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@Hard-Ironclad

#1,15075

0xb595d09ce5bbc4d39e3b3d04e80c402d2c8d5922

147d· 32578 markets · 3960 tradesVol: $18,333,1842026-06-12T15:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 0.34x0/15
Sharpe 1.05915/15
Sortino 968095.11010/10
HHI 6410/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Hard-Ironclad is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking #1150 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $146,247.87. Over 105 days, they executed 3,960 trades across 1,301 markets, generating a total volume of over $18 million. Their portfolio value is currently $8,516.43, supported by a strong Sharpe ratio of 1.06 and an upward equity trend, reflecting consistent performance.

The trading style of Hard-Ironclad is characterized by a very high win rate of 89.4%, suggesting a precise and selective approach to market entries. With a profit factor of 0.34 and a low sell percentage of 6%, the trader appears to hold positions rather than frequently exiting. Their Smart Score of 75 and Bot Score of 50 indicate a semi-automated strategy blending manual insight with algorithmic execution, favoring low-risk, steady gains over aggressive speculation.

Hard-Ironclad’s strengths lie in their disciplined risk management and ability to maintain a win streak without significant drawdowns, as evidenced by a max drawdown duration of zero days. However, the relatively low profit factor may suggest limited upside per trade, which could constrain growth during volatile markets. Overall, their solid Polymarket performance and balanced approach make Hard-Ironclad a reliable trader, though potential risks include over-reliance on steady but modest returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+146,248
Diamond Hands
5% sell
Win Streak
1056 wins in a row
Whale
$2,183,839
Consistent
81/82 days
High Roller
$20,798/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
SPORTS#468$145,032Vol: $16,262,773
CRYPTO#1,328,593$-60Vol: $1,192

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$146,248
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,333,184
Total Redeem
$582,404
Portfolio
$8,516
Predictions
32578
total markets
Trades
3744B / 216S
Daily Volume
$20,798
Account Age
147d
since Jan 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$4,005
Vol: $142,943
Week
$27,944
Vol: $1,884,534
Month
$21,392
Vol: $3,276,424
All Time
$146,248
Vol: $18,333,184

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
249W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$79,905
Win Rate
89%
1127W / 133L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$310
Avg Loss
$-7,712

Top Winners

Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery$23,304
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal$17,198
Lyon: Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Rincon$17,190
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi$17,176
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato$17,091
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Himeno Sakatsume$17,068
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame$17,034
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry$13,991
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguet$13,895
La Bisbal: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia$12,636

Top Losers

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$-32,050
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien$-31,123
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik$-30,923
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta$-28,710
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mutsumi Uemura$-28,574
ITF Sumter: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Justina Mikulskyte$-28,103
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Filippo Romano$-26,730
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya$-26,395
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$-21,789
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari$-21,271

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.059
Sortino
inf
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.311
Kelly %
57.0%
Half-Kelly
28.5%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.9
Very active
Markets / Day
21.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.2m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 20s — typical for humanSize CV 2.82 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness64 trades/day — mass trading21 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
953 entries
<=2
1059 entries
<=5
1180 entries
<=10
1232 entries
<=20
1268 entries
<=50
1295 entries
>50
6 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)98.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48.2%

Paris$13,991
Los Angeles$2,150
Shanghai$1,922
Chicago$1,412
London$1,228
San Francisco$549
Madrid$99
Miami$7
Milan$4
Seattle$-3,264
Atlanta$-5,529
Tokyo$-28,515
Other$-660,018

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
705

Single bracket

<=1
399 brackets
<=2
565 brackets
<=3
629 brackets
<=4
665 brackets
<=5
685 brackets
<=8
703 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/11/2026, 3:02:39 PM2 trades$9,5780 min
4/11/2026, 3:25:17 PM1 trades$9,9780 min
4/15/2026, 12:14:02 PM3 trades$3,2160 min
4/16/2026, 7:54:46 AM10 trades$7,9540 min
4/16/2026, 4:29:00 PM3 trades$14,8230 min
4/16/2026, 4:49:08 PM1 trades$14,9800 min
4/17/2026, 9:16:20 PM2 trades$9,4020 min
4/17/2026, 9:43:08 PM1 trades$10,9420 min
4/18/2026, 6:01:32 AM8 trades$4316 min
4/18/2026, 7:04:22 AM1 trades$6090 min
4/18/2026, 3:52:38 PM6 trades$3,2935 min
4/18/2026, 11:18:04 PM10 trades$3693 min
4/19/2026, 8:53:20 AM20 trades$9,6993 min
4/20/2026, 11:20:52 AM1 trades$100 min
4/20/2026, 11:37:14 AM25 trades$13,9052 min
4/21/2026, 8:23:42 AM12 trades$11,6082 min
4/21/2026, 11:19:48 AM2 trades$19,2003 min
4/21/2026, 11:34:08 AM1 trades$7,5880 min
4/21/2026, 3:17:56 PM29 trades$12,0263 min
4/21/2026, 3:55:14 PM1 trades$12,1620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-03
04-22
05-05
05-19
06-02
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event