Polydata

@Gigantic-Apology

#2,32880

0x8320b90db15e5b777e5a023b5ba3cfa214d4904e

78d· 6066 markets · 5493 tradesVol: $7,389,7282026-06-30T15:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 40%5/20
Profit Factor 2.83x15/15
Sharpe 0.5029/15
Sortino 1.01010/10
EV $+1.97110/10
HHI 9010/10
Profit Days 72%10/10
DD/Peak 9%10/10

Summary

Gigantic-Apology is an active Polymarket trader ranked #2328 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. With 5,493 trades across 633 markets and a net PnL of $73,115.57 over 77 days, this trader demonstrates a high engagement level. Their smart score of 80/100 and a profit factor of 2.51 indicate strong trading performance, while maintaining a portfolio value of $7,639.94 and an 80.6% win rate.

The trading style of Gigantic-Apology appears to be moderately risk-aware, balancing winning frequency with careful position sizing. Their sell percentage around 34% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.50 suggest measured risk-taking rather than aggressive leverage. The trader does not engage in weather markets and shows a contrarian approach, often employing dollar-cost averaging techniques. The equity trend is upward with no significant drawdown duration, indicating consistent and timely decision-making.

Key strengths for Gigantic-Apology include a solid win streak, strong profit factor, and an upward equity curve. Their semi-bot trading style blends automation and manual inputs, which may optimize execution speed and flexibility. However, the moderate Sharpe ratio and a bot score of 55/100 suggest some exposure to volatility and room for improvement in risk management. Overall, Gigantic-Apology’s performance on Polymarket highlights effective strategies but involves typical risks inherent in active trading.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+73,116
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 5.7 entries/market
Win Streak
40 wins in a row
Whale
$227,181
Consistent
54/75 days
High Roller
$2,950/day
Cool Head
DD 9%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#526$68,025Vol: $7,365,728
🏛️ POLITICS#6,158$5,090Vol: $24,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$73,116
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,389,728
Total Redeem
$96,812
Portfolio
$7,640
Predictions
6066
total markets
Trades
3625B / 1868S
Daily Volume
$2,950
Account Age
78d
since Apr 14, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1,672
Vol: $76,516
Week
$2,798
Vol: $331,823
Month
$34,454
Vol: $4,059,131
All Time
$73,116
Vol: $7,389,728

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
40%
270W / 406L events
Realized PnL
$153,879
Win Rate
81%
158W / 38L
Profit Factor
2.51x
Avg Win
$112
Avg Loss
$-186

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,964 (46.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?$2,185
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?$1,625
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6PM ET$1,155
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10AM ET$1,077
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8PM ET$1,062
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8AM ET$900
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$607
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$550
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9AM ET$472
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ET$438

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-983
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$-951
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET$-756
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET$-696
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27?$-419
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?$-390
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12AM ET$-334
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$-330
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2AM ET$-223
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9PM ET$-203

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.502
Sortino
1.010
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.971
Kelly %
62.0%
Half-Kelly
31.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
11.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.5
Very active
Markets / Day
8.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
19s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 19s — typical for humanSize CV 1.73 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.24 — human randomness71 trades/day — mass trading699 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.7
Active DCA
<=1
219 entries
<=2
331 entries
<=5
459 entries
<=10
542 entries
<=20
598 entries
<=50
629 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)39.3%
High (>55c)38.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 39.3%

Other$9,381
Up or Down$1,302

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
624

Single bracket

<=1
617 brackets
<=2
622 brackets
<=3
624 brackets
<=4
624 brackets
<=5
624 brackets
<=8
624 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/14/2026, 7:00:08 PM7 trades$3181 min
4/14/2026, 7:57:14 PM1 trades$40 min
4/14/2026, 8:05:02 PM1 trades$20 min
4/14/2026, 9:00:26 PM2 trades$615 min
4/14/2026, 9:25:22 PM2 trades$430 min
4/14/2026, 9:45:20 PM1 trades$50 min
4/14/2026, 9:50:30 PM1 trades$530 min
4/14/2026, 10:54:04 PM1 trades$30 min
4/15/2026, 2:40:20 AM2 trades$523 min
4/15/2026, 3:16:32 AM1 trades$290 min
4/15/2026, 3:37:16 AM1 trades$40 min
4/15/2026, 3:47:36 AM1 trades$360 min
4/15/2026, 4:49:58 AM1 trades$40 min
4/15/2026, 7:45:10 AM13 trades$3136 min
4/15/2026, 8:00:18 AM1 trades$420 min
4/15/2026, 8:07:22 AM5 trades$528 min
4/15/2026, 8:53:34 AM2 trades$300 min
4/15/2026, 11:30:58 AM1 trades$590 min
4/15/2026, 5:45:12 PM1 trades$70 min
4/15/2026, 10:00:08 PM6 trades$1115 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-14
04-27
05-10
05-22
06-03
06-15
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event