Polydata

@Grimy-Ocean

#92785

0xebc0df15e665da95bf819105b723ae90042ffa41

354d· 23258 markets · 98259 tradesVol: $22,291,3272026-07-15T01:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 66%18/20
Profit Factor 2.11x15/15
Sharpe 0.3296/15
Sortino 0.5836/10
EV $+1.01210/10
HHI 910/10
Profit Days 70%10/10
DD/Peak 20%10/10

Summary

Grimy-Ocean is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #927 globally by net profit. Over 636 days, they have executed 98,259 trades across 6,808 markets, generating a net PnL of $213,651.14 on a total volume exceeding $22 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $163,255.24, reflecting a consistent upward equity trend. The trader holds a strong smart score of 85/100, indicating solid trading acumen and strategy execution.

The trading style of Grimy-Ocean appears automated, supported by a bot score of 70/100 and low sell percentage of just 1%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. They engage in weather markets for a small portion of their trades (6%), indicating some diversification. With a win rate below 40% and a profit factor of 0.43, Grimy-Ocean seems to employ a high-risk, high-volume approach, relying on selective but impactful trades rather than consistent small wins. The sharpe ratio of 0.33 and zero days in max drawdown duration also hint at moderate volatility with quick recovery periods.

Grimy-Ocean’s key strengths include strong automation and disciplined trade execution, as highlighted by badges such as Sniper and Bot, and an upward equity curve signaling growth. However, the relatively low profit factor and win rate indicate potential vulnerability to extended losing streaks. The risk profile suggests reliance on high conviction trades, which could lead to volatility in returns. Overall, Grimy-Ocean combines volume and automation effectively but may face challenges from the inherent risk in their strategy on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+213,651
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
70 wins in a row
Whale
$4,637,078
Consistent
172/244 days
High Roller
$7,291/day
Cool Head
DD 20%

Categories

9
SPORTS#547$161,888Vol: $16,996,613
🏛️ POLITICS#1,950$22,954Vol: $2,015,860
🎭 CULTURE#694$11,611Vol: $1,669,596
💰 FINANCE#563$9,625Vol: $696,425
📈 ECONOMICS#1,868$1,922Vol: $325,828
💻 TECH#1,250$1,124Vol: $192,964
🌤️ WEATHER#1,729$852Vol: $139,420
CRYPTO#34,279$774Vol: $74,274
📢 MENTIONS#8,489$55Vol: $2,179

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$213,651
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,291,327
Total Redeem
$127,296
Portfolio
$163,255
Predictions
23258
total markets
Trades
97291B / 968S
Daily Volume
$7,291
Account Age
354d
since Jul 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-23
Vol: $0
Month
$-193
Vol: $0
All Time
$213,651
Vol: $22,291,327

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
790W / 688L events
Realized PnL
$2,470,499
Win Rate
40%
293W / 443L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$123
Avg Loss
$-190

Top Winners

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$10,299
Raptors vs. Jazz$5,081
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5$2,617
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5$2,575
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$2,573
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets$1,946
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos$1,555
Heat vs. Cavaliers$1,550
Wizards vs. Jazz$1,483
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators$1,153

Top Losers

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian president$-4,258
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$-4,083
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential elec$-3,374
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential electio$-2,600
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2,053
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2,053
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2,041
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slo$-1,997
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-1,954
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$-1,733

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.329
Sortino
0.583
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
363.7
Very active
Markets / Day
25.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.1

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 122s — typical for humanSize CV 6.79 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness364 trades/day — automation25 markets/day — mass coverage8044 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
1135 entries
<=2
1837 entries
<=5
3179 entries
<=10
4491 entries
<=20
5358 entries
<=50
6458 entries
>50
350 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)93%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 5.1%

Los Angeles$2,300
San Francisco$526
Chicago$237
Buenos Aires$93
Seattle$77
Dallas$55
Miami$51
Toronto$29
Denver$24
Houston$7
Your Dragon$0
Munich$0
Bieber$0
Milan$0
Netanyahu$0
Georgescu$0
Newsom$0
Grindeanu$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
5.5
Events covered
1240

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
582 brackets
<=2
691 brackets
<=3
768 brackets
<=4
818 brackets
<=5
863 brackets
<=8
985 brackets
>8
255 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/25/2025, 2:25:01 PM8 trades$1240 min
7/25/2025, 4:11:45 PM7 trades$1240 min
7/25/2025, 8:16:51 PM12 trades$2990 min
7/26/2025, 12:04:47 AM11 trades$2990 min
7/26/2025, 11:43:53 AM33 trades$4440 min
7/26/2025, 1:47:57 PM4 trades$700 min
7/26/2025, 2:52:46 PM10 trades$1810 min
7/26/2025, 3:26:34 PM4 trades$390 min
7/26/2025, 5:07:18 PM2 trades$150 min
7/26/2025, 11:18:49 PM1 trades$140 min
7/27/2025, 9:17:53 AM9 trades$1972 min
7/27/2025, 11:55:51 AM11 trades$2150 min
7/27/2025, 11:44:47 PM14 trades$2,5930 min
7/28/2025, 3:14:27 AM5 trades$700 min
7/28/2025, 5:49:51 AM2 trades$300 min
7/28/2025, 2:38:51 PM11 trades$2160 min
7/28/2025, 2:53:59 PM4 trades$700 min
7/28/2025, 3:08:49 PM11 trades$1820 min
7/28/2025, 4:28:33 PM25 trades$1210 min
7/28/2025, 4:55:13 PM8 trades$1240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-02
12-05
01-14
02-24
04-12
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5.6% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.3/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 5.5 br/event