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@Homely-Massage

#3,15385

0x2fbccc3918a358ef674854dbd4bbd89b896ef944

332d· 1993 markets · 4523 tradesVol: $4,599,0032026-06-26T16:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 64%17/20
Profit Factor 1.85x13/15
Sharpe 0.4579/15
Sortino 0.6096/10
EV $+0.66110/10
HHI 5110/10
Profit Days 80%10/10
DD/Peak 17%10/10

Summary

Homely-Massage is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #3153 on the global PnL leaderboard. With over 4,500 trades and nearly $4.6 million in total volume across 499 markets, they have accumulated a net profit of $51,308.50 over 504 days. Their smart score of 85/100 indicates very good trading performance, supported by a steady portfolio value around $38,730 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.46, reflecting moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Homely-Massage appears to focus on consistency and risk management rather than aggressive gains. They maintain a win rate of 60.9% with a low profit factor of 0.17, suggesting many small wins relative to losses. Their sell percentage is quite low at 6%, hinting at a preference for holding positions and dollar-cost averaging, as evidenced by the "DCA Master" badge. Their approach is semi-automated, blending manual and bot trading, and they avoid weather-related markets entirely.

Homely-Massage’s strengths lie in disciplined trade execution and maintaining a flat equity trend with no significant drawdown duration, which supports capital preservation. However, the low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio highlight a cautious strategy that may limit upside potential. The semi-bot trading style introduces some automation risk, but overall, Homely-Massage demonstrates a balanced and stable approach on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+51,308
Diamond Hands
6% sell
DCA Master
avg 8.5 entries/market
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Whale
$715,560
Consistent
96/120 days
High Roller
$1,420/day
Cool Head
DD 17%

Categories

7
SPORTS#40,538$767Vol: $1,024,167
🏛️ POLITICS#10,289$2,372Vol: $298,895
💰 FINANCE#4,094$978Vol: $79,488
CRYPTO#37,116$634Vol: $48,680
📈 ECONOMICS#3,238$776Vol: $46,100
🎭 CULTURE#7,552$523Vol: $24,189
💻 TECH#16,701$10Vol: $4,675

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$51,309
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,599,003
Total Redeem
$282,527
Portfolio
$38,730
Predictions
1993
total markets
Trades
4236B / 287S
Daily Volume
$1,420
Account Age
332d
since Aug 8, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1,537
Vol: $15,042
Week
$-4,913
Vol: $290,426
Month
$6,058
Vol: $966,036
All Time
$51,309
Vol: $4,599,003

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
66%
220W / 115L events
Realized PnL
$179,235
Win Rate
61%
213W / 136L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$202
Avg Loss
$-1,823

Top Winners

Spread: England (-2.5)$4,901
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International $1,376
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner$1,348
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 $1,266
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner$1,193
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner$965
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International So$869
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner$860
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner$686
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees$675

Top Losers

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi$-14,176
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-13,051
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles$-9,195
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals$-9,026
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$-8,939
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Sta$-8,113
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$-7,613
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$-7,421
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group S$-7,000
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$-6,467

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.457
Sortino
0.609
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.661
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.2m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — typical for humanSize CV 2.50 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.20 — human randomness33 trades/day — suspiciously high420 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.5
Active DCA
<=1
94 entries
<=2
148 entries
<=5
265 entries
<=10
373 entries
<=20
459 entries
<=50
494 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)23.4%
High (>55c)67.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 12.6%

Seattle$293
Chicago$210
Atlanta$158
Madrid$0
London$0
San Francisco$-2,142
Los Angeles$-3,951
Other$-199,516

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
309

Single bracket

<=1
190 brackets
<=2
261 brackets
<=3
293 brackets
<=4
302 brackets
<=5
309 brackets
<=8
309 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/10/2026, 9:06:17 AM1 trades$9,6700 min
2/10/2026, 9:32:11 AM1 trades$6560 min
2/19/2026, 10:45:40 AM1 trades$3,3810 min
2/28/2026, 6:57:51 AM3 trades$3,3204 min
4/10/2026, 7:32:13 AM1 trades$1,2930 min
4/13/2026, 4:25:11 PM2 trades$6,4303 min
4/14/2026, 6:18:35 AM5 trades$1,2451 min
4/14/2026, 6:33:11 AM3 trades$1,2873 min
4/14/2026, 7:17:29 AM1 trades$70 min
4/14/2026, 7:23:59 AM1 trades$360 min
4/14/2026, 11:59:24 PM1 trades$170 min
4/15/2026, 2:01:52 PM4 trades$5130 min
4/15/2026, 2:18:18 PM2 trades$1,4801 min
4/15/2026, 5:38:50 PM14 trades$2,9874 min
4/15/2026, 6:12:34 PM8 trades$1,7289 min
4/15/2026, 6:48:22 PM27 trades$2,5791 min
4/15/2026, 7:22:58 PM16 trades$8,0178 min
4/19/2026, 1:20:58 PM1 trades$540 min
4/19/2026, 1:39:54 PM1 trades$510 min
4/20/2026, 11:52:02 AM1 trades$5580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-09
04-05
05-01
05-22
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event