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@Gleaming-Cast

#2,889,84894

0xc620817b6121d7edef3cb7b8f0f84de6ad8e7a70

254d· 642 markets · 1314 tradesVol: $214,789 @ameer40442026-06-29T00:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 43.58x15/15
Sharpe 0.4569/15
Sortino 129492.79810/10
EV $+0.46310/10
HHI 10110/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Gleaming-Cast is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,314 trades spanning 431 days and participation in 500 different markets. Despite a high trading volume of $214,789, their overall net PnL stands at -$2,979.14, placing them at rank #2,889,848 on the global leaderboard. Their smart score is an elite 94/100, indicating strong trading skills despite the negative returns. The portfolio value is currently zero, suggesting no open positions.

This trader exhibits a consistent and disciplined style, reflected in a 96.3% win rate and a profit factor of 43.58, which is unusually high and may indicate many small winning trades against fewer but larger losses. Gleaming-Cast appears to favor frequent, low-risk trades with a sniping approach, supported by badges such as Sniper and Consistent. They maintain a flat equity trend and have low drawdown duration, emphasizing stability. With a 30% sell rate and no weather market exposure, their trading focuses on other categories, likely driven by contrarian strategies.

The key strength of Gleaming-Cast lies in their exceptional consistency and disciplined risk management, evidenced by elite smart and sniper badges. However, their negative net PnL and zero portfolio value highlight potential issues in capitalizing gains or recovering from losses. The relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.46 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns. Overall, while Gleaming-Cast demonstrates solid execution on Polymarket, their ability to translate winning trades into positive profits remains a concern.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Contrarian
64% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
69 wins in a row
Consistent
85/85 days

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,540,630$-626Vol: $114,724
🏛️ POLITICS#1,584,851$-1,045Vol: $29,613
SPORTS#1,712,390$-856Vol: $21,347
🎭 CULTURE#665,511$-9Vol: $13,972
💰 FINANCE#629,659$-346Vol: $11,462
🌤️ WEATHER#204,856$-2Vol: $2,261
💻 TECH#194,950$-3Vol: $642
📢 MENTIONS#145,228$-35Vol: $225

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,979
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$214,789
Total Redeem
$15,363
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
642
total markets
Trades
915B / 399S
Daily Volume
$89
Account Age
254d
since Oct 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Month
$-222
Vol: $43,009
All Time
$-2,979
Vol: $214,789

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
240W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$11,007
Win Rate
96%
260W / 10L
Profit Factor
43.58x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,929 (17.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$864
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3AM ET$588
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$476
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$413
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$332
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$328
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$243
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$227
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$204
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$193

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$-90
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?$-83
Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Young Ninjas (+1.5)$-24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major $-21
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Wh$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5AM ET$-14
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$-10
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playof$-2
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League S$-1
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup E$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.456
Sortino
inf
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.463
Kelly %
95.8%
Half-Kelly
47.9%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 553s — typical for humanSize CV 2.27 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.88 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
360 entries
<=2
424 entries
<=5
476 entries
<=10
495 entries
<=20
498 entries
<=50
500 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.6%
Mid (20-55c)67.9%
High (>55c)16.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.5%

Other$11,116
Lucknow$125
Chicago$7
Los Angeles$6
Madrid$4
London$3
Miami$0
Seattle$0
Houston$0
Atlanta$0
San Francisco$0
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
478

Single bracket

<=1
458 brackets
<=2
476 brackets
<=3
478 brackets
<=4
478 brackets
<=5
478 brackets
<=8
478 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/27/2025, 8:16:59 AM1 trades$50 min
10/27/2025, 8:30:21 AM1 trades$150 min
10/27/2025, 8:37:17 AM2 trades$73 min
10/27/2025, 8:49:15 AM2 trades$81 min
10/27/2025, 9:12:59 AM1 trades$50 min
10/27/2025, 9:21:13 AM1 trades$120 min
11/1/2025, 1:00:55 PM1 trades$620 min
11/1/2025, 1:52:41 PM1 trades$80 min
11/1/2025, 6:03:43 PM1 trades$170 min
11/1/2025, 9:40:24 PM1 trades$700 min
11/2/2025, 3:33:20 AM2 trades$50 min
11/2/2025, 5:19:46 AM3 trades$264 min
11/2/2025, 5:31:25 AM3 trades$385 min
11/2/2025, 5:50:33 AM1 trades$40 min
11/2/2025, 5:58:07 AM1 trades$160 min
11/2/2025, 6:04:01 AM3 trades$77 min
11/2/2025, 9:21:31 AM1 trades$100 min
11/2/2025, 9:31:05 AM5 trades$217 min
11/2/2025, 9:44:21 AM3 trades$555 min
11/2/2025, 10:06:13 AM2 trades$132 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-13
04-09
05-04
05-28
06-14
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event