and very low profit factor highlight potential concerns around volatility and risk management. Traders following GamblingIsAllYouNeed should note the below-average Smart Score and semi-bot reliance, which may affect consistency in highly volatile Polymarket environments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+4,472,957
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Whale
$11,014,915
High Roller
$46,872/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#23$3,549,917Vol: $380,596,319
📈 ECONOMICS#94,197$1Vol: $6
🎭 CULTURE#235,967$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,472,957
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$440,870,467
Total Redeem
$961,220
Portfolio
$3,370,699
Predictions
64108
total markets
Trades
32444B / 7250S
Daily Volume
$46,872
Account Age
235d
since Nov 11, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-13,398
Vol: $71,016
Week
$-34,317
Vol: $619,777
Month
$-5,175
Vol: $351,180
All Time
$4,472,957
Vol: $440,870,467

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
247W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$10,721,912
Win Rate
20%
60W / 242L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$6,474
Avg Loss
$-33,436

Top Winners

Oregon vs. Washington$39,093
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?$37,378
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?$33,698
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$25,151
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians$20,522
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$20,303
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$18,359
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?$16,399
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$14,112
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$12,610

Top Losers

49ers vs. Seahawks$-154,595
Lakers vs. Clippers$-133,331
Spurs vs. Thunder$-129,682
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5$-118,879
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?$-114,352
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?$-109,625
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?$-95,974
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?$-89,994
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?$-89,233
Lakers vs. Clippers$-87,801

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.029
Sortino
-1.122
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.714
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
173.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.0m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 4.43 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.29 — human randomness174 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
95.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
14 entries
<=2
32 entries
<=5
60 entries
<=10
90 entries
<=20
134 entries
<=50
193 entries
>50
146 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)45%
High (>55c)50%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 26.4%

Shanghai$4
Houston$-5,605
Seattle$-11,877
Austin$-17,383
Los Angeles$-30,273
Chicago$-40,205
Miami$-48,340
Atlanta$-60,005
Toronto$-62,839
Lucknow$-70,700
Milan$-76,503
Paris$-157,990
Madrid$-187,080
Other$-6,934,168

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
272

Single bracket

<=1
227 brackets
<=2
250 brackets
<=3
272 brackets
<=4
272 brackets
<=5
272 brackets
<=8
272 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/17/2025, 6:52:11 AM1 trades$180 min
11/20/2025, 6:28:09 PM1 trades$1220 min
11/20/2025, 8:41:27 PM1 trades$10 min
11/24/2025, 3:30:07 AM1 trades$1590 min
11/24/2025, 4:02:15 AM1 trades$230 min
11/24/2025, 4:27:27 AM1 trades$2,0810 min
11/24/2025, 4:39:07 AM1 trades$30 min
11/24/2025, 4:50:47 AM1 trades$20 min
11/24/2025, 5:05:15 AM1 trades$40 min
11/24/2025, 5:26:41 AM1 trades$40 min
11/24/2025, 6:29:51 AM1 trades$40 min
11/24/2025, 6:46:43 AM1 trades$40 min
11/24/2025, 7:23:29 AM1 trades$40 min
11/24/2025, 10:03:23 AM1 trades$180 min
11/24/2025, 11:41:53 AM1 trades$1220 min
11/24/2025, 12:54:05 PM1 trades$110 min
11/24/2025, 1:17:07 PM1 trades$10 min
11/24/2025, 1:25:33 PM2 trades$333 min
11/24/2025, 1:37:31 PM2 trades$9612 min
11/24/2025, 1:47:35 PM2 trades$205 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-24
12-26
01-20
02-28
04-02
05-03
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 95.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event