Polydata

@Grave-Dissemination

#67,96390

0xe43ff9e39282c95e76a53ec38243b78e1e9fa889

38d· 10585 markets · 5551 tradesVol: $236,4832026-05-20T17:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 1.68215/15
Sortino 509143.24210/10
EV $+1731087.02210/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Grave-Dissemination is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 5,551 trades executed across 625 markets over 32 days. Despite a modest global rank of #67,963, the trader has achieved a net profit of $1,118.22 and maintains an elite Smart Score of 90/100. Their total trading volume stands at $236,483, indicating significant engagement, while their portfolio value is currently zero, suggesting all gains have been realized or withdrawn.

The trading strategy of Grave-Dissemination is focused entirely on weather markets, with a 100% sell rate indicating a consistent approach to exiting positions. The trader employs an automated bot, reflected in a Bot Score of 70/100, which likely supports a disciplined and rapid execution style. Their Sharpe Ratio of 1.68 and zero max drawdown duration imply effective risk management and stable returns. Grave-Dissemination’s perfect win rate of 100% and profit factor of 0.00 may suggest a conservative or highly selective approach to trades, prioritizing certainty over high volatility.

Key strengths of Grave-Dissemination include their elite Smart Score, consistent profitability, and strong weather market expertise, as highlighted by badges such as “Weather Pro” and “Sniper.” However, the absence of an open portfolio and the unusual profit factor value could indicate potential data irregularities or a very cautious trading style that might limit upside potential. Overall, Grave-Dissemination’s disciplined, bot-driven approach shows promise but may benefit from diversification or increased trade size to enhance returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+1,118
Weather Pro
100% weather
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
292 wins in a row
Consistent
34/34 days

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#1,161$1,118Vol: $236,483

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,118
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$236,483
Total Redeem
$1,881
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10585
total markets
Trades
0B / 5551S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
38d
since Apr 13, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-458
Vol: $0
Week
$419
Vol: $4,034
Month
$960
Vol: $112,222
All Time
$1,118
Vol: $236,483

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
239W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$17,769
Win Rate
100%
292W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $960 (5.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?$405
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?$287
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on$268
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?$222
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?$198
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$194
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?$194
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April $168
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on Ma$168
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?$166

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.681
Sortino
inf
HHI
0
Diversified
EV per $1
$1731087.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0%
Top-5 markets
0%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
170.9
Very active
Markets / Day
19.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.2m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.00
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 182s — typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness171 trades/day — automation19 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
0
Single entry
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
0 entries
<=50
0 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Hong Kong$3,595
Seoul$2,179
London$1,566
New York City$1,477
Shanghai$965
Paris$790
Tokyo$641
Wellington$387
Munich$387
Denver$384
Los Angeles$355
Austin$286
Taipei$267
Miami$242
Atlanta$238
Singapore$208
Ankara$204
Moscow$191

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
298

Moderate coverage

<=1
226 brackets
<=2
237 brackets
<=3
241 brackets
<=4
255 brackets
<=5
266 brackets
<=8
285 brackets
>8
13 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 2:08:38 PM1 trades$20 min
4/15/2026, 2:26:38 PM2 trades$30 min
4/15/2026, 2:38:00 PM1 trades$20 min
4/15/2026, 3:12:42 PM1 trades$30 min
4/15/2026, 3:23:50 PM2 trades$40 min
4/15/2026, 4:04:26 PM2 trades$33 min
4/15/2026, 4:18:02 PM1 trades$30 min
4/15/2026, 4:46:52 PM1 trades$10 min
4/15/2026, 5:00:04 PM1 trades$30 min
4/15/2026, 5:07:12 PM2 trades$92 min
4/15/2026, 5:18:22 PM1 trades$20 min
4/15/2026, 5:25:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/15/2026, 5:58:42 PM1 trades$20 min
4/15/2026, 6:04:38 PM2 trades$50 min
4/15/2026, 6:21:32 PM2 trades$20 min
4/15/2026, 6:39:08 PM1 trades$30 min
4/15/2026, 6:57:10 PM5 trades$178 min
4/15/2026, 7:48:06 PM2 trades$40 min
4/15/2026, 8:18:36 PM6 trades$121 min
4/15/2026, 8:26:38 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
04-20
04-25
04-30
05-05
05-10
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
100% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 0/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event