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@Grave-Loss

#47,11989

0x61f6c7a094c893349d51ba04382d03829e1bed9e

124d· 202 markets · 684 tradesVol: $116,1422026-05-16T09:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 91%20/20
Profit Factor 2.03x15/15
Sharpe 0.3126/15
Sortino 21.88110/10
EV $+0.1558/10
HHI 11410/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Grave-Loss is an active Polymarket trader ranked #47119 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $1,941.54 from 684 trades across 202 markets. Over 349 days, this trader has maintained a portfolio value of $11,290.12 and achieved a high Smart Score of 89/100, indicating elite trading skill. Grave-Loss has generated $116,142 in total volume and displays an upward equity trend, reflecting steady growth.

The trading style of Grave-Loss favors a high win rate of 92.4% and a remarkable profit factor of 33.00, suggesting a very effective risk-reward balance. This trader appears to prioritize consistency and precision over high-risk bets, supported by a relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.31 and no recorded drawdown duration. Grave-Loss tends to hold positions rather than frequently selling, with only 29% sell percentage, indicating a patient approach and possibly longer holding periods.

Grave-Loss’s strengths lie in their consistency, disciplined risk management, and strong winning streaks, as evidenced by badges such as Sniper and Profitable. The upward equity trend and minimal drawdowns highlight resilience in market fluctuations. However, the low Sharpe ratio and likely human execution suggest potential vulnerability to market volatility and slower reaction times compared to algorithmic traders. Overall, Grave-Loss demonstrates solid performance with controlled risk on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+1,942
Win Streak
111 wins in a row
Whale
$63,451
Consistent
53/58 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
CRYPTO#31,330$788Vol: $72,149
💰 FINANCE#4,093$853Vol: $27,328
🏛️ POLITICS#51,385$138Vol: $9,053
SPORTS#1,143,238$-6Vol: $1,976
💻 TECH#210,374$-19Vol: $1,600
📈 ECONOMICS#197,355$0Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,942
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$116,142
Total Redeem
$23,053
Portfolio
$11,290
Predictions
202
total markets
Trades
487B / 197S
Daily Volume
$182
Account Age
124d
since Jan 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-574
Vol: $2,499
Week
$-918
Vol: $5,076
Month
$-73
Vol: $26,373
All Time
$1,942
Vol: $116,142

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
104W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$3,061
Win Rate
92%
171W / 14L
Profit Factor
33x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,758 (41.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$770
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$513
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$475
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?$276
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$205
Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?$127
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?$94
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?$85

Top Losers

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-91
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$-10
LoL: Misa Esports vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season$-9
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$-1
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$-0
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 23?$-0
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 18?$-0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on $-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.312
Sortino
21.881
HHI
114
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.155
Kelly %
67.8%
Half-Kelly
33.9%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 968s — typical for humanSize CV 1.49 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.91 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.4
Moderate DCA
<=1
129 entries
<=2
159 entries
<=5
185 entries
<=10
197 entries
<=20
199 entries
<=50
202 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)78%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 26.8%

Other$4,277
Paris$-0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
120

Single bracket

<=1
78 brackets
<=2
104 brackets
<=3
112 brackets
<=4
115 brackets
<=5
116 brackets
<=8
119 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 12:28:34 AM5 trades$97 min
1/17/2026, 12:39:34 PM2 trades$101 min
1/18/2026, 12:24:30 AM4 trades$205 min
1/18/2026, 1:12:36 PM1 trades$10 min
1/19/2026, 6:57:44 AM1 trades$10 min
1/19/2026, 11:09:34 AM2 trades$40 min
1/19/2026, 1:26:38 PM1 trades$20 min
1/20/2026, 12:58:56 AM1 trades$20 min
1/20/2026, 2:05:06 AM2 trades$40 min
1/20/2026, 11:53:34 PM1 trades$90 min
1/22/2026, 12:06:38 AM1 trades$20 min
3/12/2026, 7:39:47 AM2 trades$721 min
3/12/2026, 11:57:39 PM2 trades$721 min
3/13/2026, 10:43:59 PM2 trades$741 min
3/14/2026, 11:21:29 PM1 trades$640 min
3/15/2026, 10:00:03 AM2 trades$211 min
3/15/2026, 2:31:21 PM1 trades$500 min
3/15/2026, 3:12:57 PM4 trades$2004 min
3/16/2026, 11:13:59 AM2 trades$1282 min
3/16/2026, 10:43:41 PM2 trades$802 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-13
03-23
04-02
04-13
04-26
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event