Polydata

@Greedy-Grasp

#2,659,70112

0x57b8610f59a5a06ee9b4cd5a42dc3b3d13fe3eb6

405d· 200 markets · 287 tradesVol: $25,109 @sherryland_2026-06-16T21:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 31%0/20
Profit Factor 0.81x0/15
HHI 8410/10
Profit Days 38%2/10

Summary

Greedy-Grasp is a relatively inactive trader on Polymarket, with 287 trades across 200 markets over 683 days. Their overall net PnL stands at negative $476.96, placing them at rank #2,659,701 on the global leaderboard. The trader’s portfolio value is currently zero, and their performance metrics such as a 30.4% win rate and a profit factor below 1 indicate a struggling track record.

This trader appears to engage in a contrarian style, as suggested by their top badge, but they do not focus on any specific market sector like weather. Their sell rate is modest at 25%, and the lack of bot-like activity suggests manual trading, possibly with slow decision-making given the long max drawdown duration of zero days. The Sharpe ratio of -0.10 reflects poor risk-adjusted returns, and the downward equity trend signals consistent losses over time.

Greedy-Grasp’s key strength may lie in their persistence and exposure to a broad variety of markets, but their negative PnL and low smart score point to ineffective strategy execution. The main risks include a weak win rate and declining portfolio value, which could worsen if they do not adapt or refine their approach on Polymarket.

Badges

1
Contrarian
87% entries <$0.50

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,616,715$-327Vol: $14,254
🏛️ POLITICS#77,507$66Vol: $3,779
📈 ECONOMICS#597,659$-15Vol: $1,952
🎭 CULTURE#752,437$-67Vol: $1,759
CRYPTO#1,382,244$-94Vol: $1,659
💰 FINANCE#587,608$-37Vol: $1,334
🌤️ WEATHER#200,849$-2Vol: $373

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-477
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,109
Total Redeem
$1,590
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
200
total markets
Trades
216B / 71S
Daily Volume
$6
Account Age
405d
since May 7, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-129
Vol: $281
Month
$-236
Vol: $839
All Time
$-477
Vol: $25,109

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
31%
59W / 132L events
Realized PnL
$-191
Win Rate
30%
59W / 131L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-17

Top Winners

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$163
Lakers vs. Rockets$152
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$118
76ers vs. Celtics$87
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$79
Pistons vs. Magic$71
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-26?$69
Cavaliers vs. Knicks$61
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?$59
Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies$53

Top Losers

Celtics vs. 76ers$-99
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?$-74
Knicks vs. Cavaliers$-66
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-59
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?$-58
Thunder vs. Spurs$-56
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-47
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?$-46
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-27?$-44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.104
Sortino
-0.157
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$-1.656
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5826s — typical for humanSize CV 0.86 — diverse, typical for human42% at night — bot never sleeps21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.00 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
190 entries
<=2
197 entries
<=5
199 entries
<=10
200 entries
<=20
200 entries
<=50
200 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.6%
Mid (20-55c)69.9%
High (>55c)6.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 95.9%

Madrid$23
Houston$-2
Los Angeles$-5
Other$-202

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
194

Single bracket

<=1
188 brackets
<=2
194 brackets
<=3
194 brackets
<=4
194 brackets
<=5
194 brackets
<=8
194 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/17/2025, 1:44:48 AM1 trades$110 min
5/17/2025, 11:06:19 AM1 trades$460 min
2/13/2026, 3:29:07 AM1 trades$40 min
2/14/2026, 2:02:03 AM1 trades$50 min
2/14/2026, 2:17:13 AM1 trades$50 min
2/14/2026, 3:17:41 AM2 trades$50 min
2/14/2026, 3:47:11 AM1 trades$130 min
2/14/2026, 5:37:41 PM1 trades$60 min
2/15/2026, 12:30:13 AM2 trades$184 min
2/15/2026, 1:23:59 AM3 trades$216 min
2/15/2026, 1:38:59 AM1 trades$30 min
2/15/2026, 12:19:31 PM1 trades$00 min
2/15/2026, 1:47:31 PM1 trades$00 min
2/15/2026, 5:04:33 PM1 trades$240 min
2/15/2026, 5:18:57 PM2 trades$114 min
2/15/2026, 7:25:21 PM3 trades$454 min
2/15/2026, 7:36:41 PM1 trades$50 min
2/15/2026, 7:48:37 PM2 trades$113 min
2/15/2026, 7:57:31 PM6 trades$37 min
2/15/2026, 8:24:35 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-07
03-27
04-18
05-06
05-25
03-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event