HerlihyM92

@HerlihyM92

#4,35785

0x197040709ae61627d3685a8d6ce1f9e82e6b398d

~479d· 523 markets · 7173 tradesVol: $1,186,2202026-08-01 13:36:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (269/483)12.8/20
2.15x (win $79,811 / loss $37,131)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.44515/15
Sortino 10.09910/10
$+0.0886 per $1 invested4.4/10
HHI 366 (483 markets)10/10
152/249 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($5,554 / $44,152)10/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+39,492
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.9 entries/market
Whale
$481,963 invested
Consistent
152/249 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#2,016$22,204Vol: $804,063
🎭 CULTURE#632$13,099Vol: $216,320
SPORTS#1,858,805$-2,513Vol: $98,436
💻 TECH#836$2,011Vol: $33,341
📈 ECONOMICS#2,737$1,185Vol: $17,908
CRYPTO#34,897$766Vol: $2,420
💰 FINANCE#600,071$-24Vol: $1,200
📢 MENTIONS#11,131$34Vol: $192

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$39,476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,186,220
Total Redeem
$3,308
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
523
total markets
Trades
5962B / 1211S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~479d

Periods

#2
Today
$-258
Vol: $0
Week
$-384
Vol: $1,010
Month
$-258
Vol: $0
All Time
$39,476
Vol: $1,186,220

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
269W / 214L events
Realized PnL
$39,492
Win Rate
56%
269W / 214L
Profit Factor
2.15x
Avg Win
$297
Avg Loss
$-176

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,664 (0.6498426778742749% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$11,086
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$9,364
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5,213
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$3,599
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$3,222
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$2,896
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1,980
Starmer out in 2025?$1,834
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$1,819
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?$1,765

Top Losers

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-4,171
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-1,268
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-1,151
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-1,150
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-1,026
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?$-1,001
Will France win Eurovision 2026?$-914
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$-834
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-830
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-795

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.128
Sortino
0.383
HHI
224
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.107
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
27.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 484s — normal for humanCV 3.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.2%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)40.7%

Sessions

#12
10/10/2025, 9:41:26 AM5 trades$27,1383 min
10/25/2025, 8:25:05 AM27 trades$13,35032 min
10/8/2025, 11:44:44 PM11 trades$12,06813 min
5/23/2026, 7:46:47 PM24 trades$10,8312 min
10/26/2025, 9:04:45 AM1 trades$9,4900 min
10/10/2025, 6:36:04 AM11 trades$8,7152 min
10/26/2025, 2:16:49 AM1 trades$8,4580 min
1/30/2026, 3:11:56 AM4 trades$7,5953 min
11/11/2025, 10:49:16 PM2 trades$7,4600 min
6/24/2026, 11:33:14 PM12 trades$6,8705 min
5/16/2026, 10:10:38 PM12 trades$6,5884 min
10/10/2025, 9:54:24 AM4 trades$6,1102 min
10/9/2025, 5:07:58 AM7 trades$6,0185 min
7/18/2026, 10:02:46 PM2 trades$5,5710 min
12/18/2025, 10:04:43 PM1 trades$5,3610 min
10/25/2025, 9:02:35 AM3 trades$5,0391 min
7/17/2026, 2:54:45 AM4 trades$4,5260 min
9/7/2025, 8:23:10 AM1 trades$4,4060 min
1/19/2026, 6:11:26 PM22 trades$4,38517 min
5/23/2026, 9:45:07 PM15 trades$4,3332 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-26
03-18
08-19
12-01
02-14
04-13
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.2 / M16.1 / H40.7