Polydata

@lxjxlj

#22,13080

0xf56ccbb9d8158ae1dda67207d1f76acf2f81ad84

40d· 27275 markets · 7686 tradesVol: $3,212,1932026-05-26T20:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 23%0/20
Profit Factor 16.87x15/15
Sharpe 1.50115/15
Sortino 3.65410/10
EV $+14.63510/10
HHI 1910/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Trader lxjxlj is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 7,686 trades across 1,483 markets over 42 days. Ranked #22130 in the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $5,019.85 from a total trading volume exceeding $3.2 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at $735.85, supported by a very good Smart Score of 80/100 and a Sharpe Ratio of 1.50, indicating consistent risk-adjusted returns.

lxjxlj’s strategy is characterized by a strong preference for weather-related markets, which make up 94% of their trading activity. The trader exhibits a contrarian and lottery-player style, consistently maintaining a 100% win rate and zero sell percentage, suggesting a buy-and-hold or averaging down approach. Their Bot Score of 70/100 implies a significant degree of automated trading, likely enabling rapid position adjustments and disciplined portfolio management. The absence of drawdown duration highlights effective risk control and timing.

The key strengths of lxjxlj include their disciplined entry timing, low drawdowns, and ability to maintain stable equity trends, making them a resilient trader on Polymarket. However, their zero sell rate and reliance on weather markets could expose them to sector-specific risks and limit flexibility in responding to market shifts. Their contrarian, diamond-hands style may also increase exposure during prolonged adverse trends despite a historically positive track record.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

11
Profitable
PnL $+5,020
Lottery Player
99% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 5.2 entries/market
Weather Pro
94% weather
Bot
Score 70/100
Hedger
avg 4.5 brackets/event
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Consistent
40/42 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#215$6,871Vol: $2,880,032
CRYPTO#1,494,038$-1,285Vol: $305,001
SPORTS#1,599,096$-550Vol: $25,937
🎭 CULTURE#689,305$-16Vol: $1,222

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,020
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,212,193
Total Redeem
$1,628
Portfolio
$736
Predictions
27275
total markets
Trades
7686B / 0S
Daily Volume
$71
Account Age
40d
since Apr 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-385
Vol: $50,340
Week
$-325
Vol: $202,109
Month
$2,523
Vol: $2,254,725
All Time
$5,020
Vol: $3,212,193

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
308W / 258L events
Realized PnL
$45,840
Win Rate
100%
18W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$87
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $600 (38.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 25?$212
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?$194
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 25?$194
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?$194
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on$194
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 25?$165
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 25$99
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 2$87
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 25?$74
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May$29

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.500
Sortino
3.654
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$14.635
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
3.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
720.9
Very active
Markets / Day
139.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 32s — typical for humanSize CV 2.73 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness721 trades/day — automation139 markets/day — mass coverage1714 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.2
Active DCA
<=1
455 entries
<=2
682 entries
<=5
984 entries
<=10
1257 entries
<=20
1463 entries
<=50
1482 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.4%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 96.7%

Toronto$212
London$194
Manila$194
Paris$194
Los Angeles$194
Miami$186
Istanbul$165
Cape Town$74
Seattle$29
Moscow$19
Tel Aviv$18
Madrid$18
Tokyo$18
Atlanta$18
Hong Kong$18
Milan$14
Qingdao$8
Jakarta$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
4.5
Events covered
330

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
85 brackets
<=2
121 brackets
<=3
155 brackets
<=4
183 brackets
<=5
197 brackets
<=8
285 brackets
>8
45 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 4:21:39 AM1 trades$00 min
5/16/2026, 4:29:47 AM4 trades$05 min
5/16/2026, 5:45:11 AM2 trades$101 min
5/16/2026, 6:09:04 AM4 trades$16 min
5/16/2026, 6:31:00 AM2 trades$22 min
5/16/2026, 7:22:41 AM2 trades$01 min
5/16/2026, 7:31:02 AM5 trades$16 min
5/16/2026, 7:54:43 AM1 trades$00 min
5/16/2026, 8:08:48 AM1 trades$00 min
5/16/2026, 8:13:58 AM2 trades$03 min
5/16/2026, 8:29:02 AM2 trades$00 min
5/16/2026, 9:25:09 AM7 trades$46 min
5/16/2026, 9:50:48 AM3 trades$01 min
5/16/2026, 10:05:31 AM1 trades$00 min
5/16/2026, 10:22:54 AM1 trades$00 min
5/16/2026, 11:43:02 AM3 trades$02 min
5/16/2026, 12:19:43 PM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 12:31:09 PM2 trades$00 min
5/16/2026, 12:36:21 PM2 trades$01 min
5/16/2026, 1:35:47 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
04-25
05-02
05-09
05-16
05-23
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
93.9% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.2/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 4.5 br/event