Polydata

@Heartfelt-Emerald

#2,722,77088

0x7c9bd7b7fcedbba83c3c3dea1fbb7bb49a480e53

142d· 2467 markets · 4055 tradesVol: $374,5652026-05-21T07:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 9.18x15/15
Sharpe 0.65112/15
Sortino 14.49710/10
EV $+449.45510/10
HHI 10010/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Heartfelt-Emerald is an active trader on Polymarket with 4,055 trades across 479 markets over 134 days. Despite a substantial total trading volume of $374,565, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$6,495.19, positioning them at #2,722,770 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. The Smart Score of 88/100 indicates elite analytical skills, while a bot score of 65 suggests a combination of automated and manual trading approaches.

The trader shows a clear preference for high-frequency trading with a strong win rate of 97.7% and a profit factor of 17.13, signaling a strategy focused on consistent, small gains. Heartfelt-Emerald rarely sells (9% sell percentage) and maintains a cool-headed trading style, as reflected in top badges such as Diamond Hands and DCA Master. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.65 and zero max drawdown duration show moderate risk-taking with timely entries and exits. The upward equity trend further confirms steady portfolio growth despite the current negative net PnL.

Heartfelt-Emerald’s strengths lie in disciplined execution and consistency, leveraging both manual judgment and semi-automated tools. However, the negative net PnL and zero portfolio value suggest challenges in converting volume and win rate into lasting profitability. Their low sell percentage may also imply potential overexposure or delayed risk reduction. Overall, this trader demonstrates strong technical skill but may face risks related to position management and capital preservation on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
9% sell
DCA Master
avg 7.7 entries/market
Win Streak
168 wins in a row
Consistent
22/31 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,518,487$-6,495Vol: $374,565

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,495
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$374,565
Total Redeem
$33,942
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2467
total markets
Trades
3678B / 377S
Daily Volume
$338
Account Age
142d
since Dec 30, 2025

Periods

#2
Month
$-1,481
Vol: $6,276
All Time
$-6,495
Vol: $374,565

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
258W / 225L events
Realized PnL
$28,328
Win Rate
98%
168W / 4L
Profit Factor
17.13x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-199

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,547 (19.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1,139
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$865
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$543
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$518
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$406
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$398
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$394
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$388
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$333
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$332

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-245
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-237
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-161
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-153

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.651
Sortino
14.497
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$449.455
Kelly %
94.3%
Half-Kelly
47.1%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.4m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 0.91 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness43 trades/day — suspiciously high496 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.7
Active DCA
<=1
100 entries
<=2
163 entries
<=5
315 entries
<=10
378 entries
<=20
441 entries
<=50
471 entries
>50
8 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.1%
High (>55c)81.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.1%

Other$12,840

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
479

Single bracket

<=1
479 brackets
<=2
479 brackets
<=3
479 brackets
<=4
479 brackets
<=5
479 brackets
<=8
479 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/28/2026, 12:34:31 PM6 trades$174 min
1/28/2026, 5:33:42 PM3 trades$145 min
1/29/2026, 11:01:10 AM5 trades$116 min
1/29/2026, 12:16:22 PM5 trades$169 min
1/29/2026, 1:21:12 PM2 trades$82 min
1/29/2026, 1:29:46 PM2 trades$30 min
1/29/2026, 2:01:06 PM2 trades$53 min
1/29/2026, 2:10:16 PM8 trades$203 min
1/29/2026, 2:30:28 PM9 trades$2010 min
1/29/2026, 10:31:52 PM1 trades$30 min
1/29/2026, 10:37:42 PM8 trades$1816 min
1/29/2026, 11:46:04 PM4 trades$71 min
1/29/2026, 11:54:24 PM1 trades$40 min
1/29/2026, 11:59:54 PM1 trades$20 min
1/30/2026, 12:33:28 AM4 trades$95 min
1/30/2026, 12:44:38 AM4 trades$70 min
1/30/2026, 1:10:12 AM6 trades$92 min
1/30/2026, 1:45:08 AM2 trades$81 min
1/30/2026, 1:51:50 AM3 trades$84 min
1/30/2026, 2:52:04 AM9 trades$247 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
01-31
03-18
03-28
04-04
04-25
05-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event