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Glamorous-Stitcher

@Glamorous-Stitcher

#2,707,40193

0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784

660d· 733 markets · 12789 tradesVol: $133,065,6732026-05-16T06:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 11.93x15/15
Sharpe 0.52710/15
Sortino 2.64910/10
EV $+3.94810/10
HHI 8838/10
Profit Days 87%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Glamorous-Stitcher is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with nearly 900 days of activity and over 12,700 trades executed across 259 markets. Despite a significant total trading volume exceeding $133 million, their net profit and loss stands at a negative $7,736.12, placing them at rank #2,707,401 globally. Their portfolio value remains substantial at approximately $718,000, supported by a strong Smart Score of 93 indicating elite trading skill, albeit with a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.53.

This trader exhibits a low-risk appetite with a conservative sell percentage of only 12%, and no engagement in weather markets. Glamorous-Stitcher’s trading style suggests a blend of manual and automated strategies, reflected in a semi-bot score of 45/100. Their win rate is relatively low at 38%, and the profit factor of 0.03 indicates that losses have outweighed gains. However, badges such as Sniper and Win Streak imply precise timing and occasional bursts of successful trades, though overall equity has remained flat.

Glamorous-Stitcher’s key strength lies in their consistent trading frequency and stable portfolio size, which supports long-term market participation. However, the negative net PnL combined with a low profit factor signals potential issues with trade selection or risk management. Their stable equity trend shows limited volatility, but the relatively low win rate and modest Sharpe ratio might raise concerns about the effectiveness of their strategy in generating sustainable profits on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Whale
$66,518,571
Consistent
81/93 days
High Roller
$74,406/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,820$-296,753Vol: $74,430,188
📈 ECONOMICS#639,884$-177,208Vol: $21,488,102
💻 TECH#3$182,519Vol: $18,815,935
🎭 CULTURE#157$44,279Vol: $10,255,825
CRYPTO#122$195,086Vol: $4,982,089
SPORTS#1,571$31,318Vol: $2,284,332
📢 MENTIONS#2,642$363Vol: $261,785
💰 FINANCE#965$4,678Vol: $115,913
🌤️ WEATHER#820$1,685Vol: $74,141

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,736
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$133,065,673
Total Redeem
$7,106,672
Portfolio
$717,891
Predictions
733
total markets
Trades
11267B / 1522S
Daily Volume
$74,406
Account Age
660d
since Jul 29, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-4,600
Vol: $0
Week
$-52,137
Vol: $999,526
Month
$174,381
Vol: $2,656,392
All Time
$-7,736
Vol: $133,065,673

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
218W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$4,224,165
Win Rate
38%
79W / 129L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$20,413
Avg Loss
$-403,774

Top Winners

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$164,585
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$139,768
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$132,568
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$111,751
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$106,897
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$93,577
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting$85,474
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$72,583
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$70,232
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meetin$58,594

Top Losers

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$-17,425,552
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-5,832,358
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$-3,431,115
Will there be a US Government shutdown? $-2,515,893
Trump releases Epstein list today?$-2,136,756
Was Trump hacked?$-1,771,817
Was JFK assassination an inside job?$-1,549,540
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?$-1,514,885
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$-1,253,362
Will Biden finish his term?$-1,206,866

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.527
Sortino
2.649
HHI
883
Moderate
EV per $1
$3.949
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.3%
Top-5 markets
47.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.8m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 4.75 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness20 trades/day — very active307 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
43.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
59 entries
<=2
89 entries
<=5
125 entries
<=10
163 entries
<=20
190 entries
<=50
219 entries
>50
40 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)92.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 35%

New York City$-136,992
Other$-50,337,189

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
202

Single bracket

<=1
169 brackets
<=2
192 brackets
<=3
196 brackets
<=4
197 brackets
<=5
200 brackets
<=8
202 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/31/2024, 1:05:39 PM1 trades$7400 min
8/1/2024, 3:05:52 PM1 trades$3,8000 min
8/1/2024, 3:11:30 PM1 trades$38,5000 min
8/7/2024, 8:40:56 PM1 trades$3,9000 min
8/17/2024, 10:47:04 PM1 trades$8,4000 min
8/19/2024, 8:54:09 PM3 trades$14,8529 min
8/19/2024, 9:49:07 PM2 trades$8,2215 min
8/19/2024, 9:58:55 PM5 trades$25,4534 min
8/30/2024, 12:30:43 PM1 trades$12,8670 min
8/30/2024, 1:55:16 PM1 trades$1840 min
8/30/2024, 2:42:02 PM1 trades$1660 min
8/30/2024, 3:24:45 PM1 trades$510 min
8/30/2024, 4:34:52 PM3 trades$694 min
8/30/2024, 5:36:23 PM2 trades$35 min
8/30/2024, 6:53:43 PM1 trades$20 min
8/30/2024, 7:16:45 PM1 trades$20 min
8/30/2024, 7:49:50 PM1 trades$950 min
8/30/2024, 7:59:18 PM1 trades$50 min
8/30/2024, 9:06:34 PM1 trades$1980 min
8/30/2024, 9:19:16 PM1 trades$590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-18
03-21
07-30
11-11
04-12
11-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 43.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event