Polydata

@GrizzliesSuck

#1,32999

0x412fe1a101554f0b382181c3af932e4b2d8030fa

191d· 1071 markets · 4436 tradesVol: $10,457,4562026-06-20T19:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 3.30x15/15
Sharpe 0.75914/15
Sortino 12635691.14810/10
EV $+0.64510/10
HHI 8210/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

GrizzliesSuck is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #1329 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $129,022.14. Over 180 days, they executed 4,436 trades across 314 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $10 million. Their portfolio value stands at $37,812.90, supported by a strong win rate of 67.3% and a profit factor of 3.30, reflecting consistent profitability.

This trader favors a balanced approach with evidence of both manual and bot-assisted trading, as indicated by their semi-bot score of 55/100. GrizzliesSuck demonstrates a contrarian style and sniper precision, often employing dollar-cost averaging techniques. Their risk profile appears moderate, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.76 and zero days of max drawdown duration, suggesting disciplined risk management. The low sell percentage of 11% hints at a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping, and they avoid weather markets entirely.

GrizzliesSuck’s strengths lie in their consistent upward equity trend and strong profit factor, bolstered by elite smart score recognition. However, reliance on both bot and manual inputs presents potential operational risks. The moderate Sharpe ratio suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, and the relatively low portfolio value compared to trading volume may indicate cautious capital deployment. Overall, GrizzliesSuck remains a noteworthy Polymarket trader with a well-rounded strategy and solid performance metrics.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+129,022
Contrarian
72% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 12.6 entries/market
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
Whale
$1,829,193
Consistent
130/130 days
High Roller
$10,162/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#507$139,736Vol: $10,367,712

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$129,022
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,457,456
Total Redeem
$337,652
Portfolio
$37,813
Predictions
1071
total markets
Trades
3951B / 485S
Daily Volume
$10,162
Account Age
191d
since Dec 11, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$15,141
Vol: $310,214
Week
$137,827
Vol: $2,492,265
Month
$191,091
Vol: $3,080,148
All Time
$129,022
Vol: $10,457,456

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
242W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$1,648,449
Win Rate
67%
173W / 84L
Profit Factor
3.3x
Avg Win
$7,793
Avg Loss
$-4,859

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $162,852 (17.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$66,722
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$49,404
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$46,725
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score$39,933
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$38,881
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$38,454
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main C$37,715
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?$30,004
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$27,757
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?$27,064

Top Losers

Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$-36,281
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$-27,074
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$-21,434
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?$-19,128
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-17,976
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)$-16,904
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)$-15,695
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights$-14,144
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$-11,376
Oilers vs. Sharks$-9,392

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.759
Sortino
inf
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.645
Kelly %
43.1%
Half-Kelly
21.5%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
40.5m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 4.06 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.24 — human randomness26 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
110 entries
<=2
161 entries
<=5
215 entries
<=10
253 entries
<=20
275 entries
<=50
298 entries
>50
16 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)85.4%
High (>55c)7.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 8.3%

Other$807,011
Madrid$50,875
Milan$48,572
Paris$18,076
Houston$14,277
Atlanta$3,570
San Francisco$621
Los Angeles$0
Miami$0
Chicago$-2,973

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
293

Single bracket

<=1
279 brackets
<=2
288 brackets
<=3
291 brackets
<=4
293 brackets
<=5
293 brackets
<=8
293 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 10:03:39 AM3 trades$8824 min
12/31/2025, 8:22:07 PM3 trades$3,0686 min
12/31/2025, 11:55:43 PM1 trades$2,1050 min
1/4/2026, 1:57:03 PM1 trades$2990 min
1/4/2026, 3:59:37 PM1 trades$1,2990 min
1/4/2026, 8:36:01 PM2 trades$8921 min
1/5/2026, 12:16:51 AM2 trades$8561 min
1/5/2026, 12:51:49 AM1 trades$1,2160 min
1/5/2026, 1:09:59 AM1 trades$4700 min
1/5/2026, 11:47:31 PM2 trades$2073 min
1/6/2026, 2:28:41 AM1 trades$2,3190 min
1/6/2026, 2:54:07 AM1 trades$6720 min
1/6/2026, 3:02:47 AM2 trades$2513 min
1/6/2026, 3:42:43 PM3 trades$1,2084 min
1/6/2026, 6:06:23 PM1 trades$2,3220 min
1/7/2026, 6:51:03 AM1 trades$5570 min
1/7/2026, 6:56:27 AM1 trades$2080 min
1/7/2026, 11:37:23 PM1 trades$2,3130 min
1/8/2026, 3:00:49 AM3 trades$1,0973 min
1/8/2026, 7:29:46 PM12 trades$8090 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-22
01-24
02-19
03-14
04-10
05-05
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event