Polydata

@Grave-Loss

#2,941,61740

0x61f6c7a094c893349d51ba04382d03829e1bed9e

169d· 211 markets · 803 tradesVol: $174,997 @Cryptodenji20262026-07-04T16:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 0.65x0/15
HHI 11710/10
Profit Days 87%10/10
DD/Peak 206%0/10

Summary

Grave-Loss is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 803 trades across 211 markets over 349 days. Despite a high win rate of 88.9%, their overall net PnL stands at -$4,903.55, placing them at rank #2,941,617 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value has declined to $82.25, reflecting a consistent downward equity trend. The trader’s Smart Score of 40/100 and Bot Score of 30/100 suggest below-average performance and a human trading style.

Grave-Loss tends to take a high-volume, high-frequency approach, engaging across diverse markets but avoiding weather-related ones. Their strategy appears to emphasize frequent small wins, as indicated by an 88.9% win rate and badges like Sniper and Win Streak. However, a low profit factor of 0.65 and a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.07) imply the gains are outweighed by losses, and the risk-adjusted returns are poor. The trader exhibits a moderate sell percentage (30%), suggesting some profit-taking but also holding losing positions.

The key strength of Grave-Loss lies in their consistent win rate and persistence, which may provide some resilience. Nevertheless, the significant net losses and declining equity trend highlight risks related to poor risk management and possible overtrading. Their below-average Smart Score indicates limited effectiveness in capitalizing on market opportunities, which could be a concern for long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Win Streak
58 wins in a row
Whale
$75,424
Consistent
52/60 days

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,617,535$-6,105Vol: $123,034
💰 FINANCE#3,450$1,234Vol: $32,798
🏛️ POLITICS#53,722$138Vol: $9,053
💻 TECH#245,434$-425Vol: $3,600
📈 ECONOMICS#209,684$0Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,904
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$174,997
Total Redeem
$26,964
Portfolio
$82
Predictions
211
total markets
Trades
562B / 241S
Daily Volume
$216
Account Age
169d
since Jan 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$22
Vol: $0
Month
$12
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,904
Vol: $174,997

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
87%
105W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-3,919
Win Rate
89%
185W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-401

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$770
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$513
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$475
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?$324
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?$286
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$257
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?$243
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$208
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$179
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$160

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$-1,787
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$-1,606
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?$-1,187
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?$-1,163
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$-1,077
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$-809
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$-517
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?$-483
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$-425
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-91

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.044
Kelly %
21.4%
Half-Kelly
10.7%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
12.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1134s — typical for humanSize CV 1.61 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.88 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA
<=1
131 entries
<=2
162 entries
<=5
190 entries
<=10
202 entries
<=20
208 entries
<=50
210 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)75.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 23.3%

Paris$-0
Other$-3,257

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
124

Single bracket

<=1
80 brackets
<=2
108 brackets
<=3
115 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
120 brackets
<=8
123 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 12:28:34 AM5 trades$97 min
1/17/2026, 12:39:34 PM2 trades$101 min
1/18/2026, 12:24:30 AM4 trades$205 min
1/18/2026, 1:12:36 PM1 trades$10 min
1/19/2026, 6:57:44 AM1 trades$10 min
1/19/2026, 11:09:34 AM2 trades$40 min
1/19/2026, 1:26:38 PM1 trades$20 min
1/20/2026, 12:58:56 AM1 trades$20 min
1/20/2026, 2:05:06 AM2 trades$40 min
1/20/2026, 11:53:34 PM1 trades$90 min
1/22/2026, 12:06:38 AM1 trades$20 min
3/12/2026, 7:39:47 AM2 trades$721 min
3/12/2026, 11:57:39 PM2 trades$721 min
3/13/2026, 10:43:59 PM2 trades$741 min
3/14/2026, 11:21:29 PM1 trades$640 min
3/15/2026, 10:00:03 AM2 trades$211 min
3/15/2026, 2:31:21 PM1 trades$500 min
3/15/2026, 3:12:57 PM4 trades$2004 min
3/16/2026, 11:13:59 AM2 trades$1282 min
3/16/2026, 10:43:41 PM2 trades$802 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-14
03-25
04-05
04-17
05-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event