Polydata

@Gorgeous-Research

#2,758,45715

0x6fdcff29e55d88fe6b8a49f8022a9c9f78b31e39

717d· 196 markets · 1054 tradesVol: $111,500 @nettidefi2026-07-06T03:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 34%2/20
Profit Factor 0.76x0/15
HHI 28110/10
Profit Days 41%3/10
DD/Peak 364%0/10

Summary

Gorgeous-Research is a relatively low-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #2,758,457 globally, with a net loss of $481.64. Despite engaging in 1,054 trades across 196 markets over 471 days, their portfolio value has declined to nearly zero. With a total trading volume of $111,500 and a win rate of 35.9%, Gorgeous-Research’s performance metrics indicate a challenging trading history.

The trader exhibits a beginner-level trading profile, reflected in a low Smart Score of 15/100 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.13, suggesting suboptimal risk-adjusted returns. Gorgeous-Research appears to trade manually, without automated bots, and maintains a moderate sell rate of 44%. Their activity spans a wide range of markets but excludes weather markets entirely. The profit factor of 0.75 and a short max drawdown duration indicate frequent losses outweighing gains.

Key strengths for Gorgeous-Research include consistent trading activity and a willingness to diversify across many markets. However, the downward equity trend and low win rate highlight significant risks. The trader’s poor risk management and declining portfolio value raise concerns about sustainability and long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$50,970

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,525,392$-155Vol: $49,968
⚽ SPORTS#182,285$37Vol: $23,567
📈 ECONOMICS#612,935$-20Vol: $22,055
🎭 CULTURE#672,969$-9Vol: $6,193
💰 FINANCE#609,085$-57Vol: $5,480
₿ CRYPTO#1,514,253$-277Vol: $4,117

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-482
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$111,500
Total Redeem
$369
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
196
total markets
Trades
586B / 468S
Daily Volume
$108
Account Age
717d
since Jul 18, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $58
Month
$71
Vol: $1,083
All Time
$-482
Vol: $111,500

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
61W / 86L events
Realized PnL
$-209
Win Rate
36%
70W / 125L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-9

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3$83
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$57
Will the US strike Somalia next?$51
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on April 28?$35
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$23
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3$23
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$19
Knicks vs. Spurs$18

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$-258
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?$-183
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?$-50
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$-29
Knicks vs. Kings$-20
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance$-19
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?$-15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-15
Spurs vs. Thunder$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.126
Sortino
-0.123
HHI
281
Diversified
EV per $1
$-17.961
Kelly %
32.4%
Half-Kelly
16.2%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
23.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
45.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — typical for humanSize CV 0.67 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA
<=1
132 entries
<=2
147 entries
<=5
170 entries
<=10
184 entries
<=20
194 entries
<=50
196 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.7%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)79%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 7%

Los Angeles$-1
Paris$-10
Madrid$-64
Other$-196

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
148

Single bracket

<=1
130 brackets
<=2
141 brackets
<=3
142 brackets
<=4
144 brackets
<=5
145 brackets
<=8
146 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/14/2026, 4:17:50 AM1 trades$200 min
1/14/2026, 4:34:32 AM1 trades$290 min
1/14/2026, 5:25:36 AM1 trades$90 min
1/14/2026, 5:40:18 AM1 trades$100 min
1/14/2026, 5:57:42 AM2 trades$404 min
1/15/2026, 1:54:44 AM1 trades$340 min
1/15/2026, 2:05:54 AM1 trades$250 min
1/15/2026, 3:27:44 AM1 trades$300 min
1/15/2026, 5:34:54 AM1 trades$1090 min
1/15/2026, 9:13:42 PM1 trades$1210 min
1/15/2026, 9:21:02 PM1 trades$500 min
1/15/2026, 10:14:14 PM1 trades$670 min
1/15/2026, 10:20:02 PM2 trades$201 min
1/16/2026, 2:58:44 AM1 trades$160 min
1/16/2026, 3:04:32 AM1 trades$100 min
1/16/2026, 5:41:32 AM2 trades$194 min
1/16/2026, 6:00:26 AM1 trades$110 min
1/16/2026, 6:26:28 AM1 trades$1450 min
1/16/2026, 7:43:34 AM1 trades$1440 min
1/16/2026, 8:32:06 AM1 trades$1440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-31
05-19
06-06
06-19
06-28
07-06
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event