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@Grimy-Ocean

#87685

0xebc0df15e665da95bf819105b723ae90042ffa41

354d· 23258 markets · 98746 tradesVol: $22,293,2092026-06-27T10:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 66%18/20
Profit Factor 2.11x15/15
Sharpe 0.3296/15
Sortino 0.5836/10
EV $+1.01210/10
HHI 910/10
Profit Days 70%10/10
DD/Peak 20%10/10

Summary

Grimy-Ocean is an experienced and active trader on Polymarket, ranked #876 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $213,953.39. Over 636 days, they have executed nearly 99,000 trades across more than 6,800 markets, generating a total trading volume exceeding $22 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $163,342.77, supported by a solid Smart Score of 85, indicating strong trading performance and consistency.

The trading strategy of Grimy-Ocean appears to be automated, as reflected by a Bot Score of 70 and the use of bot-related badges. They maintain a relatively low risk profile, with a modest Sharpe Ratio of 0.33 and a short max drawdown duration of zero days, suggesting effective risk management. Their trading is diversified across thousands of markets, with only 6% exposure to weather markets and a very low sell percentage of 1%. The win rate of 40.6% combined with a profit factor of 0.43 indicates a selective approach, possibly relying on high conviction trades and a focus on timing.

Grimy-Ocean’s strengths include a strong upward equity trend, consistent profitability, and the ability to maintain long positions with discipline, as indicated by the Diamond Hands badge. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe Ratio suggest potential vulnerability to market volatility or inefficiencies in trade execution. Given the automated nature of their strategy, there is also inherent risk if market conditions change rapidly or if the bot parameters require adjustment. Overall, Grimy-Ocean demonstrates solid performance on Polymarket with room for optimization.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+213,953
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
65 wins in a row
Whale
$4,634,858
Consistent
172/244 days
High Roller
$7,288/day
Cool Head
DD 20%

Categories

9
SPORTS#493$161,915Vol: $16,998,481
🏛️ POLITICS#1,931$23,076Vol: $2,015,860
🎭 CULTURE#676$11,646Vol: $1,669,596
💰 FINANCE#536$9,743Vol: $696,425
📈 ECONOMICS#1,801$1,922Vol: $325,842
💻 TECH#1,216$1,124Vol: $192,964
🌤️ WEATHER#1,643$852Vol: $139,420
CRYPTO#33,627$774Vol: $74,274
📢 MENTIONS#8,425$55Vol: $2,179

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$213,953
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,293,209
Total Redeem
$127,296
Portfolio
$163,343
Predictions
23258
total markets
Trades
97789B / 957S
Daily Volume
$7,288
Account Age
354d
since Jul 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-22
Vol: $0
Week
$1,323
Vol: $0
Month
$357
Vol: $0
All Time
$213,953
Vol: $22,293,209

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
790W / 688L events
Realized PnL
$2,470,499
Win Rate
41%
301W / 441L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$120
Avg Loss
$-191

Top Winners

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$10,299
Raptors vs. Jazz$5,081
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5$2,617
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5$2,575
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$2,573
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets$1,946
Heat vs. Cavaliers$1,550
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos$1,535
Wizards vs. Jazz$1,483
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators$1,152

Top Losers

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian president$-4,258
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$-4,083
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential elec$-3,374
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential electio$-2,600
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2,053
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2,053
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2,041
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slo$-1,997
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-1,954
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$-1,733

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.329
Sortino
0.583
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
98746.0
Very active
Markets / Day
6803.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 122s — typical for humanSize CV 6.80 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness98746 trades/day — automation6803 markets/day — mass coverage8037 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
1136 entries
<=2
1837 entries
<=5
3176 entries
<=10
4488 entries
<=20
5354 entries
<=50
6438 entries
>50
365 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)93%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 5%

Los Angeles$2,300
San Francisco$526
Chicago$237
Buenos Aires$93
Seattle$77
Dallas$55
Miami$50
Toronto$29
Denver$24
Houston$7
Your Dragon$0
Munich$0
Bieber$0
Milan$0
Netanyahu$0
Georgescu$0
Newsom$0
Grindeanu$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
5.5
Events covered
1240

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
582 brackets
<=2
693 brackets
<=3
767 brackets
<=4
818 brackets
<=5
864 brackets
<=8
985 brackets
>8
255 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/25/2025, 2:25:01 PM8 trades$1240 min
7/25/2025, 4:11:45 PM7 trades$1240 min
7/25/2025, 8:16:51 PM12 trades$2990 min
7/26/2025, 12:04:47 AM11 trades$2990 min
7/26/2025, 11:43:53 AM33 trades$4440 min
7/26/2025, 1:47:57 PM4 trades$700 min
7/26/2025, 2:52:46 PM10 trades$1810 min
7/26/2025, 3:26:34 PM4 trades$390 min
7/26/2025, 5:07:18 PM2 trades$150 min
7/26/2025, 11:18:49 PM1 trades$140 min
7/27/2025, 9:17:53 AM9 trades$1972 min
7/27/2025, 11:55:51 AM11 trades$2150 min
7/27/2025, 11:44:47 PM14 trades$2,5930 min
7/28/2025, 3:14:27 AM5 trades$700 min
7/28/2025, 5:49:51 AM2 trades$300 min
7/28/2025, 2:38:51 PM11 trades$2160 min
7/28/2025, 2:53:59 PM4 trades$700 min
7/28/2025, 3:08:49 PM11 trades$1820 min
7/28/2025, 4:28:33 PM25 trades$1210 min
7/28/2025, 4:55:13 PM8 trades$1240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-02
12-05
01-14
02-24
04-12
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5.6% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.4/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 5.5 br/event