Polydata
Golden-Unemployment

@Golden-Unemployment

#5,51094

0x736539924a5602b37a03a54fc12c1cc8f98964da

245d· 614 markets · 3605 tradesVol: $1,376,9952026-05-25T12:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 84%20/20
Profit Factor 11.18x15/15
Sharpe 0.4679/15
Sortino 6.48010/10
EV $+1.57810/10
HHI 14410/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Golden-Unemployment is an elite trader on Polymarket, ranked #5510 globally with a Smart Score of 94 out of 100. Over 458 days, they have executed 3,605 trades across 279 markets, generating a net profit of $24,445.92 on a total volume exceeding $1.37 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $28,349.66, reflecting steady growth with an upward equity trend and a respectable Sharpe ratio of 0.47.

This trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in a wide range of markets but notably avoids weather-related bets. Golden-Unemployment exhibits a high win rate of 81.9% and a profit factor of 2.29, indicative of a consistent and risk-conscious strategy. Their trading style blends contrarian moves with disciplined dollar-cost averaging, as suggested by badges like Contrarian and DCA Master. They maintain a moderate sell percentage of 30%, balancing patience with timely exits, and show no extended drawdown periods, demonstrating effective risk management.

Golden-Unemployment’s strengths lie in their consistent performance, disciplined approach, and ability to maintain an upward equity trend without significant drawdowns. However, a Sharpe ratio below 0.5 may indicate moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their relatively low bot score suggests manual trading, which could impact scalability. Overall, their robust win rate and strategic versatility make them a notable participant on Polymarket, though continued monitoring of volatility exposure is advisable.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+24,446
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 9.0 entries/market
Win Streak
41 wins in a row
Whale
$195,411
Consistent
48/57 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#332$13,332Vol: $785,735
💻 TECH#412$3,814Vol: $273,955
🏛️ POLITICS#5,083$6,281Vol: $272,788
📈 ECONOMICS#8,902$139Vol: $23,386
🎭 CULTURE#8,116$447Vol: $10,058
📢 MENTIONS#2,301$450Vol: $3,372
SPORTS#150,539$48Vol: $3,317
CRYPTO#1,212,083$-28Vol: $2,385

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24,446
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,376,995
Total Redeem
$38,574
Portfolio
$28,350
Predictions
614
total markets
Trades
2520B / 1085S
Daily Volume
$427
Account Age
245d
since Sep 22, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-241
Vol: $4,586
Week
$-241
Vol: $12,825
Month
$1,048
Vol: $374,613
All Time
$24,446
Vol: $1,376,995

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
88%
170W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$39,293
Win Rate
82%
131W / 29L
Profit Factor
2.29x
Avg Win
$215
Avg Loss
$-424

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,937 (37.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

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Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at l$784
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$722

Top Losers

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GPT ads by January 31?$-2,090
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-822
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$-597
xAI IPO before 2027?$-576
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?$-492
Claude 4.7 released by March 31?$-483
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March $-399
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$-387

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.467
Sortino
6.480
HHI
144
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.577
Kelly %
49.7%
Half-Kelly
24.8%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.3m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 526s — typical for humanSize CV 2.47 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.07 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active368 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9
Active DCA
<=1
68 entries
<=2
108 entries
<=5
165 entries
<=10
206 entries
<=20
245 entries
<=50
273 entries
>50
6 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30%
Mid (20-55c)27.9%
High (>55c)42.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.5%

Other$15,854

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
138

Moderate coverage

<=1
73 brackets
<=2
104 brackets
<=3
121 brackets
<=4
129 brackets
<=5
131 brackets
<=8
136 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/24/2025, 12:32:55 AM1 trades$300 min
9/27/2025, 9:51:45 AM1 trades$390 min
11/29/2025, 10:24:31 AM1 trades$90 min
12/1/2025, 8:40:00 PM1 trades$10 min
12/3/2025, 5:33:43 AM1 trades$260 min
12/3/2025, 4:25:41 PM1 trades$300 min
12/5/2025, 1:26:01 AM1 trades$40 min
12/5/2025, 4:00:23 AM1 trades$70 min
12/11/2025, 2:28:15 PM1 trades$40 min
12/12/2025, 9:25:11 PM1 trades$530 min
12/15/2025, 10:11:41 PM5 trades$1361 min
12/16/2025, 4:30:11 PM1 trades$20 min
12/16/2025, 8:17:39 PM1 trades$20 min
12/16/2025, 8:56:03 PM1 trades$20 min
12/17/2025, 6:16:06 PM1 trades$160 min
12/17/2025, 8:34:15 PM1 trades$120 min
12/18/2025, 11:35:01 PM1 trades$150 min
12/19/2025, 2:13:22 PM1 trades$50 min
12/20/2025, 5:20:33 PM1 trades$80 min
12/26/2025, 2:45:51 AM1 trades$900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-19
03-16
04-30
05-23
05-25
06-15
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event