Polydata
Gr33d

@Gr33d

#3,78627

0x4b7410aefbf0f38012b0dfb1131a4de147a9e8d7

~355d· 2979 markets · 436666 tradesVol: $70,012,171 @REAL_GR33DY2026-08-01 02:09:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (1420/2682)11.5/20
0.79x (win $75,760 / loss $96,307)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4320/15
Sortino -1.7120/10
$-0.0062 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 50 (2682 markets)10/10
178/341 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 2117% of peak ($21,565 / $1,019)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+46,299
Diamond Hands
6% sells
DCA Master
Avg 14.9 entries/market
Whale
$3,305,078 invested
High Roller
$6,787/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,694$27,583Vol: $27,605,025
📈 ECONOMICS#1,122$4,504Vol: $12,730,988
SPORTS#1,842,042$-1,407Vol: $11,554,674
CRYPTO#13,361$3,444Vol: $8,176,891
🎭 CULTURE#757$10,977Vol: $6,845,091
💰 FINANCE#2,069$2,342Vol: $1,743,309
💻 TECH#2,485$422Vol: $1,014,772
🌤️ WEATHER#295,264$-625Vol: $63,802
📢 MENTIONS#175,354$-1,499Vol: $39,738

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$46,301
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,012,171
Total Redeem
$4,772
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2979
total markets
Trades
16809B / 26802S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~355d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $1,143
Week
$261
Vol: $238,030
Month
$-3
Vol: $1,143
All Time
$46,301
Vol: $70,012,171

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
3101W / 721L events
Realized PnL
$46,299
Win Rate
81%
3101W / 721L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,695 (0.23100080087569322% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4,826
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers$3,643
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$2,226
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1,406
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1,172
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,142
Maduro out in 2025?$1,129
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1,128
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,047
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$1,011

Top Losers

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6,308
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-4,653
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-4,365
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-3,594
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-3,342
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-3,167
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-3,021
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-2,736
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-1,841
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-1,722

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.075
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
8.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
896.6
Very active
Markets / Day
6.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.7m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 322s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock897 trades/day — automation6.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)97.8%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 12:15:55 AM3 trades$25,0050 min
6/3/2026, 2:05:12 AM1 trades$14,9400 min
4/16/2026, 5:02:20 PM16 trades$10,0033 min
2/28/2026, 7:09:45 AM22 trades$8,08623 min
12/23/2025, 3:49:35 PM3 trades$6,6621 min
6/29/2025, 3:39:11 PM7 trades$6,3537 min
1/30/2026, 1:23:18 AM35 trades$6,24760 min
1/20/2026, 7:31:00 PM20 trades$6,22125 min
1/16/2026, 3:25:44 PM34 trades$6,06139 min
1/30/2026, 12:44:18 AM36 trades$5,87333 min
1/10/2026, 1:53:58 AM37 trades$5,82434 min
1/15/2026, 11:27:40 PM20 trades$5,78125 min
4/1/2026, 3:43:27 AM9 trades$5,5637 min
2/13/2026, 5:15:57 PM7 trades$5,51915 min
7/8/2025, 11:48:13 PM2 trades$5,5103 min
3/17/2026, 4:04:37 PM13 trades$5,30923 min
1/27/2026, 6:24:27 PM5 trades$5,2555 min
3/14/2026, 4:43:31 AM1 trades$4,9850 min
2/22/2026, 11:43:10 AM55 trades$4,97581 min
7/8/2025, 3:31:41 PM1 trades$4,9650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
08-03
09-28
11-25
01-20
03-21
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 391 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M1.2 / H97.8