Polydata
Data is 37 days old — refreshing in background...

@High-Circulation

#1,971,82281

0x976f0fc6ac9c07e938cc58676d7625f143cc8a71

67d· 408 markets · 481 tradesVol: $9,3212026-04-14T09:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 42%6/20
Profit Factor 3.75x15/15
Sharpe 0.55210/15
Sortino 4.50310/10
EV $+30.71710/10
HHI 5010/10
Profit Days 79%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

High-Circulation is a moderately active Polymarket trader ranked #1,971,822 globally by net PnL. Over 124 days, they have completed 481 trades across 394 markets, generating a total volume of $9,321 but with a net loss of $42.18. Their smart score of 81/100 indicates strong analytical skills, and despite a negative PnL, their profit factor of 4.15 suggests disciplined risk management. The trader’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their Sharpe ratio of 0.55 points to moderate returns relative to volatility.

This trader shows a diverse market approach, engaging with nearly 400 markets and allocating 14% of volume to weather-related markets. High-Circulation demonstrates a contrarian style, as indicated by their badge, and tends to hold positions firmly, reflecting a "Diamond Hands" mentality with only 6% of trades involving selling. Their win rate near 51% combined with a zero-day max drawdown duration suggests timely trade exits and effective risk controls. The mix of bot and manual trading, with a semi-bot score of 65, implies a hybrid strategy balancing automation and discretion.

High-Circulation’s main strengths lie in consistency and risk management, evidenced by their stable equity trend and positive profit factor despite a small net loss. Their diversified market engagement and contrarian positioning can potentially uncover value in underappreciated outcomes. However, the flat portfolio value and negative net PnL highlight challenges in converting volume and activity into sustained profitability. The trader’s reliance on automation combined with manual inputs may also introduce execution risks if the balance shifts unfavorably.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Lottery Player
43% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
76% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
6% sell
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Consistent
19/24 days
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,091,070$-21Vol: $6,267
🌤️ WEATHER#194,961$-14Vol: $1,706
SPORTS#1,219,939$-15Vol: $1,313
🏛️ POLITICS#168,452$7Vol: $35

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-42
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,321
Total Redeem
$832
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
408
total markets
Trades
451B / 30S
Daily Volume
$8
Account Age
67d
since Mar 14, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-42
Vol: $0
Month
$-42
Vol: $6,379
All Time
$-42
Vol: $9,321

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
44%
125W / 162L events
Realized PnL
$414
Win Rate
51%
124W / 121L
Profit Factor
4.15x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66 (16.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$14

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.552
Sortino
4.503
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$30.717
Kelly %
20.0%
Half-Kelly
10.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.6
Active
Markets / Day
17.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.8m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 590s — typical for humanSize CV 1.06 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.68 — semi-mechanical22 trades/day — suspiciously high18 markets/day — mass coverage303 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
357 entries
<=2
376 entries
<=5
394 entries
<=10
394 entries
<=20
394 entries
<=50
394 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.2%
Mid (20-55c)37.3%
High (>55c)19.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.8%

Other$400
Madrid$0
Buenos Aires$0
New York City$0
Atlanta$0
Hong Kong$0
London$0
San Francisco$0
Paris$0
Seoul$0
Seattle$0
Dallas$0
Miami$0
Chicago$0
Ankara$0
Tel Aviv$0
Tokyo$0
Shanghai$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
381

Single bracket

<=1
369 brackets
<=2
380 brackets
<=3
381 brackets
<=4
381 brackets
<=5
381 brackets
<=8
381 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/18/2026, 10:51:35 AM1 trades$10 min
3/19/2026, 4:12:07 PM1 trades$20 min
3/19/2026, 4:19:35 PM3 trades$34 min
3/19/2026, 4:42:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/19/2026, 4:49:05 PM1 trades$00 min
3/19/2026, 5:00:09 PM1 trades$00 min
3/19/2026, 5:05:37 PM1 trades$40 min
3/19/2026, 5:11:07 PM1 trades$30 min
3/19/2026, 5:22:11 PM1 trades$20 min
3/19/2026, 9:11:35 PM1 trades$20 min
3/20/2026, 7:33:39 AM1 trades$60 min
3/20/2026, 7:41:11 AM1 trades$30 min
3/20/2026, 7:59:03 AM1 trades$20 min
3/20/2026, 8:18:29 AM1 trades$20 min
3/20/2026, 8:35:59 AM1 trades$30 min
3/20/2026, 9:29:07 AM1 trades$50 min
3/20/2026, 9:36:39 AM1 trades$50 min
3/20/2026, 9:44:39 AM1 trades$50 min
3/20/2026, 9:57:45 AM1 trades$40 min
3/20/2026, 10:16:49 AM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
03-22
03-26
03-30
04-03
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
13.5% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event