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@Grand-Wrestler

#25,44058

0xbd504c8d3605bb9f5dfe2b90ed138172c607a335

72d· 291 markets · 1033 tradesVol: $203,8292026-06-27T01:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 61%16/20
Profit Factor 1.13x4/15
Sharpe 0.2374/15
Sortino 0.1952/10
EV $+0.1427/10
HHI 9810/10
Profit Days 73%10/10
DD/Peak 48%4/10

Summary

Grand-Wrestler is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 1,033 trades across 290 markets completed over 14 days. Ranked #25,440 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $4,613.13 on a total volume of $203,829. Their consistent upward equity trend and a win rate of 82.8% demonstrate solid trading performance, supported by a profit factor of 10.17 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.24.

The trading style of Grand-Wrestler appears focused on high-frequency, short-term opportunities, as indicated by zero days of max drawdown duration and a 22% sell rate. Their Smart Score of 58 and Bot Score of 45 suggest a semi-automated approach blending bot and manual execution. They show a preference for varied markets but have not engaged in weather-related markets. Their badges, including Sniper and Whale, imply precision entries and substantial trade sizes.

Strengths for Grand-Wrestler include a high win rate and efficient risk management reflected in minimal drawdown and a strong profit factor. However, the low Sharpe ratio points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the semi-bot strategy may introduce variability. Traders analyzing Grand-Wrestler on Polymarket should consider these factors when assessing their trading style and potential consistency.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+4,613
Win Streak
62 wins in a row
Whale
$92,082
Consistent
8/11 days
High Roller
$6,577/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#25,984$1,255Vol: $176,262
SPORTS#1,672,216$-400Vol: $515

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,613
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$203,829
Total Redeem
$70,363
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
291
total markets
Trades
802B / 231S
Daily Volume
$6,577
Account Age
72d
since May 3, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
178W / 112L events
Realized PnL
$37,202
Win Rate
83%
178W / 37L
Profit Factor
10.17x
Avg Win
$229
Avg Loss
$-108

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,075 (16.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2,192
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 $2,027
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1,856
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1,419
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1,325
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1,165
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1,033
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$853
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$831
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$811

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$-703
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$-500
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-190
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$-188
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$-150
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.237
Sortino
0.195
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.142
Kelly %
60.0%
Half-Kelly
30.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
114.0
Very active
Markets / Day
32.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.8m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 65s — typical for humanSize CV 1.05 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.05 — human randomness114 trades/day — automation32 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
165 entries
<=2
226 entries
<=5
266 entries
<=10
276 entries
<=20
284 entries
<=50
290 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)71.1%
High (>55c)28.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.4%

Other$36,695
San Francisco$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
289

Single bracket

<=1
288 brackets
<=2
289 brackets
<=3
289 brackets
<=4
289 brackets
<=5
289 brackets
<=8
289 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 10:09:40 AM2 trades$2102 min
5/3/2026, 10:40:44 AM1 trades$1900 min
5/3/2026, 11:04:26 AM1 trades$1000 min
5/3/2026, 12:05:24 PM2 trades$3001 min
5/3/2026, 12:32:34 PM3 trades$2007 min
5/3/2026, 2:12:26 PM2 trades$803 min
5/3/2026, 2:26:32 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/3/2026, 3:37:38 PM4 trades$2409 min
5/3/2026, 5:29:10 PM6 trades$22010 min
5/3/2026, 5:44:30 PM2 trades$701 min
5/3/2026, 6:37:02 PM1 trades$300 min
5/3/2026, 7:10:26 PM1 trades$200 min
5/3/2026, 9:36:38 PM5 trades$1809 min
5/3/2026, 9:50:16 PM1 trades$1200 min
5/4/2026, 7:35:22 AM8 trades$16010 min
5/4/2026, 10:35:24 AM1 trades$110 min
5/4/2026, 12:27:06 PM5 trades$17010 min
5/4/2026, 6:53:46 PM6 trades$31011 min
5/4/2026, 7:49:24 PM5 trades$2556 min
5/4/2026, 8:33:42 PM4 trades$1956 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-04
05-05
05-06
05-07
05-08
05-09
05-10
05-11
05-12
05-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event