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Gifted-Hero

@Gifted-Hero

#9,71936

0xd685314901c0d27d39b4014de30644a39d288be9

621d· 1230 markets · 5466 tradesVol: $2,654,4552026-06-27T08:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.53x0/15
HHI 7610/10
Profit Days 52%6/10
DD/Peak 905%0/10

Summary

Gifted-Hero is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 5,466 trades across 342 markets over 788 days. Despite a substantial total volume of $2.65 million, their net profit stands at $14,451.86, placing them at rank #9719 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their Smart Score is 36/100, indicating below-average trading effectiveness, and their portfolio value is currently $4,703.99.

This trader shows a preference for diverse markets but does not focus on weather-related events. Gifted-Hero’s trading style reflects a blend of bot-assisted and manual strategies, evidenced by a bot score of 55/100. They maintain a moderate win rate of 57.4% but a profit factor under 1 (0.53), suggesting that losses outweigh gains when adjusted for size. Their sell percentage is 31%, indicating a relatively conservative exit approach, and their Sharpe ratio of -0.18 points to negative risk-adjusted returns. The presence of badges like Sniper and DCA Master suggests tactical entry points and dollar-cost averaging techniques.

Gifted-Hero’s strengths include consistent activity and an upward equity trend, signaling gradual portfolio growth. However, their negative Sharpe ratio and low profit factor highlight potential inefficiencies in risk management and profitability. The short max drawdown duration of zero days may indicate quick recovery from losses but could also reflect frequent small drawdowns. Overall, Gifted-Hero’s profile suggests a trader with steady volume and experience but room to improve in maximizing returns on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+14,452
DCA Master
avg 11.0 entries/market
Win Streak
51 wins in a row
Whale
$488,557

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#2,701$14,973Vol: $827,040
CRYPTO#29,592$994Vol: $803,936
📢 MENTIONS#266$6,768Vol: $316,367
🎭 CULTURE#800,390$-3,952Vol: $273,373
SPORTS#1,741,070$-2,588Vol: $190,356
💰 FINANCE#636,390$-6,014Vol: $118,550
📈 ECONOMICS#1,386$2,858Vol: $75,836
💻 TECH#4,420$156Vol: $25,863

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,452
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,654,455
Total Redeem
$94,989
Portfolio
$4,704
Predictions
1230
total markets
Trades
3751B / 1715S
Daily Volume
$620
Account Age
621d
since Nov 3, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $0
Week
$14
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,109
Vol: $11,000
All Time
$14,452
Vol: $2,654,455

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
198W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$124,456
Win Rate
57%
171W / 127L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$415
Avg Loss
$-1,054

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$12,971
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$8,375
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$6,326
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$1,727
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$1,618
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 2$1,566
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middlewei$1,430
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?$1,417
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?$1,229
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1,060

Top Losers

Will Trump resign today?$-7,632
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$-5,958
XRP Up or Down on July 1?$-5,587
Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?$-4,317
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meet$-4,292
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?$-3,740
US military action against Iran before July?$-3,702
Will Solana reach $250 in August?$-3,155
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?$-2,953
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$-2,912

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.179
Sortino
-0.186
HHI
76
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.147
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5466.0
Very active
Markets / Day
342.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 486s — typical for humanSize CV 1.72 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness5466 trades/day — automation342 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11
Heavy DCA
<=1
53 entries
<=2
88 entries
<=5
155 entries
<=10
230 entries
<=20
299 entries
<=50
333 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)22.5%
High (>55c)63.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 26.9%

Los Angeles$-752
Other$-62,099

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
255

Single bracket

<=1
210 brackets
<=2
233 brackets
<=3
245 brackets
<=4
249 brackets
<=5
253 brackets
<=8
255 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/3/2024, 4:19:53 PM1 trades$2000 min
11/3/2024, 5:37:01 PM1 trades$2000 min
11/3/2024, 6:05:02 PM1 trades$660 min
11/3/2024, 8:19:39 PM1 trades$100 min
11/3/2024, 10:27:37 PM1 trades$100 min
11/4/2024, 6:27:08 AM2 trades$1503 min
11/4/2024, 6:39:38 AM1 trades$200 min
11/4/2024, 8:25:37 PM1 trades$500 min
11/4/2024, 8:42:51 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/4/2024, 10:15:53 PM1 trades$750 min
11/6/2024, 7:40:03 AM1 trades$3390 min
11/7/2024, 7:43:07 PM1 trades$260 min
11/7/2024, 7:50:47 PM1 trades$00 min
11/7/2024, 8:05:37 PM1 trades$750 min
11/7/2024, 9:44:23 PM1 trades$00 min
11/7/2024, 9:55:11 PM1 trades$00 min
11/7/2024, 10:54:38 PM3 trades$13 min
11/8/2024, 12:32:01 AM1 trades$10 min
11/8/2024, 2:38:41 AM1 trades$470 min
11/8/2024, 10:10:19 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-31
04-30
08-18
11-23
02-28
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event