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Grim-Cob

@Grim-Cob

#1,48796

0x9e8ecc4cb3c4e48f544cba2fbbb252a6a65e8db8

513d· 3552 markets · 4192 tradesVol: $1,538,6542026-07-01T11:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%19/20
Profit Factor 3.88x15/15
Sharpe 0.75914/15
Sortino 0.7938/10
EV $+0.92910/10
HHI 6310/10
Profit Days 89%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Grim-Cob is a highly active Polymarket trader ranked #1487 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $118,572.68 amassed over 562 days and 4,192 trades across 831 markets. Their total trading volume exceeds $1.5 million, reflecting consistent engagement. Despite a substantial portfolio value of $88,517.34, Grim-Cob maintains a steady equity trend without significant fluctuations. Their smart score of 96/100 places them in the elite category, indicating strong analytical performance.

Grim-Cob’s strategy combines a high win rate of 89.8% with a profit factor of 13.44, suggesting careful selection of opportunities and disciplined trade management. They display a contrarian and hedging style, supported by badges such as Sniper and Hedger, and maintain a moderate risk profile with a Sharpe ratio of 0.76. Their sell percentage of 25% and zero max drawdown duration highlight prudent timing and effective risk controls. The semi-bot score of 55/100 suggests a hybrid approach blending algorithmic signals with manual decisions.

The key strengths of Grim-Cob include a robust win rate, consistent profitability, and a diversified portfolio across many markets. However, the relatively moderate Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend may indicate limited upside volatility or cautious positioning. Additionally, the use of semi-automated trading tools introduces dependency on bot signals, which can pose risks if market conditions shift suddenly. Overall, Grim-Cob’s disciplined and data-driven style makes them a reliable trader on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+118,573
Contrarian
52% entries <$0.50
Hedger
avg 5.3 brackets/event
Win Streak
35 wins in a row
Whale
$132,583
Consistent
109/123 days
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

9
📢 MENTIONS#17$79,935Vol: $757,518
🏛️ POLITICS#3,195$12,148Vol: $222,081
🎭 CULTURE#1,037$7,582Vol: $188,428
SPORTS#7,359$5,775Vol: $157,519
💰 FINANCE#1,128$4,418Vol: $126,780
💻 TECH#1,119$1,267Vol: $12,193
CRYPTO#18,902$2,154Vol: $10,582
📈 ECONOMICS#10,965$108Vol: $7,114
🌤️ WEATHER#24,236$8Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$118,573
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,538,654
Total Redeem
$92,430
Portfolio
$88,517
Predictions
3552
total markets
Trades
3152B / 1040S
Daily Volume
$236
Account Age
513d
since Feb 14, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$80
Vol: $2,111
Week
$1,316
Vol: $28,675
Month
$80
Vol: $2,111
All Time
$118,573
Vol: $1,538,654

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
193W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$94,592
Win Rate
90%
395W / 45L
Profit Factor
13.44x
Avg Win
$106
Avg Loss
$-69

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,919 (20.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3,842
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo$2,088
Will the announcers say "Challenge" 5+ times during the Croatia v$1,989
Will the announcers say "Corner" 15+ times during the Colombia vs$1,736
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA$1,683
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the Col$1,203
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Portugal vs Uzbe$1,098
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIF$1,002
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Panama vs England FI$991
Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Norway vs France FIF$897

Top Losers

Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Croatia vs Ghana FI$-321
Will the announcers say "History" during the Germany vs Ivory Coa$-314
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Jordan vs Arg$-300
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Switzerland v$-257
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-237
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-200
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-186
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the USA$-171
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?$-166
Will the announcers say "Historic" during the Jordan vs Argentina$-160

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.759
Sortino
0.793
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.929
Kelly %
84.0%
Half-Kelly
42.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
11.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 209s — typical for humanSize CV 3.49 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high613 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
312 entries
<=2
481 entries
<=5
711 entries
<=10
789 entries
<=20
819 entries
<=50
826 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.6%
High (>55c)44.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.7%

Other$38,476
Madrid$219
Miami$2
Seattle$0
São Paulo$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
5.3
Events covered
157

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
66 brackets
<=2
82 brackets
<=3
93 brackets
<=4
103 brackets
<=5
107 brackets
<=8
117 brackets
>8
40 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 7:54:52 PM1 trades$80 min
1/31/2026, 5:29:40 AM1 trades$50 min
2/4/2026, 1:17:44 PM1 trades$20 min
2/4/2026, 2:39:10 PM1 trades$300 min
2/6/2026, 2:30:01 AM16 trades$211 min
2/9/2026, 8:09:29 PM1 trades$1740 min
2/15/2026, 1:00:07 AM1 trades$60 min
2/15/2026, 12:47:41 PM1 trades$90 min
2/16/2026, 10:39:37 PM1 trades$880 min
2/16/2026, 10:57:45 PM1 trades$860 min
2/22/2026, 11:31:30 AM1 trades$1530 min
2/28/2026, 2:10:55 AM1 trades$300 min
3/2/2026, 6:28:17 PM2 trades$54 min
3/2/2026, 7:25:47 PM2 trades$3150 min
3/2/2026, 8:35:13 PM2 trades$214 min
3/14/2026, 9:30:47 PM1 trades$50 min
3/17/2026, 2:43:27 PM1 trades$3050 min
3/17/2026, 10:35:57 PM1 trades$300 min
3/18/2026, 6:04:09 AM1 trades$20 min
3/18/2026, 6:39:33 AM1 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-29
03-04
04-03
06-13
07-12
07-15
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 5.3 br/event